Premier Division
· Regular Season - 29
August 30, 2026 17:00
E. Chapman
(ast. M. Duffy)
2'
M. Duffy
(ast. D. Burns)
16'
E. Chapman
(ast. M. Duffy)
33'
28'
(ast. G. Burke)
M. Noonan
72'
(ast. W. Fitzgerald)
G. Burke
80'
(ast. W. Fitzgerald)
D. Watts
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shamrock Rovers a 39% win probability (draw 25%, Derry City 34%). The final result was Derry City 3–3 Shamrock Rovers. In 3 previous meetings, Derry City have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Shamrock Rovers.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
4
1.07
Actual xG
0.75
2
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
3
Corners
5
21
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽E. Chapman
· ast. M. Duffy
2'
P. McClean
6'
⚽M. Duffy
· ast. D. Burns
16'
18'
M. Noonan
J. Stott
24'
28'
ast. G. Burke ·
M. Noonan⚽
⚽E. Chapman
· ast. M. Duffy
33'
44'
A. Matthews
50'
C. O'Sullivan
E. Chapman
/ J. Olayinka
64'
69'
W. Fitzgerald
/
J. O'Sullivan
69'
J. Mulraney
/
A. Matthews
72'
ast. W. Fitzgerald ·
G. Burke⚽
78'
D. Watts
/
J. Byrne
79'
J. McGovern
/
A. Brennan
N. Twisk
/ C. Dummigan
79'
D. Burns
/ B. Cotter
79'
80'
ast. W. Fitzgerald ·
D. Watts⚽
86'
D. Cleary
/
J. Mulraney
88'
W. Fitzgerald
T. Smith
/ M. McColgan
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
34.56%
Derry
25.52%
X ←
39.91%
Shamrock
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.52%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.59
1.07
-0.52
1.76
0.75
-1.01
Derry City dominated by xG (1.07 vs 0.75).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Tom Norcott
G
Tom Norcott
G
19
B. Fleming
D
B. Fleming
D
3
Patrick McClean
D
Patrick McClean
D
4
J. Stott
D
J. Stott
D
22
C. Barr
D
C. Barr
D
7
M. Duffy
1 ⚽
2 👟
M
M. Duffy
1 ⚽
2 👟
M
14
E. Chapman
2 ⚽
64'
M
E. Chapman
2 ⚽
64'
M
17
N. Twisk
79'
M
N. Twisk
79'
M
8
A. O'Reilly
M
A. O'Reilly
M
12
D. Burns
1 👟
79'
M
D. Burns
1 👟
79'
M
29
T. Smith
F
T. Smith
F
Bench
2
Barry Cotter
15'
D
Barry Cotter
15'
D
1
B. Maher
G
B. Maher
G
24
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
D
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
D
23
C. Dummigan
15'
D
C. Dummigan
15'
D
25
Christy Grogan
D
Christy Grogan
D
28
J. Olayinka
30'
M
J. Olayinka
30'
M
36
Michael McColgan
F
Michael McColgan
F
32
Terence Doherty
F
Terence Doherty
F
38
Yoann Prigent
M
Yoann Prigent
M
1
E. McGinty
G
E. McGinty
G
27
C. O'Sullivan
D
C. O'Sullivan
D
5
L. Grace
D
L. Grace
D
2
Adam Matthews
69'
D
Adam Matthews
69'
D
8
M. Healy
M
M. Healy
M
19
Adam Brennan
79'
M
Adam Brennan
79'
M
29
J. Byrne
78'
M
J. Byrne
78'
M
26
John O'Sullivan
69'
M
John O'Sullivan
69'
M
22
T. Sobowale
M
T. Sobowale
M
10
G. Burke
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
G. Burke
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
31
M. Noonan
1 ⚽
F
M. Noonan
1 ⚽
F
Bench
9
A. Greene
F
A. Greene
F
41
Alex Noonan
G
Alex Noonan
G
6
D. Cleary
8'
D
D. Cleary
8'
D
7
D. Watts
1 ⚽
16'
M
D. Watts
1 ⚽
16'
M
3
E. Stevens
D
E. Stevens
D
88
J. McGovern
15'
F
J. McGovern
15'
F
11
J. Mulraney
17'
M
J. Mulraney
17'
M
17
Luke O'Regan
M
Luke O'Regan
M
24
W. Fitzgerald
2 👟
25'
F
W. Fitzgerald
2 👟
25'
F
Best on the pitch
G. Burke
F · Shamrock
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 29 pass
E. Chapman
M · Derry
8.60
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 27 pass
M. Duffy
M · Derry
8.00
1 ⚽ 2 👟
4 shots
· 40 pass
W. Fitzgerald
F · Shamrock
7.50
2 👟
· 9 pass
D. Watts
M · Shamrock
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
D. Burns
M · Derry
7.30
1 👟
· 19 pass
Derry City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Norcott | G | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| B. Fleming | D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Patrick McClean | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 52 | 42% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Stott | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Barr | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Duffy | M | 94 | 8.00 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Chapman | M | 64 | 8.60 | 2 | — | 4 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| N. Twisk | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| A. O'Reilly | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Burns | M | 79 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Smith | F | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Barry Cotter | D | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Dummigan | D | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Olayinka | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
Shamrock Rovers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. McGinty | G | 94 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. O'Sullivan | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Grace | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 88 | 74% | 3 | — | — |
| Adam Matthews | D | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Healy | M | 94 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 62 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Adam Brennan | M | 79 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Byrne | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | — | — | — |
| John O'Sullivan | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Sobowale | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Burke | F | 94 | 8.70 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M. Noonan | F | 94 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Cleary | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Watts | M | 16 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. McGovern | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Mulraney | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Fitzgerald | F | 25 | 7.50 | — | 2 | — | 9 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
The final score was Derry City 3–3 Shamrock Rovers.
What did the model predict before Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Derry City win, 25% to a draw, and 39% to an Shamrock Rovers win.