Premier Division
· Regular Season - 24
May 25, 2026 20:45
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shelbourne a 38% win probability (draw 24%, Derry City 36%). The final result was Derry City 0–0 Shelbourne. In 2 previous meetings, Derry City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Shelbourne.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
2
1
Shots on target
1
0.81
Actual xG
0.07
0
Saves
1
72%
Possession
28%
4
Corners
4
23
Tackles
15
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
B. Fleming
13'
27'
J. Lunney
37'
S. Gannon
B. Cotter
40'
C. Dummigan
45'
J. Clarke
/ D. Akinyemi
46'
55'
H. Wood
60'
M. Odubeko
/
J. Martin
60'
R. Freitas
/
S. Boyd
A. O'Reilly
65'
B. Doherty
/ J. McClean
67'
C. Dummigan
/ H. Rylah
71'
88'
A. Coote
/
H. Wood
88'
E. Chapman
/
E. Caffrey
Pre-match prediction
36.27%
Derry
24.9%
X ←
38.83%
Shelbourne
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.23
0.81
-0.42
1.44
0.07
-1.37
Derry City dominated by xG (0.81 vs 0.07).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Eddie Beach
G
19
B. Fleming
D
B. Fleming
D
22
Conor Barr
D
3
Patrick McClean
D
Patrick McClean
D
14
Ben Doherty
67'
M
Ben Doherty
67'
M
28
James Olayinka
M
8
A. O'Reilly
M
A. O'Reilly
M
2
B. Cotter
M
B. Cotter
M
23
C. Dummigan
71'
F
C. Dummigan
71'
F
15
J. Clarke
45'
F
J. Clarke
45'
F
21
Kévin Santos
F
Bench
9
Afolabi Akinyemi
48'
F
Afolabi Akinyemi
48'
F
25
Alex Bannon
D
Alex Bannon
D
31
Callum Downey
M
Callum Downey
M
24
Henry Rylah
22'
M
Henry Rylah
22'
M
16
J. McClean
26'
D
J. McClean
26'
D
17
Josh Thomas
F
Josh Thomas
F
27
Liam Boyce
F
Liam Boyce
F
26
Shea Callister
G
Shea Callister
G
1
Wessel Speel
G
4
Kameron Ledwidge
D
29
Paddy Barrett
D
24
Zeno Ibsen Rossi
D
Zeno Ibsen Rossi
D
17
D. Kelly
M
D. Kelly
M
27
Evan Caffrey
88'
M
6
J. Lunney
M
J. Lunney
M
7
H. Wood
88'
M
H. Wood
88'
M
2
S. Gannon
M
S. Gannon
M
10
J. Martin
60'
F
J. Martin
60'
F
9
Sean Boyd
60'
F
Sean Boyd
60'
F
Bench
11
Ademipo Odubeko
33'
F
Ademipo Odubeko
33'
F
14
Ali Coote
5'
M
31
Conor Walsh
G
Conor Walsh
G
5
Ellis Chapman
5'
M
Ellis Chapman
5'
M
28
Maill Lundgren
M
Maill Lundgren
M
25
Milan Mbeng
D
20
Rodrigo Freitas
33'
F
Rodrigo Freitas
33'
F
15
Sam Bone
D
36
Will Jarvis
F
Best on the pitch
C. Dummigan
F · Derry
7.30
· 34 pass
Conor Barr
D · Derry
7.20
· 68 pass
Kévin Santos
F · Derry
7.20
· 34 pass
Kameron Ledwidge
D · Shelbourne
7.20
· 15 pass
Zeno Ibsen Rossi
D · Shelbourne
7.20
1 shots
· 18 pass
Ben Doherty
M · Derry
7.00
· 29 pass
Derry City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Beach | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | — | — | — |
| B. Fleming | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 52% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Conor Barr | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 68 | 54% | 4 | — | — |
| Patrick McClean | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 93 | 78% | — | — | — |
| Ben Doherty | M | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| James Olayinka | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| A. O'Reilly | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Cotter | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 42% | 5 | 1 | — |
| C. Dummigan | F | 71 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Clarke | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Kévin Santos | F | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Afolabi Akinyemi | F | 48 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Henry Rylah | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. McClean | D | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
Shelbourne — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wessel Speel | G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Kameron Ledwidge | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Paddy Barrett | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Zeno Ibsen Rossi | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Kelly | M | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Evan Caffrey | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Lunney | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Wood | M | 88 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Gannon | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Martin | F | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Sean Boyd | F | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Ademipo Odubeko | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ali Coote | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ellis Chapman | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Freitas | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Derry City vs Shelbourne?
The final score was Derry City 0–0 Shelbourne.
What did the model predict before Derry City vs Shelbourne?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Derry City win, 24% to a draw, and 38% to an Shelbourne win.