Premier Division
· Regular Season - 27
August 07, 2026 20:45
✓Model correct — prediction Derry City
B. Cotter
(ast. D. Burns)
54'
A. O'Reilly
(ast. L. Boyce)
64'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Derry City a 68% win probability (draw 17%, Sligo Rovers 13%). The final result was Derry City 2–0 Sligo Rovers. In 3 previous meetings, Derry City have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Sligo Rovers.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
1
1.68
Actual xG
0.23
1
Saves
4
59%
Possession
41%
10
Corners
2
15
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽B. Cotter
· ast. D. Burns
54'
55'
A. Nolan
/
R. O'Kane
55'
J. McManus
/
T. George
B. Lyons-Foster
58'
⚽A. O'Reilly
· ast. L. Boyce
64'
65'
J. McGonigle
/
S. Quirk
D. Burns
/ C. Barr
66'
66'
S. Stewart
/
K. McDonagh
N. Twisk
/ J. Olayinka
75'
B. Cotter
/ T. Smith
75'
J. Clarke
82'
L. Boyce
/ E. Chapman
83'
Pre-match prediction
68.92%
Derry ←
17.37%
X
13.71%
Sligo
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Derry City)
68.92%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.45
1.68
-0.77
0.94
0.23
-0.71
Derry City dominated by xG (1.68 vs 0.23).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
B. Maher
G
B. Maher
G
24
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
D
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
D
3
Patrick McClean
D
Patrick McClean
D
23
C. Dummigan
D
C. Dummigan
D
2
Barry Cotter
1 ⚽
75'
D
Barry Cotter
1 ⚽
75'
D
8
A. O'Reilly
1 ⚽
M
A. O'Reilly
1 ⚽
M
17
N. Twisk
75'
M
N. Twisk
75'
M
12
D. Burns
1 👟
66'
M
D. Burns
1 👟
66'
M
7
M. Duffy
F
M. Duffy
F
27
L. Boyce
1 👟
83'
F
L. Boyce
1 👟
83'
F
15
J. Clarke
F
J. Clarke
F
Bench
31
Callum Downey
M
Callum Downey
M
22
C. Barr
25'
D
C. Barr
25'
D
14
E. Chapman
8'
M
E. Chapman
8'
M
28
J. Olayinka
16'
M
J. Olayinka
16'
M
33
Oisin O'Brien
D
Oisin O'Brien
D
32
Terence Doherty
F
Terence Doherty
F
13
Tom Norcott
G
Tom Norcott
G
29
T. Smith
16'
F
T. Smith
16'
F
29
S. Sargeant
G
S. Sargeant
G
23
K. McDonagh
65'
D
K. McDonagh
65'
D
52
G. McElroy
D
G. McElroy
D
15
O. Denham
D
O. Denham
D
33
Jeannot Esua
D
Jeannot Esua
D
4
S. Quirk
65'
M
S. Quirk
65'
M
16
C. McHugh
M
C. McHugh
M
7
J. Shorrock
M
J. Shorrock
M
20
T. George
55'
M
T. George
55'
M
28
Ryan O'Kane
55'
M
Ryan O'Kane
55'
M
11
C. Kavanagh
F
C. Kavanagh
F
Bench
51
Aidan Gabbidon
D
Aidan Gabbidon
D
19
A. Nolan
36'
M
A. Nolan
36'
M
43
Callum Lynch
M
Callum Lynch
M
61
Conor Cannon
D
Conor Cannon
D
18
Jamie McGonigle
26'
F
Jamie McGonigle
26'
F
14
J. McManus
36'
M
J. McManus
36'
M
24
J. O'Donnell
F
J. O'Donnell
F
1
Liam John Hughes
G
Liam John Hughes
G
3
Sean Stewart
26'
D
Sean Stewart
26'
D
Best on the pitch
Barry Cotter
D · Derry
8.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 36 pass
A. O'Reilly
M · Derry
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 51 pass
D. Burns
M · Derry
7.60
1 👟
2 shots
· 40 pass
C. Kavanagh
F · Sligo
7.30
1 shots
· 22 pass
Patrick McClean
D · Derry
7.30
1 shots
· 81 pass
J. Shorrock
M · Sligo
7.20
· 16 pass
Derry City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Maher | G | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Brooklyn Lyons-Foster | D | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Patrick McClean | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Dummigan | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Barry Cotter | D | 75 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| A. O'Reilly | M | 91 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 51 | 43% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Twisk | M | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Burns | M | 66 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 40 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Duffy | F | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 5 | 49 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Boyce | F | 83 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Clarke | F | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Barr | D | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| E. Chapman | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Olayinka | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| T. Smith | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sligo Rovers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sargeant | G | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 34% | — | — | — |
| K. McDonagh | D | 65 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| G. McElroy | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Denham | D | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Jeannot Esua | D | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Quirk | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| C. McHugh | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Shorrock | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 5 | — | — |
| T. George | M | 55 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ryan O'Kane | M | 55 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| C. Kavanagh | F | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Nolan | M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jamie McGonigle | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. McManus | M | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Sean Stewart | D | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Derry City vs Sligo Rovers?
The final score was Derry City 2–0 Sligo Rovers.
What did the model predict before Derry City vs Sligo Rovers?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Derry City win, 17% to a draw, and 13% to an Sligo Rovers win.