Premier Division
· Regular Season - 18
May 22, 2026 20:45
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St Patrick's Athl. a 39% win probability (draw 24%, Derry City 35%). The final result was Derry City 0–0 St Patrick's Athl.. In 2 previous meetings, Derry City have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for St Patrick's Athl..
Match statistics
7
Total shots
2
3
Shots on target
1
0.62
Actual xG
0.63
1
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
9
Corners
2
10
Tackles
28
7
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
C. Dummigan
17'
A. O'Reilly
33'
38'
J. Lennon
60'
B. Baggley
/
J. Brown
60'
A. Breslin
/
Z. Elbouzedi
J. McClean
/ H. Rylah
62'
72'
R. Palmer
/
C. Forrester
C. Dummigan
/ D. Markey
73'
K. Santos
76'
J. Stott
77'
B. Cotter
79'
81'
A. Keena
/
R. Edmondson
J. Clarke
/ J. Thomas
82'
J. Thomas
90'+6
90'+7
J. Redmond
H. Rylah
90'+7
D. Markey
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
35.96%
Derry
24.98%
X ←
39.06%
St
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
0.62
-0.68
1.39
0.63
-0.76
xG dominance was balanced (0.62 – 0.63).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
E. Beach
G
E. Beach
G
19
B. Fleming
D
B. Fleming
D
4
J. Stott
D
J. Stott
D
22
C. Barr
D
C. Barr
D
16
J. McClean
62'
M
J. McClean
62'
M
28
J. Olayinka
M
J. Olayinka
M
8
A. O'Reilly
M
A. O'Reilly
M
2
Barry Cotter
M
Barry Cotter
M
23
C. Dummigan
74'
F
C. Dummigan
74'
F
15
J. Clarke
82'
F
J. Clarke
82'
F
21
Kévin Santos
F
Kévin Santos
F
Bench
25
A. Bannon
D
9
Afolabi Akinyemi
F
Afolabi Akinyemi
F
14
B. Doherty
D
31
Callum Downey
M
Callum Downey
M
10
D. Markey
24'
M
D. Markey
24'
M
24
Henry Rylah
36'
M
Henry Rylah
36'
M
17
Josh Thomas
16'
F
Josh Thomas
16'
F
27
L. Boyce
F
L. Boyce
F
26
Shea Callister
G
94
J. Anang
G
J. Anang
G
24
L. Turner
D
L. Turner
D
5
T. Grivosti
D
T. Grivosti
D
4
J. Redmond
D
J. Redmond
D
23
J. Brown
60'
D
J. Brown
60'
D
16
D. Nugent
M
D. Nugent
M
6
J. Lennon
M
J. Lennon
M
7
Z. Elbouzedi
60'
M
Z. Elbouzedi
60'
M
8
C. Forrester
72'
M
C. Forrester
72'
M
10
K. Leavy
M
K. Leavy
M
27
R. Edmondson
81'
F
R. Edmondson
81'
F
Bench
3
A. Breslin
38'
D
A. Breslin
38'
D
9
A. Keena
17'
F
A. Keena
17'
F
19
B. Baggley
38'
M
B. Baggley
38'
M
1
D. Rogers
G
D. Rogers
G
42
Glory Nzingo
M
Glory Nzingo
M
11
J. McClelland
F
J. McClelland
F
18
Max Mata
F
Max Mata
F
15
Ronan Boyce
D
Ronan Boyce
D
17
R. Palmer
26'
M
R. Palmer
26'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Lennon
M · St
8.00
· 41 pass
J. Redmond
D · St
7.60
· 43 pass
J. Stott
D · Derry
7.50
· 67 pass
Barry Cotter
M · Derry
7.30
· 42 pass
B. Fleming
D · Derry
7.20
1 shots
· 48 pass
A. O'Reilly
M · Derry
7.20
· 29 pass
Derry City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Beach | G | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | — | — | — |
| B. Fleming | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 40% | — | — | — |
| J. Stott | D | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 67 | 54% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Barr | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| J. McClean | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 27% | — | — | — |
| J. Olayinka | M | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| A. O'Reilly | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Barry Cotter | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 33% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Dummigan | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Clarke | F | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Kévin Santos | F | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Markey | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Henry Rylah | M | 36 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Josh Thomas | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
St Patrick's Athl. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Anang | G | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 20% | — | — | — |
| L. Turner | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Grivosti | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Redmond | D | 98 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | 5 | 1 | — |
| J. Brown | D | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Nugent | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 6 | — | — |
| J. Lennon | M | 98 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Z. Elbouzedi | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Forrester | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Leavy | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| R. Edmondson | F | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Breslin | D | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Keena | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| B. Baggley | M | 38 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Palmer | M | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
The final score was Derry City 0–0 St Patrick's Athl..
What did the model predict before Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Derry City win, 24% to a draw, and 39% to an St Patrick's Athl. win.