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Premier Division · Regular Season - 33 October 19, 2026 21:00 Brandywell Stadium, Delhi
Derry City
#5 · 47 pts
1 – 0
Final score
St Patrick's Athl.
#3 · 60 pts
Kévin Santos (ast. Darragh Burns) 62'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St Patrick's Athl. a 47% win probability (draw 24%, Derry City 28%). The final result was Derry City 1–0 St Patrick's Athl.. In 3 previous meetings, Derry City have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 0 wins for St Patrick's Athl..

Match statistics
10
Total shots
29
3
Shots on target
5
0.70
Actual xG
2.54
5
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
3
Corners
10
18
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Darragh Burns
21'
↕ Brooklyn Lyons-Foster / Conor Barry
45'
53'
Anthony Olusanya
57'
Ryan Edmondson / Aidan Keena ↕
57'
Jason McClelland / Anto Breslin ↕
⚽Kévin Santos · ast. Darragh Burns
62'
63'
Christopher Forrester / Kian Leavy ↕
64'
Ryan Sheridan / Barry Baggley ↕
James Clarke
70'
↕ Kévin Santos / Darragh Markey
72'
75'
Romal Palmer / Luke·Turner ↕
↕ nick twisk / Cameron Dummigan
80'
80'
Christopher Forrester
↕ Tyler·Smith / Terence Doherty
85'
Pre-match prediction
28.27%
Derry ←
24.35%
X
47.38%
St
we assigned to the actual result (Derry City) 28.27% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Derry
1.28
0.70
-0.58
St
1.79
2.54
+0.75
St Patrick's Athl. dominated by xG (2.54 vs 0.70). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 35 68
2 Bohemians Bohemians 35 62
3 St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 35 60
4 Shelbourne Shelbourne 35 49
5 Derry City Derry City 35 47
6 Galway United Galway United 35 42
7 Dundalk Dundalk 35 42
8 Waterford Waterford 35 40
9 Drogheda United Drogheda United 35 37
10 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 35 24
Lineups
Derry City Derry City 4-3-3
13 Tom Norcott Tom Norcott G 8.30
19 B. Fleming B. Fleming D 6.94
3 Patrick McClean Patrick McClean D 7.01
4 J. Stott J. Stott D 7.37
24 Brooklyn Lyons-Foster Brooklyn Lyons-Foster 45' D 7.00
14 E. Chapman E. Chapman M 6.63
17 N. Twisk N. Twisk 80' M 6.30
15 J. Clarke J. Clarke M 6.34
21 Kévin Santos Kévin Santos 1 ⚽ 72' F 7.65
29 T. Smith T. Smith 85' F 6.20
12 D. Burns D. Burns 1 👟 F 7.46
Bench
1 B. Maher B. Maher G 0.00
22 C. Barr C. Barr 45' D 6.60
23 C. Dummigan C. Dummigan 10' D 6.51
25 Christy Grogan Christy Grogan D 0.00
34 C. O'Donnell C. O'Donnell M 0.00
10 D. Markey D. Markey 18' M 6.47
11 G. Whyte G. Whyte M 0.00
35 L. Kelly L. Kelly M 0.00
32 T. Doherty T. Doherty 5' F 6.37
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 3-1-4-2
94 J. Anang J. Anang G 6.73
24 L. Turner L. Turner 75' D 6.59
2 S. Hoare S. Hoare D 7.80
4 J. Redmond J. Redmond D 7.62
6 J. Lennon J. Lennon M 7.20
3 A. Breslin A. Breslin 57' M 5.95
19 B. Baggley B. Baggley 64' M 6.38
10 K. Leavy K. Leavy 63' M 6.32
7 Z. Elbouzedi Z. Elbouzedi M 7.18
9 A. Keena A. Keena 57' F 6.36
21 A. Olusanya A. Olusanya F 6.25
Bench
8 C. Forrester C. Forrester 27' M 6.45
16 D. Nugent D. Nugent M 0.00
1 D. Rogers D. Rogers G 0.00
23 J. Brown J. Brown D 0.00
11 J. McClelland J. McClelland 33' F 6.83
27 R. Edmondson R. Edmondson 33' F 6.25
17 R. Palmer R. Palmer 15' M 6.99
48 R. Sheridan R. Sheridan 26' M 6.59
33 S. McHale S. McHale D 0.00
Best on the pitch
Tom Norcott
Tom Norcott
G · Derry
8.30
· 32 pass
S. Hoare
S. Hoare
D · St
7.80
6 shots · 68 pass
Kévin Santos
Kévin Santos
F · Derry
7.65
1 ⚽
1 shots · 30 pass
J. Redmond
J. Redmond
D · St
7.62
3 shots · 67 pass
D. Burns
D. Burns
F · Derry
7.46
1 👟
4 shots · 25 pass
J. Stott
J. Stott
D · Derry
7.37
· 51 pass
Derry City Derry City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Tom Norcott G 90 8.30 — — 0 32 24% 0 — —
B. Fleming D 90 6.94 — — 1 59 47% 3 — —
Patrick McClean D 90 7.01 — — 0 57 43% 3 — —
J. Stott D 90 7.37 — — 0 51 45% 2 — —
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster D 45 7.00 — — 0 21 20% 2 — —
E. Chapman M 90 6.63 — — 1 46 44% 0 — —
N. Twisk M 80 6.30 — — 0 39 33% 1 — —
J. Clarke M 90 6.34 — — 1 37 32% 0 1 —
Kévin Santos F 72 7.65 1 — 1 30 27% 1 — —
T. Smith F 85 6.20 — — 1 7 6% 0 — —
D. Burns F 90 7.46 — 1 4 25 19% 5 1 —
C. Barr D 45 6.60 — — 1 15 9% 1 — —
C. Dummigan D 10 6.51 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
D. Markey M 18 6.47 — — 0 6 4% 0 — —
T. Doherty F 5 6.37 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Anang G 90 6.73 — — 0 29 24% 0 — —
L. Turner D 75 6.59 — — 0 36 31% 0 — —
S. Hoare D 90 7.80 — — 6 68 60% 1 — —
J. Redmond D 90 7.62 — — 3 67 55% 8 — —
J. Lennon M 90 7.20 — — 3 58 51% 4 — —
A. Breslin M 57 5.95 — — 0 11 6% 0 — —
B. Baggley M 64 6.38 — — 1 34 30% 0 — —
K. Leavy M 63 6.32 — — 3 13 11% 1 — —
Z. Elbouzedi M 90 7.18 — — 1 38 35% 2 — —
A. Keena F 57 6.36 — — 1 18 12% 1 — —
A. Olusanya F 90 6.25 — — 3 15 9% 0 1 —
C. Forrester M 27 6.45 — — 1 27 22% 1 1 —
J. McClelland F 33 6.83 — — 0 21 16% 0 — —
R. Edmondson F 33 6.25 — — 2 6 5% 0 — —
R. Palmer M 15 6.99 — — 2 6 6% 1 — —
R. Sheridan M 26 6.59 — — 3 14 13% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
The final score was Derry City 1–0 St Patrick's Athl..
What did the model predict before Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Derry City win, 24% to a draw, and 47% to an St Patrick's Athl. win.