Serie D - Girone A
· Group A - 6
October 04, 2026 15:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alessandria a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Derthona 30%). The final result was Derthona 1–3 Alessandria.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
30.15%
Derthona
29.01%
X
40.84%
Alessandria ←
we assigned to the actual result (Alessandria)
40.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.16
—
—
2.06
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Derthona vs Alessandria?
The final score was Derthona 1–3 Alessandria.
What did the model predict before Derthona vs Alessandria?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Derthona win, 29% to a draw, and 40% to an Alessandria win.