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← Serie D - Girone A

Derthona - Imperia

Serie D - Girone A September 13, 2026 15:00
Derthona
#5 · 3 pts
vs
Imperia
#3 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.95%
Win
Derthona
32.83%
Draw
33.22%
Win
Imperia
1.33
Expected xG
1.13

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.22%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 66%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Derthona a 33% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Imperia. Expected goals are 1.3 for Derthona and 1.1 for Imperia (total 2.5), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.22% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Derthona have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Imperia.

Season Stats

Derthona
4W 5D 6L
Imperia
4W 6D 5L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.0
1.1
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
27%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Serie D - Girone A. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Derthona
1W 3D 6L · at home
Imperia
3W 4D 3L · away
0.7
gls/g
0.9
1.5
Conceded
1.2
10%
Win %
30%
40%
Win or Draw
70%
70%
O 1.5
70%
50%
O 2.5
40%
10%
O 3.5
20%
40%
BTTS
40%
20%
Clean Sht
40%
50%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Derthona Imperia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5% 9.6% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.4% 12.8% 7.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.6% 8.6% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Derthona Derthona
W Celle Varazze 0–1
L Gozzano 1–2
D Saluzzo 1–1
D Imperia 0–0
L Città di Varese 1–0
Imperia Imperia
W Millesimo 1–0
L Celle Varazze 0–1
D Derthona 0–0
D Sanremese 2–2
W NovaRomentin 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Derthona Derthona
Attack
12
Defence
42
Form
23
Imperia Imperia
Attack
14
Defence
39
Form
23
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Derthona
1
Draw
0
Imperia
26 Apr 2026 Serie D - Girone A 0–0
14 Dec 2025 Serie D - Girone A 1–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Saluzzo Saluzzo 2 4
2 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante 1 3
3 Imperia Imperia 1 3
4 Alessandria Alessandria 1 3
5 Derthona Derthona 1 3
6 Millesimo Millesimo 2 3
7 Asti Asti 2 3
8 Sanremese Sanremese 1 1
9 Ligorna Ligorna 1 1
10 Bra Bra 1 1
11 Fezzanese Fezzanese 1 1
12 Lascaris Lascaris 1 1
13 Gozzano Gozzano 2 1
14 Biellese Biellese 1 1
15 Chisola Chisola 0 0
16 Celle Varazze Celle Varazze 1 0
17 Valenzana Valenzana 2 0
18 Borgosesia Borgosesia 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Derthona vs Imperia?
The model gives Derthona a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Imperia win.
How many goals are expected in Derthona vs Imperia?
Expected goals: Derthona 1.3, Imperia 1.1 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Derthona vs Imperia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.22%.