USL Championship
· Group Stage
August 23, 2026 01:00
A. Diouf
36'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Detroit City a 40% win probability (draw 25%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 34%). The final result was Detroit City 1–0 Tampa Bay Rowdies.
Match statistics
Match Events
H. Yamazaki
20'
⚽A. Diouf
36'
A. Diouf
45'+2
45'+5
N. Dossantos
46'
D. Acoff
/
C. Antley
K. Hernandez-Foster
56'
58'
C. Ostrem
60'
M. Micaletto
/
Pedro Becker
61'
K. Henderlong
/
L. Perez
69'
L. Wyke
/
L. Hilton
K. Hernandez-Foster
/ R. Williams
73'
D. Smith
/ C. Egbuchulam
78'
A. Diouf
/ K. Williams
78'
J. Cedeno
/ R. Hope-Gund
88'
Pre-match prediction
40.84%
Detroit ←
25.16%
X
34.0%
Tampa
we assigned to the actual result (Detroit City)
40.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.52
—
—
1.30
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
The final score was Detroit City 1–0 Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What did the model predict before Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Detroit City win, 25% to a draw, and 34% to an Tampa Bay Rowdies win.