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Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 8 October 12, 2026 20:45 Stade Gaston-Gérard, Dijon
Dijon
#9 · 12 pts
4 – 2
Final score
Metz
#8 · 14 pts
H. Vargas Ríos (ast. Paul Bellon) 19'
Ange Lago 24'
Júlio Tavares (ast. Paul Bellon) 32'
Quentin Bernard 69'
44' (ast. Jessy Deminguet) Pape Moussa Fall
88' (ast. Bryan Rigobert Song Bahanag) Pape Moussa Fall
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dijon a 40% win probability (draw 28%, Metz 31%). The final result was Dijon 4–2 Metz.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
12
7
Shots on target
4
2.05
Actual xG
1.47
2
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
3
Corners
3
25
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽H. Vargas Ríos · ast. Paul Bellon
19'
23'
Jean Ruiz
⚽Ange Lago
24'
⚽Júlio Tavares · ast. Paul Bellon
32'
44'
ast. Jessy Deminguet · Pape Moussa Fall⚽
51'
Abdourahmane Mbodj / Believe Munongo ↕
↕ Ange Lago / Alexis Ntamack
62'
↕ H. Vargas Ríos / Brandon Nsimba Ndezi
62'
62'
Florian Miguel
66'
Morgan Bokele Mputu / Florian Miguel ↕
66'
Ibou Sane / Giorgi Abuashvili ↕
⚽Quentin Bernard
69'
72'
Cristian Castro
↕ Adel Lembezat / Samy Chouchane
76'
↕ Júlio Tavares / Tyris Dong
76'
↕ Boubacar Diallo / Luis Puleri
84'
84'
Bryan Rigobert Song Bahanag / Bouna Sarr ↕
84'
Abdoulaye Agne Ba / Maxime Colin ↕
88'
ast. Bryan Rigobert Song Bahanag · Pape Moussa Fall⚽
Pre-match prediction
40.17%
Dijon ←
28.68%
X
31.15%
Metz
we assigned to the actual result (Dijon) 40.17% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Dijon
1.64
2.05
+0.41
Metz
1.19
1.47
+0.28
Dijon dominated by xG (2.05 vs 1.47). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Saint Etienne Saint Etienne 10 25
2 Montpellier Montpellier 10 21
3 Nancy Nancy 10 19
4 Reims Reims 10 18
5 PAU PAU 10 17
6 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 10 17
7 Annecy Annecy 10 16
8 Metz Metz 10 14
9 Dijon Dijon 10 12
10 Dunkerque Dunkerque 10 12
11 Guingamp Guingamp 10 11
12 Sochaux Sochaux 10 11
13 Boulogne Boulogne 10 10
14 Rodez Rodez 10 10
15 Nantes Nantes 10 8
16 Grenoble Grenoble 10 8
17 Clermont Foot Clermont Foot 10 7
18 Laval Laval 10 6
Lineups
Dijon Dijon 4-3-1-2
16 P. Delecroix P. Delecroix G 6.24
75
39' D 6.25
5 Q. Bernard Q. Bernard 1 ⚽ D 7.55
23 L. Lacroix L. Lacroix D 6.82
7 B. Hamada B. Hamada D 6.49
20 H. Vargas-Ríos H. Vargas-Ríos 1 ⚽ 62' M 7.61
14 J. Marié J. Marié M 6.66
8 P. Bellon P. Bellon 2 👟 M 7.88
17 A. Lembezat A. Lembezat 76' M 6.31
90 A. Lago A. Lago 1 ⚽ 62' F 7.75
11 Júlio Tavares Júlio Tavares 1 ⚽ 76' F 8.20
Bench
29 A. Ntamack A. Ntamack 28' F 6.40
18 B. Ndezi B. Ndezi 28' M 6.10
93 I. Bouleghcha I. Bouleghcha D 0.00
21 Samy Olivier Chouchane Samy Olivier Chouchane 14' M 6.42
9 T. Dong T. Dong 14' F 6.55
6 W. Diouf W. Diouf D 0.00
10 Y. Barka Y. Barka F 0.00
Metz Metz 3-5-2
1 J. Fischer J. Fischer G 5.92
5 J. Ruiz J. Ruiz D 6.58
42 C. Devenish C. Devenish D 5.84
2 M. Colin M. Colin 84' D 6.19
3 F. Miguel F. Miguel 66' M 5.90
8 J. Deminguet J. Deminguet 1 👟 M 7.70
18 B. Munongo B. Munongo 51' M 6.42
12 A. Touré A. Touré M 6.10
70 B. Sarr B. Sarr 84' M 6.31
11 P. Fall P. Fall 2 ⚽ F 8.77
9 G. Abuashvili G. Abuashvili 66' F 6.05
Bench
88 A. Agne Ba A. Agne Ba 6' F 6.29
39 B. Song B. Song 1 👟 6' D 6.07
7 Ibou Sané Ibou Sané 24' F 6.91
98 I. Mohamed I. Mohamed D 0.00
19 M. Bokele Mputu M. Bokele Mputu 24' F 6.71
61 P. Sy P. Sy G 0.00
4 U. Mboula U. Mboula D 0.00
Best on the pitch
P. Fall
P. Fall
F · Metz
8.77
2 ⚽
4 shots · 13 pass
Júlio Tavares
Júlio Tavares
F · Dijon
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
P. Bellon
P. Bellon
M · Dijon
7.88
2 👟
2 shots · 52 pass
A. Lago
A. Lago
F · Dijon
7.75
1 ⚽
2 shots · 11 pass
J. Deminguet
J. Deminguet
M · Metz
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 70 pass
H. Vargas-Ríos
H. Vargas-Ríos
M · Dijon
7.61
1 ⚽
1 shots · 21 pass
Dijon Dijon — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Delecroix G 90 6.24 — — 0 33 15% 0 — —
D 39 6.25 — — 1 3 2% 0 — —
Q. Bernard D 90 7.55 1 — 2 25 22% 0 — —
L. Lacroix D 90 6.82 — — 2 34 32% 4 — —
B. Hamada D 90 6.49 — — 0 37 29% 4 — —
H. Vargas-Ríos M 62 7.61 1 — 1 21 17% 6 — —
J. Marié M 90 6.66 — — 1 45 41% 6 — —
P. Bellon M 90 7.88 — 2 2 52 42% 0 — —
A. Lembezat M 76 6.31 — — 2 34 32% 2 — —
A. Lago F 62 7.75 1 — 2 11 11% 1 — —
Júlio Tavares F 76 8.20 1 — 2 26 15% 0 — —
A. Ntamack F 28 6.40 — — 3 5 5% 0 — —
B. Ndezi M 28 6.10 — — 0 11 10% 1 — —
Samy Olivier Chouchane M 14 6.42 — — 0 6 4% 0 — —
T. Dong F 14 6.55 — — 0 2 2% 1 — —
Metz Metz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Fischer G 90 5.92 — — 0 45 39% 0 — —
J. Ruiz D 90 6.58 — — 0 74 67% 1 1 —
C. Devenish D 90 5.84 — — 0 78 70% 1 1 —
M. Colin D 84 6.19 — — 0 69 65% 0 — —
F. Miguel M 66 5.90 — — 0 29 20% 2 1 —
J. Deminguet M 90 7.70 — 1 1 70 63% 1 — —
B. Munongo M 51 6.42 — — 1 24 19% 1 — —
A. Touré M 90 6.10 — — 1 51 43% 2 — —
B. Sarr M 84 6.31 — — 0 50 47% 0 — —
P. Fall F 90 8.77 2 — 4 13 10% 0 — —
G. Abuashvili F 66 6.05 — — 1 20 18% 1 — —
A. Agne Ba F 6 6.29 — — 0 5 4% 1 — —
B. Song D 6 6.07 — 1 1 7 7% 1 — —
Ibou Sané F 24 6.91 — — 3 10 8% 0 — —
M. Bokele Mputu F 24 6.71 — — 0 16 15% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dijon vs Metz?
The final score was Dijon 4–2 Metz.
What did the model predict before Dijon vs Metz?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Dijon win, 28% to a draw, and 31% to an Metz win.