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#9 · 12 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#14 · 10 pts
Yanis Barka (ast. Boubacar Diallo) 23'
2' Antonin Cartillier
90'+2 (ast. Kenny Nagera) Marco Essimi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dijon a 51% win probability (draw 22%, Rodez 25%). The final result was Dijon 1–2 Rodez.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
16
6
Shots on target
6
1.59
Actual xG
1.52
4
Saves
5
72%
Possession
28%
10
Corners
3
10
Tackles
26
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
2'
Antonin Cartillier⚽
⚽Yanis Barka · ast. Boubacar Diallo
23'
39'
Raphael Lipinski
Boubacar Diallo
55'
↕ Boubacar Diallo / Moussa Faty
56'
↕ Jordan Marié / Paul Bellon
57'
63'
Mathis Saka / Octave Joly ↕
64'
Kenny Nagera / Kelian Nsona ↕
↕ Yanis Barka / Alexis Ntamack
68'
71'
Jordan Mendes / Damjan Pavlović ↕
80'
Marco Essimi / Nachon Nsingi ↕
80'
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou / Steven Luyambula Biwa ↕
↕ Samy Chouchane / Hugo Vargas Ríos
82'
↕ Ange Lago / Júlio Tavares
82'
88'
Ryan Ponti
90'+2
ast. Kenny Nagera · Marco Essimi⚽
Pre-match prediction
51.87%
Dijon
22.95%
X
25.17%
Rodez ←
we assigned to the actual result (Rodez) 25.17% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Dijon
2.93
1.59
-1.34
Rodez
1.55
1.52
-0.03
xG dominance was balanced (1.59 – 1.52). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Saint Etienne Saint Etienne 10 25
2 Montpellier Montpellier 10 21
3 Nancy Nancy 10 19
4 Reims Reims 10 18
5 PAU PAU 10 17
6 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 10 17
7 Annecy Annecy 10 16
8 Metz Metz 10 14
9 Dijon Dijon 10 12
10 Dunkerque Dunkerque 10 12
11 Guingamp Guingamp 10 11
12 Sochaux Sochaux 10 11
13 Boulogne Boulogne 10 10
14 Rodez Rodez 10 10
15 Nantes Nantes 10 8
16 Grenoble Grenoble 10 8
17 Clermont Foot Clermont Foot 10 7
18 Laval Laval 10 6
Lineups
Dijon Dijon 4-1-3-2
16 P. Delecroix P. Delecroix G 6.57
75
82' D 7.01
5 Q. Bernard Q. Bernard D 6.72
6 W. Diouf W. Diouf D 6.99
23 L. Lacroix L. Lacroix D 6.20
14 J. Marié J. Marié 57' M 5.92
18 B. Ndezi B. Ndezi M 6.81
17 A. Lembezat A. Lembezat M 6.00
21
82' M 7.01
10 Y. Barka Y. Barka 1 ⚽ 68' F 7.61
90 A. Lago A. Lago 82' F 6.06
Bench
29 A. Ntamack A. Ntamack 22' F 6.35
20 H. Vargas-Ríos H. Vargas-Ríos 8' M 6.13
93 I. Bouleghcha I. Bouleghcha D 0.00
11 Júlio Tavares Júlio Tavares 8' F 6.28
31 M. Faty M. Faty 34' D 6.42
8 P. Bellon P. Bellon 33' M 6.60
9 T. Dong T. Dong F 0.00
42 Y. Aka Y. Aka D 0.00
Rodez Rodez 5-3-2
1 Q. Braat Q. Braat G 6.80
20 R. Ponti R. Ponti D 5.88
3 R. Lipinski R. Lipinski D 5.72
4 M. Magnin M. Magnin D 6.51
24 L. Quenabio L. Quenabio D 6.10
28 S. Luyambula Biwa S. Luyambula Biwa 80' D 6.75
22 O. Joly O. Joly 63' M 6.25
8 D. Pavlović D. Pavlović 71' M 6.25
29 Antonin Cartillier Antonin Cartillier 1 ⚽ M 7.69
21 K. Nsona K. Nsona 64' F 5.95
9 N. Nsingi N. Nsingi 80' F 6.38
Bench
13 C. Roubiou C. Roubiou 10' D 6.26
15 E. Jean-Lambert E. Jean-Lambert D 0.00
6 J. Mendes J. Mendes 19' M 6.31
7 K. Nagera K. Nagera 1 👟 26' F 7.12
16 L. Margueron L. Margueron G 0.00
27 M. Essimi Ateba M. Essimi Ateba 1 ⚽ 10' F 7.77
10 M. Saka M. Saka 27' M 6.11
5 M. Sylla M. Sylla D 0.00
11 M. Touho M. Touho F 0.00
Best on the pitch
M. Essimi Ateba
M. Essimi Ateba
F · Rodez
7.77
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
Antonin Cartillier
Antonin Cartillier
M · Rodez
7.69
1 ⚽
2 shots · 15 pass
Y. Barka
Y. Barka
F · Dijon
7.61
1 ⚽
4 shots · 23 pass
K. Nagera
K. Nagera
F · Rodez
7.12
1 👟
1 shots · 2 pass
D · Dijon
7.01
1 shots · 54 pass
M · Dijon
7.01
1 shots · 54 pass
Dijon Dijon — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Delecroix G 90 6.57 — — 0 24 17% 0 — —
D 82 7.01 — — 1 54 50% 1 — —
Q. Bernard D 90 6.72 — — 3 62 50% 2 — —
W. Diouf D 90 6.99 — — 0 65 59% 1 — —
L. Lacroix D 90 6.20 — — 2 84 71% 0 — —
J. Marié M 57 5.92 — — 1 50 42% 0 — —
B. Ndezi M 90 6.81 — — 2 50 47% 3 — —
A. Lembezat M 90 6.00 — — 3 48 39% 0 — —
M 82 7.01 — — 1 54 50% 1 — —
Y. Barka F 68 7.61 1 — 4 23 17% 0 — —
A. Lago F 82 6.06 — — 0 19 12% 0 — —
A. Ntamack F 22 6.35 — — 0 8 8% 0 — —
H. Vargas-Ríos M 8 6.13 — — 1 5 5% 0 — —
Júlio Tavares F 8 6.28 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
M. Faty D 34 6.42 — — 0 22 19% 1 — —
P. Bellon M 33 6.60 — — 0 25 24% 1 — —
Rodez Rodez — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Q. Braat G 90 6.80 — — 0 21 10% 0 — —
R. Ponti D 90 5.88 — — 0 27 15% 3 1 —
R. Lipinski D 90 5.72 — — 0 27 17% 4 1 —
M. Magnin D 90 6.51 — — 1 14 4% 2 — —
L. Quenabio D 90 6.10 — — 1 25 15% 3 — —
S. Luyambula Biwa D 80 6.75 — — 1 11 6% 3 — —
O. Joly M 63 6.25 — — 1 15 11% 1 — —
D. Pavlović M 71 6.25 — — 1 20 13% 5 — —
Antonin Cartillier M 90 7.69 1 — 2 15 10% 1 — —
K. Nsona F 64 5.95 — — 3 6 5% 0 — —
N. Nsingi F 80 6.38 — — 2 5 2% 2 — —
C. Roubiou D 10 6.26 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
J. Mendes M 19 6.31 — — 0 6 4% 0 — —
K. Nagera F 26 7.12 — 1 1 2 2% 0 — —
M. Essimi Ateba F 10 7.77 1 — 1 4 3% 1 — —
M. Saka M 27 6.11 — — 2 7 6% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dijon vs Rodez?
The final score was Dijon 1–2 Rodez.
What did the model predict before Dijon vs Rodez?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Dijon win, 22% to a draw, and 25% to an Rodez win.