Dinamo Minsk - Neftchi Baku
Conference League
July 30, 2026 19:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
45.29%
Win
Dinamo Minsk
27.5%
Draw
27.21%
Win
Neftchi Baku
1.52
0.85
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(13.41%)
1X2 Result
1
45%
X
28%
2
27%
Double Chance
1X
73%
X2
55%
12
73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Dinamo Minsk a 45% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Neftchi Baku. Expected goals are 1.5 for Dinamo Minsk and 0.9 for Neftchi Baku (total 2.4), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.41% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Dinamo Minsk have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Neftchi Baku.
Season Stats
2W
0D
3L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.0
1.2
Conceded
4.0
Percentages
40%
O 1.5
100%
20%
O 2.5
100%
20%
BTTS
100%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 5 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Dinamo Minsk
Neftchi Baku →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 14.1% | 12.1% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 10.8% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Dinamo Minsk
Attack
48
Defence
81
Form
67
Neftchi Baku
Attack
36
Defence
69
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
22 Jul 2026
4–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Dinamo Minsk vs Neftchi Baku?
The model gives Dinamo Minsk a 45% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 27% for an Neftchi Baku win.
How many goals are expected in Dinamo Minsk vs Neftchi Baku?
Expected goals: Dinamo Minsk 1.5, Neftchi Baku 0.9 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Dinamo Minsk vs Neftchi Baku?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.41%.