Dinamo Tbilisi - Saburtalo
Erovnuli Liga
May 16, 2026 17:00
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
15.1°C
💨 32 km/h
🌧️ 48%
· Tbilisi
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.17%
Win
Dinamo Tbilisi
24.83%
Draw
46.0%
Win
Saburtalo
1.56
2.23
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Saburtalo a 46% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Dinamo Tbilisi. Expected goals are 1.6 for Dinamo Tbilisi and 2.2 for Saburtalo (total 3.8), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.8% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Dinamo Tbilisi have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Saburtalo.
Score Matrix
↕ Dinamo Tbilisi
Saburtalo →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| 2 | 2.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Dinamo Tbilisi
Attack
39
Defence
68
Form
52
Saburtalo
Attack
50
Defence
78
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
D
15 Mar 2026
0–0
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Saburtalo
|
12 | 24 |
| 2 |
Rustavi
|
12 | 19 |
| 3 |
Dila
|
12 | 19 |
| 4 |
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
12 | 18 |
| 5 |
Torpedo Kutaisi
|
12 | 17 |
| 6 |
Spaeri
|
12 | 15 |
| 7 |
Dinamo Batumi
|
12 | 14 |
| 8 |
Samgurali
|
12 | 14 |
| 9 |
Gagra
|
12 | 10 |
| 10 |
Meshakhte
|
12 | 10 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Dinamo Tbilisi vs Saburtalo?
The model gives Dinamo Tbilisi a 29% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 46% for an Saburtalo win.
How many goals are expected in Dinamo Tbilisi vs Saburtalo?
Expected goals: Dinamo Tbilisi 1.6, Saburtalo 2.2 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Dinamo Tbilisi vs Saburtalo?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.8%.