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Dinamo Zagreb - Bayer Leverkusen

Europa League November 26, 2026 18:45
#19 · 1 pts
vs
#8 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.48%
Win
Dinamo Zagreb
25.4%
Draw
33.13%
Win
Bayer Leverkusen
2.09
Expected xG
1.8

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.72%)
1X2 Result
1 41%
X 25%
2 33%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 67%
X2 59%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 68%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Dinamo Zagreb a 41% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Bayer Leverkusen. Expected goals are 2.1 for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.8 for Bayer Leverkusen (total 3.9), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.72% probability.

Season Stats

Dinamo Zagreb
3W 3D 5L
Bayer Leverkusen
1W 0D 0L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
2.0
2.0
Conceded
0.0
3.5
Shots OT
8.0
4.6
Corners
6.0
48%
Poss.
56%
Percentages
91%
O 1.5
100%
73%
O 2.5
0%
64%
BTTS
0%
9%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ Based on the last 11 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Dinamo Zagreb Bayer Leverkusen →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1% 3.7% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
1 4.3% 7.7% 6.9% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.1% 5.6% 5.0% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.6% 2.9% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

D Hapoel Beer Sheva 0–0
D Genk 3–3
L Genk 1–3
L FC Midtjylland 2–0
W FCSB 4–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 43%
W Celje 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
Attack
39
Defence
58
Form
39
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
Attack
56
Defence
71
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The model gives Dinamo Zagreb a 41% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 33% for an Bayer Leverkusen win.
How many goals are expected in Dinamo Zagreb vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Expected goals: Dinamo Zagreb 2.1, Bayer Leverkusen 1.8 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Dinamo Zagreb vs Bayer Leverkusen?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.72%.