HNL
· Regular Season - 34
May 09, 2026 16:00
✓Model correct — prediction Dinamo Zagreb
M. Bakrar
(ast. J. Misic)
22'
D. Beljo
(ast. M. Lisica)
65'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dinamo Zagreb a 63% win probability (draw 17%, HNK Hajduk Split 19%). The final result was Dinamo Zagreb 2–0 HNK Hajduk Split. In 3 previous meetings, Dinamo Zagreb have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for HNK Hajduk Split.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
2
9
Shots on target
2
2.68
Actual xG
0.33
2
Saves
7
55%
Possession
45%
3
Corners
2
10
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Bakrar
15'
⚽M. Bakrar
· ast. J. Misic
22'
B. Goda
32'
46'
L. Hodak
/
R. Brajkovic
58'
N. Sigur
A. Hoxha
/ G. Vidovic
58'
M. Bakrar
/ M. Lisica
58'
M. Zajc
/ I. Bennacer
59'
62'
A. Rebic
/
A. Sanyang
⚽D. Beljo
· ast. M. Lisica
65'
L. Stojkovic
/ M. Soldo
74'
76'
S. Hrgovic
/
D. Melnjak
76'
M. Sego
/
I. Almena
85'
A. Guram
/
N. Sigur
87'
A. Rebic
J. Misic
/ F. Topic
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
63.77%
Dinamo ←
17.18%
X
19.05%
HNK
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Dinamo Zagreb)
63.77%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.79
2.68
-0.11
1.44
0.33
-1.12
Dinamo Zagreb dominated by xG (2.68 vs 0.33).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
G
3
B. Goda
D
42
D
15
N. Galesic
D
25
M. Valincic
D
8
M. Zajc
59'
M
M. Zajc
59'
M
27
J. Mišić
1 👟
89'
M
J. Mišić
1 👟
89'
M
11
A. Hoxha
58'
F
A. Hoxha
58'
F
7
L. Stojković
74'
M
L. Stojković
74'
M
71
M. Bakrar
1 ⚽
58'
F
M. Bakrar
1 ⚽
58'
F
9
D. Beljo
1 ⚽
F
D. Beljo
1 ⚽
F
Bench
10
G. Vidović
32'
M
G. Vidović
32'
M
21
M. Lisica
1 👟
32'
F
M. Lisica
1 👟
32'
F
22
M. Perez Vinlof
D
14
M. Soldo
16'
M
33
G
17
D. Melnjak
76'
D
14
R. Raci
D
15
D
28
R. Brajkovic
45'
D
4
A. Pajaziti
M
8
N. Sigur
85'
M
24
A. Sanyang
62'
M
21
R. Pukštas
M
R. Pukštas
M
30
I. Almena
76'
M
10
M. Livaja
F
M. Livaja
F
Bench
9
A. Rebić
28'
F
A. Rebić
28'
F
11
M. Šego
14'
F
M. Šego
14'
F
32
S. Hrgovic
14'
D
Best on the pitch
J. Mišić
M · Dinamo
8.30
1 👟
· 48 pass
G · Dinamo
8.00
· 27 pass
D · Dinamo
7.90
· 90 pass
M. Lisica
F · Dinamo
7.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 9 pass
N. Galesic
D · Dinamo
7.50
· 68 pass
M. Valincic
D · Dinamo
7.50
· 45 pass
Dinamo Zagreb — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| B. Goda | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 90 | 86% | 4 | — | — | |
| N. Galesic | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 68 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Valincic | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | — | — | — |
| M. Zajc | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Mišić | M | 89 | 8.30 | — | 1 | — | 48 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Hoxha | F | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| L. Stojković | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| M. Bakrar | F | 58 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Beljo | F | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 22 | 14% | — | — | — |
| G. Vidović | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Lisica | F | 32 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Soldo | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| D. Melnjak | D | 76 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | — | — | — |
| R. Raci | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 100 | 87% | 1 | — | — | |
| R. Brajkovic | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Pajaziti | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Sigur | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Sanyang | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Pukštas | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Almena | M | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| M. Livaja | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Rebić | F | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Šego | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Hrgovic | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The final score was Dinamo Zagreb 2–0 HNK Hajduk Split.
What did the model predict before Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Dinamo Zagreb win, 17% to a draw, and 19% to an HNK Hajduk Split win.