HNL · Regular Season - 34 May 09, 2026 16:00 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata

Dinamo Zagreb

#3 · 13 pts

2 – 0

Final score

HNK Hajduk Split

#2 · 13 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Dinamo Zagreb

M. Bakrar (ast. J. Misic) 22'

D. Beljo (ast. M. Lisica) 65'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dinamo Zagreb a 63% win probability (draw 17%, HNK Hajduk Split 19%). The final result was Dinamo Zagreb 2–0 HNK Hajduk Split. In 3 previous meetings, Dinamo Zagreb have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for HNK Hajduk Split.

Match statistics

13

Total shots

2

9

Shots on target

2

2.68

Actual xG

0.33

2

Saves

7

55%

Possession

45%

3

Corners

2

10

Tackles

12

2

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

M. Bakrar

15'

⚽M. Bakrar · ast. J. Misic

22'

B. Goda

32'

46'

L. Hodak / R. Brajkovic ↕

58'

N. Sigur

↕ A. Hoxha / G. Vidovic

58'

↕ M. Bakrar / M. Lisica

58'

↕ M. Zajc / I. Bennacer

59'

62'

A. Rebic / A. Sanyang ↕

⚽D. Beljo · ast. M. Lisica

65'

↕ L. Stojkovic / M. Soldo

74'

76'

S. Hrgovic / D. Melnjak ↕

76'

M. Sego / I. Almena ↕

85'

A. Guram / N. Sigur ↕

87'

A. Rebic

↕ J. Misic / F. Topic

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

63.77%

Dinamo ←

17.18%

X

19.05%

HNK

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Dinamo Zagreb) 63.77% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Dinamo

2.79

2.68

-0.11

HNK

1.44

0.33

-1.12

Dinamo Zagreb dominated by xG (2.68 vs 0.33). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	NK Osijek	7	15
2	HNK Hajduk Split	6	13
3	Dinamo Zagreb	6	13
4	NK Varazdin	6	13
5	HNK Rijeka	6	11
6	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	7	7
7	Istra 1961	6	6
8	NK Slaven Belupo	6	6
9	Rudes	6	3
10	HNK Gorica	6	1

Lineups

Dinamo Zagreb 4-2-3-1

40

G 8.00

3 B. Goda D 6.90

42

D 7.90

15 N. Galešić D 7.50

25 M. Valinčić D 7.50

8 M. Zajc 59' M 6.90

27 J. Mišić 1 👟 89' M 8.30

11 A. Hoxha 58' F 6.70

7 L. Stojković 74' M 6.70

71 M. Bakrar 1 ⚽ 58' F 7.20

9 D. Beljo 1 ⚽ F 7.50

Bench

10 G. Vidović 32' M 6.70

21 M. Lisica 1 👟 32' F 7.50

14 M. Soldo 16' M 6.70

22 Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf D

HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1

33

G 7.20

17 D. Melnjak 76' D 5.90

14 R. Raci D 6.60

15

D 6.90

28

Roko Brajković 45' D 6.20

4 A. Pajaziti M 6.30

8 N. Sigur 85' M 6.90

24 A. Sanyang 62' M 6.50

21 R. Pukštas M 6.70

30 Iker Almena 76' M 6.20

10 M. Livaja F 6.60

Bench

9 A. Rebić 28' F 6.20

11 M. Šego 14' F 6.30

32 Š. Hrgović 14' D 6.60

Best on the pitch

J. Mišić

M · Dinamo

8.30

1 👟

· 48 pass

G · Dinamo

8.00

· 27 pass

D · Dinamo

7.90

· 90 pass

M. Lisica

F · Dinamo

7.50

1 👟

2 shots · 9 pass

N. Galešić

D · Dinamo

7.50

· 68 pass

M. Valinčić

D · Dinamo

7.50

· 45 pass

Dinamo Zagreb — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	8.00	—	—	—	27	25%	—	—	—
B. Goda	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	58	50%	—	1	—
	D	90	7.90	—	—	—	90	86%	4	—	—
N. Galešić	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	68	62%	1	—	—
M. Valinčić	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	45	42%	—	—	—
M. Zajc	M	59	6.90	—	—	—	27	22%	3	—	—
J. Mišić	M	89	8.30	—	1	—	48	48%	2	—	—
A. Hoxha	F	58	6.70	—	—	1	16	15%	—	—	—
L. Stojković	M	74	6.70	—	—	2	23	18%	—	—	—
M. Bakrar	F	58	7.20	1	—	2	16	11%	—	1	—
D. Beljo	F	90	7.50	1	—	4	22	14%	—	—	—
G. Vidović	M	32	6.70	—	—	1	16	16%	—	—	—
M. Lisica	F	32	7.50	—	1	2	9	8%	—	—	—
M. Soldo	M	16	6.70	—	—	—	15	13%	—	—	—

HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	32	29%	—	—	—
D. Melnjak	D	76	5.90	—	—	—	29	18%	—	—	—
R. Raci	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	50	49%	1	—	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	100	87%	1	—	—
Roko Brajković	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	28	24%	2	—	—
A. Pajaziti	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	35	30%	3	—	—
N. Sigur	M	85	6.90	—	—	—	57	48%	1	1	—
A. Sanyang	M	62	6.50	—	—	—	3	2%	1	—	—
R. Pukštas	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	19	14%	2	—	—
Iker Almena	M	76	6.20	—	—	1	29	22%	—	—	—
M. Livaja	F	90	6.60	—	—	1	17	13%	—	—	—
A. Rebić	F	28	6.20	—	—	—	1	1%	—	1	—
M. Šego	F	14	6.30	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
Š. Hrgović	D	14	6.60	—	—	—	3	3%	1	—	—