← HNL
HNL · Regular Season - 34 May 09, 2026 16:00
#1 · 82 pts
2 – 0
Final score
#2 · 64 pts
Model correct — prediction Dinamo Zagreb
M. Bakrar (ast. J. Misic) 22'
D. Beljo (ast. M. Lisica) 65'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dinamo Zagreb a 63% win probability (draw 17%, HNK Hajduk Split 19%). The final result was Dinamo Zagreb 2–0 HNK Hajduk Split. In 3 previous meetings, Dinamo Zagreb have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for HNK Hajduk Split.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
2
9
Shots on target
2
2.68
Actual xG
0.33
2
Saves
7
55%
Possession
45%
3
Corners
2
10
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Bakrar
15'
M. Bakrar · ast. J. Misic
22'
B. Goda
32'
46'
L. Hodak / R. Brajkovic
58'
N. Sigur
A. Hoxha / G. Vidovic
58'
M. Bakrar / M. Lisica
58'
M. Zajc / I. Bennacer
59'
62'
A. Rebic / A. Sanyang
D. Beljo · ast. M. Lisica
65'
L. Stojkovic / M. Soldo
74'
76'
S. Hrgovic / D. Melnjak
76'
M. Sego / I. Almena
85'
A. Guram / N. Sigur
87'
A. Rebic
J. Misic / F. Topic
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
63.77%
Dinamo ←
17.18%
X
19.05%
HNK
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Dinamo Zagreb) 63.77% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Dinamo
2.79
2.68
-0.11
HNK
1.44
0.33
-1.12
Dinamo Zagreb dominated by xG (2.68 vs 0.33). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 34 82
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 34 64
3 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 34 49
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 34 48
5 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 34 42
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 34 42
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 34 41
8 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 34 38
9 NK Osijek NK Osijek 34 32
10 Vukovar Vukovar 34 28
Lineups
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-2-3-1
40
G 8.00
3
B. Goda D 6.90
42
D 7.90
15
N. Galesic D 7.50
25
M. Valincic D 7.50
8 M. Zajc M. Zajc 59' M 6.90
27 J. Mišić J. Mišić 1 👟 89' M 8.30
11 A. Hoxha A. Hoxha 58' F 6.70
7 L. Stojković L. Stojković 74' M 6.70
71 M. Bakrar M. Bakrar 1 ⚽ 58' F 7.20
9 D. Beljo D. Beljo 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
10 G. Vidović G. Vidović 32' M 6.70
21 M. Lisica M. Lisica 1 👟 32' F 7.50
22
M. Perez Vinlof D
14
M. Soldo 16' M 6.70
33
G 7.20
17
D. Melnjak 76' D 5.90
14
R. Raci D 6.60
15
D 6.90
28
R. Brajkovic 45' D 6.20
4
A. Pajaziti M 6.30
8
N. Sigur 85' M 6.90
24
A. Sanyang 62' M 6.50
21 R. Pukštas R. Pukštas M 6.70
30
I. Almena 76' M 6.20
10 M. Livaja M. Livaja F 6.60
Bench
9 A. Rebić A. Rebić 28' F 6.20
11 M. Šego M. Šego 14' F 6.30
32
S. Hrgovic 14' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
J. Mišić
J. Mišić
M · Dinamo
8.30
1 👟
· 48 pass
G · Dinamo
8.00
· 27 pass
D · Dinamo
7.90
· 90 pass
M. Lisica
M. Lisica
F · Dinamo
7.50
1 👟
2 shots · 9 pass
N. Galesic
D · Dinamo
7.50
· 68 pass
M. Valincic
D · Dinamo
7.50
· 45 pass
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.00 27 25%
B. Goda D 90 6.90 1 58 50% 1
D 90 7.90 90 86% 4
N. Galesic D 90 7.50 68 62% 1
M. Valincic D 90 7.50 45 42%
M. Zajc M 59 6.90 27 22% 3
J. Mišić M 89 8.30 1 48 48% 2
A. Hoxha F 58 6.70 1 16 15%
L. Stojković M 74 6.70 2 23 18%
M. Bakrar F 58 7.20 1 2 16 11% 1
D. Beljo F 90 7.50 1 4 22 14%
G. Vidović M 32 6.70 1 16 16%
M. Lisica F 32 7.50 1 2 9 8%
M. Soldo M 16 6.70 15 13%
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 32 29%
D. Melnjak D 76 5.90 29 18%
R. Raci D 90 6.60 50 49% 1
D 90 6.90 100 87% 1
R. Brajkovic D 45 6.20 28 24% 2
A. Pajaziti M 90 6.30 35 30% 3
N. Sigur M 85 6.90 57 48% 1 1
A. Sanyang M 62 6.50 3 2% 1
R. Pukštas M 90 6.70 19 14% 2
I. Almena M 76 6.20 1 29 22%
M. Livaja F 90 6.60 1 17 13%
A. Rebić F 28 6.20 1 1% 1
M. Šego F 14 6.30 3 3%
S. Hrgovic D 14 6.60 3 3% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The final score was Dinamo Zagreb 2–0 HNK Hajduk Split.
What did the model predict before Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Dinamo Zagreb win, 17% to a draw, and 19% to an HNK Hajduk Split win.