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HNL · Regular Season - 11 October 27, 2026 18:00 Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
#2 · 22 pts
2 – 1
Final score
HNK Rijeka
#5 · 17 pts
Luka Stojkovic (ast. Dion Drena Beljo) 35'
Luka Stojkovic (ast. Josip Mišić) 85'
63' (ast. Mladen Devetak) Samuele Vignato
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dinamo Zagreb a 46% win probability (draw 28%, HNK Rijeka 25%). The final result was Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 HNK Rijeka. In 4 previous meetings, Dinamo Zagreb have won 2 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for HNK Rijeka.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
1
1.54
Actual xG
0.42
1
Saves
4
54%
Possession
46%
3
Corners
1
9
Tackles
25
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Luka Stojkovic · ast. Dion Drena Beljo
35'
37'
Ante Majstorović
Stjepan Radeljić
42'
63'
ast. Mladen Devetak · Samuele Vignato⚽
↕ Niko Galešić / Moris Valinčić
69'
↕ Dani Rodríguez / Iker Almena Horcajo
69'
↕ Miha Zajc / Luka Ivanušec
75'
↕ Bruno Goda / Matteo Perez Vinlöf
75'
80'
Justas Lasickas / Toni Fruk ↕
84'
Amer Gojak / Samuele Vignato ↕
⚽Luka Stojkovic · ast. Josip Mišić
85'
89'
Jakov Puljić / Ivan Cubelic ↕
89'
Mohammad Mohebbi / Mladen Devetak ↕
↕ Arber Hoxha / Mislav Oršić
90'
Pre-match prediction
46.64%
Dinamo ←
28.1%
X
25.26%
HNK
we assigned to the actual result (Dinamo Zagreb) 46.64% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Dinamo
1.44
1.54
+0.1
HNK
0.84
0.42
-0.42
Dinamo Zagreb dominated by xG (1.54 vs 0.42). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 11 23
2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 10 22
3 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 11 18
4 NK Osijek NK Osijek 11 17
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 10 17
6 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 11 13
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 11 13
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 11 11
9 Rudes Rudes 11 10
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 11 7
Lineups
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-1-4-1
24 D. Kotarski D. Kotarski G 6.55
3 B. Goda B. Goda 75' D 6.47
6 S. Radeljić S. Radeljić D 6.78
36 Sergi Domínguez Sergi Domínguez D 7.55
15 N. Galešić N. Galešić 69' D 6.70
27 J. Mišić J. Mišić 1 👟 M 7.41
11 A. Hoxha A. Hoxha 89' M 6.68
8 M. Zajc M. Zajc 75' M 6.22
10 L. Stojković L. Stojković 2 ⚽ M 9.45
7 Dani Rodríguez Dani Rodríguez 69' M 6.31
9 D. Beljo D. Beljo 1 👟 F 7.10
Bench
30 F. Topić F. Topić F 0.00
44 I. Filipović I. Filipović G 0.00
23 Iker Almena Iker Almena 21' F 6.42
5 K. Kravtsov K. Kravtsov M 0.00
17 L. Ivanušec L. Ivanušec 15' M 6.38
80 L. Kačavenda L. Kačavenda M 0.00
21 M. Lisica M. Lisica F 0.00
99 M. Oršić M. Oršić 1' F 0.00
25 M. Valinčić M. Valinčić 21' D 6.58
22 Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf 15' D 6.58
13 Paul Bismarck Tabinas Paul Bismarck Tabinas D 0.00
14 S. Prevljak S. Prevljak F 0.00
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 4-2-3-1
13 I. Vekič I. Vekič G 6.93
34 M. Devetak M. Devetak 1 👟 89' D 7.09
51 A. Husic A. Husic D 6.49
45 A. Majstorović A. Majstorović D 5.79
22 A. Oreč A. Oreč D 6.84
6 B. Pavić B. Pavić M 6.49
8 I. Ćubelić I. Ćubelić 89' M 6.30
19 S. Vignato S. Vignato 1 ⚽ 84' M 7.14
26 Tiago Dantas Tiago Dantas M 5.87
10 T. Fruk T. Fruk 80' M 6.16
18 D. Adu-Adjei D. Adu-Adjei F 6.37
Bench
5 A. Barco A. Barco M 0.00
14 A. Gojak A. Gojak 6' M 5.99
77 A. Jurič A. Jurič F 0.00
99 A. Todorović A. Todorović G 0.00
23 J. Lasickas J. Lasickas 10' D 6.06
21 J. Puljić J. Puljić 1' F 6.33
9 M. Mohebi M. Mohebi 1' M 5.97
3 M. Živković M. Živković D 0.00
91 N. Bodetić N. Bodetić D 0.00
4 N. Janković N. Janković M 0.00
1 V. Kovac V. Kovac G 0.00
7 Y. Kabadayı Y. Kabadayı F 0.00
Best on the pitch
L. Stojković
L. Stojković
M · Dinamo
9.45
2 ⚽
4 shots · 43 pass
Sergi Domínguez
Sergi Domínguez
D · Dinamo
7.55
· 104 pass
J. Mišić
J. Mišić
M · Dinamo
7.41
1 👟
1 shots · 39 pass
S. Vignato
S. Vignato
M · HNK
7.14
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
D. Beljo
D. Beljo
F · Dinamo
7.10
1 👟
1 shots · 11 pass
M. Devetak
M. Devetak
D · HNK
7.09
1 👟
· 39 pass
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Kotarski G 90 6.55 — — 0 44 39% 0 — —
B. Goda D 75 6.47 — — 0 33 26% 2 — —
S. Radeljić D 90 6.78 — — 2 73 63% 0 1 —
Sergi Domínguez D 90 7.55 — — 0 104 91% 1 — —
N. Galešić D 69 6.70 — — 2 38 28% 3 — —
J. Mišić M 90 7.41 — 1 1 39 34% 1 — —
A. Hoxha M 89 6.68 — — 0 25 23% 0 — —
M. Zajc M 75 6.22 — — 3 23 20% 0 — —
L. Stojković M 90 9.45 2 — 4 43 38% 0 — —
Dani Rodríguez M 69 6.31 — — 2 14 10% 0 — —
D. Beljo F 90 7.10 — 1 1 11 9% 1 — —
Iker Almena F 21 6.42 — — 0 10 6% 0 — —
L. Ivanušec M 15 6.38 — — 0 9 7% 0 — —
M. Oršić F 1 0.00 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
M. Valinčić D 21 6.58 — — 0 9 5% 1 — —
Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf D 15 6.58 — — 1 8 8% 0 — —
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. Vekič G 90 6.93 — — 0 29 23% 0 — —
M. Devetak D 89 7.09 — 1 0 39 34% 4 — —
A. Husic D 90 6.49 — — 0 80 63% 5 — —
A. Majstorović D 90 5.79 — — 0 74 62% 1 1 —
A. Oreč D 90 6.84 — — 0 29 26% 6 — —
B. Pavić M 90 6.49 — — 0 61 56% 1 — —
I. Ćubelić M 89 6.30 — — 0 56 48% 2 — —
S. Vignato M 84 7.14 1 — 1 27 21% 1 — —
Tiago Dantas M 90 5.87 — — 0 53 48% 1 — —
T. Fruk M 80 6.16 — — 3 23 19% 3 — —
D. Adu-Adjei F 90 6.37 — — 1 12 10% 1 — —
A. Gojak M 6 5.99 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
J. Lasickas D 10 6.06 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
J. Puljić F 1 6.33 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
M. Mohebi M 1 5.97 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka?
The final score was Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 HNK Rijeka.
What did the model predict before Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Dinamo Zagreb win, 28% to a draw, and 25% to an HNK Rijeka win.