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Dinamo Zagreb - NEC Nijmegen

Europa League October 22, 2026 18:45
Dinamo Zagreb
#19 · 1 pts
vs
NEC Nijmegen
#36 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
79.43%
Win
Dinamo Zagreb
10.47%
Draw
10.09%
Win
NEC Nijmegen
3.76
Expected xG
1.3
Most likely outcome
Dinamo Zagreb
79.43%
Probability
64.3%
1X2 accuracy · 14 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–1 (7.6%)
1X2 Result
1 79%
X 10%
2 10%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 90%
X2 21%
12 90%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 92%
Over 2.5 85%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Dinamo Zagreb a 79% win probability, against 10% for a draw and 10% for NEC Nijmegen. Expected goals are 3.8 for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.3 for NEC Nijmegen (total 5.1), with a 91% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 7.6% probability.

Season Stats

Dinamo Zagreb
3W 3D 5L
NEC Nijmegen
0W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
0.0
2.0
Conceded
5.0
3.5
Shots OT
3.0
4.6
Corners
1.0
48%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
91%
O 1.5
100%
73%
O 2.5
100%
64%
BTTS
0%
9%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 11 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
90%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Dinamo Zagreb
2W 0D 3L · at home
NEC Nijmegen
0W 0D 1L · away
1.8
gls/g
0.0
2.2
Conceded
5.0
40%
Win %
0%
40%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
80%
O 3.5
100%
80%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
100%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Dinamo Zagreb NEC Nijmegen →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —
1 2.4% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.5% 5.8% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.6% 7.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 5.3% 6.9% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
5 4.0% 5.2% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%

Recent form

Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
D Hapoel Beer Sheva 0–0
D Genk 3–3
L Genk 1–3
L FC Midtjylland 2–0
W FCSB 4–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 41%
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
L Juventus 5–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
Attack
39
Defence
58
Form
39
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
Attack
29
Defence
38
Form
17
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
The model gives Dinamo Zagreb a 79% win probability, 10% for a draw, and 10% for an NEC Nijmegen win.
How many goals are expected in Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
Expected goals: Dinamo Zagreb 3.8, NEC Nijmegen 1.3 (total 5.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 91%.
What is the most likely score in Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.6%.