Dinamo Zagreb 2–4 NEC Nijmegen — pre-match prediction — Europa League — October 22, 2026

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Europa League · League Stage - 3 October 22, 2026 18:45 Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb

#9 · 7 pts

2 – 4

Final score

NEC Nijmegen

#12 · 7 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Dinamo Zagreb, result NEC Nijmegen wins

Dion Drena Beljo (ast. Matteo Perez Vinlöf) 33'

Dion Drena Beljo 37'

25' (ast. Noe Lebreton) Clement Bischoff

45' (ast. Clement Bischoff) Bryan Linssen

54' (ast. Darko Nejašmić) Bryan Linssen

80' Tjaronn Chery

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dinamo Zagreb a 68% win probability (draw 16%, NEC Nijmegen 15%). The final result was Dinamo Zagreb 2–4 NEC Nijmegen.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.56

Actual xG

1.25

Saves

58%

Possession

42%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

Dion Drena Beljo

23'

25'

ast. Noe Lebreton · Clement Bischoff⚽

⚽Dion Drena Beljo · ast. Matteo Perez Vinlöf

33'

36'

⚽Dion Drena Beljo

37'

44'

Noe Lebreton

45'

ast. Clement Bischoff · Bryan Linssen⚽

54'

ast. Darko Nejašmić · Bryan Linssen⚽

↕ Iker Almena Horcajo / Dani Rodríguez

59'

↕ Niko Galesic / Moris Valincic

67'

↕ Arber Hoxha / Mislav Oršić

67'

76'

Jamiro Monteiro / Dennis Geiger ↕

↕ Matteo Perez Vinlöf / Bruno Goda

76'

↕ Luka Ivanušec / Lukas Kacavenda

76'

80'

Tjaronn Chery⚽

81'

Kevin Kers / Deveron Fonville ↕

81'

Gabriel·Bras / Perr Schuurs ↕

90'+2

Clement Bischoff

90'

Willum Thor Willumsson / Tjaronn Chery ↕

90'

Kaj Sierhuis / Bryan Linssen ↕

Pre-match prediction

68.16%

Dinamo

16.04%

15.8%

NEC ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (NEC Nijmegen) 15.8% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Dinamo

3.06

2.56

-0.5

NEC

1.39

1.25

-0.14

Dinamo Zagreb dominated by xG (2.56 vs 1.25). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Benfica	4	12
2	Bournemouth	4	12
3	Ferencvarosi TC	4	12
4	Union St. Gilloise	4	10
5	Juventus	4	10
6	Olympiakos Piraeus	4	10
7	Bayer Leverkusen	4	9
8	Beşiktaş	4	7
9	Dinamo Zagreb	4	7
10	Levski Sofia	4	7
11	Sunderland	4	7
12	NEC Nijmegen	4	7
13	Lyon	4	7
14	AZ Alkmaar	4	6
15	Anderlecht	4	6
16	OFI	4	6
17	Rennes	4	6
18	Omonia Nicosia	4	6
19	Torreense	4	6
20	Real Sociedad	4	5
21	Crystal Palace	4	5
22	Sparta Praha	4	4
23	1899 Hoffenheim	4	4
24	Sturm Graz	4	4
25	Celje	4	4
26	Red Bull Salzburg	4	4
27	Celta Vigo	4	3
28	AC Milan	4	3
29	Jagiellonia	4	3
30	Plzen	4	3
31	Marseille	4	3
32	Celtic	4	3
33	Hapoel Beer Sheva	4	1
34	Lillestrom	4	1
35	Lech Poznan	4	1
36	Ararat-Armenia	4	0

Lineups

Dinamo Zagreb 4-1-4-1

D. Kotarski G 5.97

Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf 1 👟 76' D 6.54

S. McKenna D 6.22

Sergi Domínguez D 6.32

N. Galešić 67' D 6.15

J. Mišić M 6.79

A. Hoxha 67' M 5.81

L. Ivanušec 76' M 6.13

L. Stojković M 5.46

Iker Almena 59' M 5.94

D. Beljo 2 ⚽ F 8.65

Bench

B. Goda 14' D 5.79

Dani Rodríguez 31' F 6.64

D. Zagorac G 0.00

I. Filipović G 0.00

K. Kravtsov M 0.00

L. Kačavenda 14' M 5.68

M. Lisica F 0.00

M. Oršić 23' F 6.41

M. Valinčić 23' D 5.92

M. Zajc M 0.00

S. Prevljak F 0.00

S. Radeljić D 0.00

NEC Nijmegen 3-4-2-1

G. Crettaz G 7.07

Deveron Fonville 81' D 6.18

A. Kaplan D 6.75

P. Schuurs 81' D 6.38

Clement Bischoff 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.25

D. Geiger 76' M 6.87

D. Nejašmić 1 👟 M 7.42

T. Storm M 6.54

N. Lebreton 1 👟 M 6.98

T. Chery 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.60

B. Linssen 2 ⚽ 89' F 9.07

Bench

Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar D 0.00

Gabriel Brás 9' D 6.11

Jamiro Monteiro 14' M 6.13

Joep Geneste G 0.00

Kevin Kers 9' F 6.47

K. Sierhuis 1' F 0.00

N. Polster G 0.00

W. Willumsson 1' M 0.00

Best on the pitch

B. Linssen

F · NEC

9.07

2 ⚽

3 shots · 7 pass

D. Beljo

F · Dinamo

8.65

2 ⚽

6 shots · 30 pass

Clement Bischoff

M · NEC

8.25

1 ⚽ 1 👟

4 shots · 31 pass

T. Chery

M · NEC

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots · 40 pass

D. Nejašmić

M · NEC

7.42

1 👟

· 51 pass

G. Crettaz

G · NEC

7.07

· 36 pass

Dinamo Zagreb — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. Kotarski	G	90	5.97	—	—	0	39	28%	0	—	—
Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf	D	76	6.54	—	1	0	42	32%	1	—	—
S. McKenna	D	90	6.22	—	—	0	66	63%	1	—	—
Sergi Domínguez	D	90	6.32	—	—	1	78	72%	1	—	—
N. Galešić	D	67	6.15	—	—	0	29	28%	3	—	—
J. Mišić	M	90	6.79	—	—	1	66	57%	4	—	—
A. Hoxha	M	67	5.81	—	—	0	15	10%	1	—	—
L. Ivanušec	M	76	6.13	—	—	0	30	23%	2	—	—
L. Stojković	M	90	5.46	—	—	4	49	41%	1	—	—
Iker Almena	M	59	5.94	—	—	0	17	12%	0	—	—
D. Beljo	F	90	8.65	2	—	6	30	24%	0	1	—
B. Goda	D	14	5.79	—	—	0	6	6%	0	—	—
Dani Rodríguez	F	31	6.64	—	—	1	15	12%	0	—	—
L. Kačavenda	M	14	5.68	—	—	1	7	5%	1	—	—
M. Oršić	F	23	6.41	—	—	2	6	5%	0	—	—
M. Valinčić	D	23	5.92	—	—	0	22	21%	0	—	—

NEC Nijmegen — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Crettaz	G	90	7.07	—	—	0	36	14%	0	—	—
Deveron Fonville	D	81	6.18	—	—	0	29	22%	4	—	—
A. Kaplan	D	90	6.75	—	—	1	26	22%	3	—	—
P. Schuurs	D	81	6.38	—	—	0	34	29%	1	—	—
Clement Bischoff	M	90	8.25	1	1	4	31	25%	4	1	—
D. Geiger	M	76	6.87	—	—	1	29	27%	2	—	—
D. Nejašmić	M	90	7.42	—	1	0	51	45%	5	—	—
T. Storm	M	90	6.54	—	—	0	31	28%	1	—	—
N. Lebreton	M	90	6.98	—	1	4	27	21%	5	1	—
T. Chery	M	89	7.60	1	—	2	40	32%	1	—	—
B. Linssen	F	89	9.07	2	—	3	7	5%	0	—	—
Gabriel Brás	D	9	6.11	—	—	0	4	2%	0	—	—
Jamiro Monteiro	M	14	6.13	—	—	0	7	5%	0	—	—
Kevin Kers	F	9	6.47	—	—	0	4	3%	0	—	—
K. Sierhuis	F	1	0.00	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—
W. Willumsson	M	1	0.00	—	—	0	4	4%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?

The final score was Dinamo Zagreb 2–4 NEC Nijmegen.

What did the model predict before Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?

The model assigned 68% probability to a Dinamo Zagreb win, 16% to a draw, and 15% to an NEC Nijmegen win.