Dinamo Zagreb 3–2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — pre-match prediction — HNL — September 20, 2026

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HNL · Regular Season - 8 September 20, 2026 20:00 Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb

#1 · 16 pts

3 – 2

Final score

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

#7 · 7 pts

N. Galesic (ast. S. Radeljic) 11'

D. Beljo (ast. P. Tabinas) 26'

D. Beljo (ast. L. Stojkovic) 58'

28' D. Vukovic

75' (ast. A. Triantafyllou) L. Belcar

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dinamo Zagreb a 54% win probability (draw 23%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 22%). The final result was Dinamo Zagreb 3–2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. In 4 previous meetings, Dinamo Zagreb have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.88

Actual xG

1.42

Saves

57%

Possession

43%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

⚽N. Galesic · ast. S. Radeljic

11'

M. Kovacevic

12'

⚽D. Beljo · ast. P. Tabinas

26'

28'

D. Vukovic⚽

32'

A. Triantafyllou

L. Kacavenda

35'

43'

F. Karacic

46'

M. Subotic / I. Katic ↕

⚽D. Beljo · ast. L. Stojkovic

58'

59'

M. Maric / N. Djurkovic ↕

61'

D. Thaqi / D. Vukovic ↕

↕ L. Kacavenda / M. Zajc

63'

↕ L. Stojkovic / K. Kravtsov

63'

64'

F. Fetai

↕ L. Ivanusec / A. Hoxha

66'

↕ P. Tabinas / M. Valincic

66'

J. Misic

69'

↕ M. Lisica / I. Almena

74'

75'

ast. A. Triantafyllou · L. Belcar⚽

79'

M. Antunovic / F. Fetai ↕

82'

M. Vesovic

88'

D. Reic

Pre-match prediction

54.39%

Dinamo ←

23.52%

22.09%

we assigned to the actual result (Dinamo Zagreb) 54.39% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Dinamo

3.11

1.88

-1.23

0.73

1.42

+0.69

Dinamo Zagreb dominated by xG (1.88 vs 1.42). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Dinamo Zagreb	7	16
2	HNK Hajduk Split	8	16
3	NK Osijek	8	16
4	NK Varazdin	8	15
5	HNK Rijeka	7	14
6	Istra 1961	8	9
7	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	8	7
8	NK Slaven Belupo	8	7
9	HNK Gorica	8	5
10	Rudes	8	4

Lineups

Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3

Dominik Kotarski G 6.70

Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf D 6.90

Stjepan Radeljić 1 👟 D 7.60

Niko Galešić 1 ⚽ D 7.90

Paul Bismarck Tabinas 1 👟 66' D 7.00

Lukas Kačavenda 63' M 6.90

Josip Mišić 69' M 6.90

Luka Stojković 1 👟 63' M 7.00

Luka Ivanušec 66' F 7.30

D. Beljo 2 ⚽ F 9.20

Mateo Lisica 74' F 7.20

Bench

Arber Hoxha 30' F 6.30

Bruno Goda D

F. Topić F

I. Filipović G

Iker Almena 22' F 6.70

Kirill Kravtsov 33' M 6.60

Miha Zajc 33' M 6.30

Mislav Oršić F

Moris Valinčić 30' D 6.50

Scott McKenna D

Sergi Domínguez D

Smail Prevljak F

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-2-3-1

Josip Posavec G 6.90

Kristijan Čabrajić D 5.90

Marijan Čabraja D 6.90

T. Triantafyllou 1 👟 D 6.90

Fran Karačić D 6.00

Ivan Katić 45' M 6.20

Feta Fetai 79' M 6.20

D. Vuković 1 ⚽ 61' M 7.30

L. Belcar 1 ⚽ M 8.20

Marko Vešović M 6.20

Noel Đurković 59' F 6.50

Bench

Dardan Morina M

Dominik Thaqi 35' F 6.50

Duje Reić M

Jakov Gurlica M

Luka Savatović G

Mate Antunović 17' F 6.70

Matija Subotić 51' M 6.50

Mirko Marić 37' F 6.70

M. Lorber M

Pavle Smiljanić M

Teodor Kralevski D

Best on the pitch

D. Beljo

F · Dinamo

9.20

2 ⚽

3 shots · 16 pass

L. Belcar

M · NK

8.20

1 ⚽

3 shots · 29 pass

Niko Galešić

D · Dinamo

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 58 pass

Stjepan Radeljić

D · Dinamo

7.60

1 👟

1 shots · 62 pass

D. Vuković

M · NK

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 7 pass

Luka Ivanušec

F · Dinamo

7.30

2 shots · 48 pass

Dinamo Zagreb — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Dominik Kotarski	G	96	6.70	—	—	—	31	21%	—	—	—
Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf	D	96	6.90	—	—	—	39	33%	2	—	—
Stjepan Radeljić	D	96	7.60	—	1	1	62	54%	1	—	—
Niko Galešić	D	96	7.90	1	—	1	58	51%	1	—	—
Paul Bismarck Tabinas	D	66	7.00	—	1	1	27	22%	2	—	—
Lukas Kačavenda	M	63	6.90	—	—	—	29	27%	2	1	—
Josip Mišić	M	69	6.90	—	—	—	48	45%	1	—	1
Luka Stojković	M	63	7.00	—	1	1	20	20%	3	—	—
Luka Ivanušec	F	66	7.30	—	—	2	48	40%	5	—	—
D. Beljo	F	96	9.20	2	—	3	16	14%	—	—	—
Mateo Lisica	F	74	7.20	—	—	1	19	18%	1	—	—
Arber Hoxha	F	30	6.30	—	—	2	8	6%	—	—	—
Iker Almena	F	22	6.70	—	—	1	3	2%	—	—	—
Kirill Kravtsov	M	33	6.60	—	—	—	5	5%	1	—	—
Miha Zajc	M	33	6.30	—	—	—	13	8%	1	—	—
Moris Valinčić	D	30	6.50	—	—	—	4	1%	1	—	—

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Josip Posavec	G	96	6.90	—	—	—	23	15%	—	—	—
Kristijan Čabrajić	D	96	5.90	—	—	—	27	22%	1	—	—
Marijan Čabraja	D	96	6.90	—	—	1	61	52%	—	—	—
T. Triantafyllou	D	96	6.90	—	1	1	47	41%	1	1	—
Fran Karačić	D	96	6.00	—	—	1	33	29%	1	1	—
Ivan Katić	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	10	5%	2	—	—
Feta Fetai	M	79	6.20	—	—	—	12	10%	1	1	—
D. Vuković	M	61	7.30	1	—	1	7	7%	1	—	—
L. Belcar	M	96	8.20	1	—	3	29	19%	1	—	—
Marko Vešović	M	96	6.20	—	—	2	20	11%	—	1	—
Noel Đurković	F	59	6.50	—	—	—	7	7%	—	—	—
Dominik Thaqi	F	35	6.50	—	—	—	10	10%	—	—	—
Mate Antunović	F	17	6.70	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—
Matija Subotić	M	51	6.50	—	—	—	24	22%	—	—	—
Mirko Marić	F	37	6.70	—	—	1	10	9%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

The final score was Dinamo Zagreb 3–2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

What did the model predict before Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

The model assigned 54% probability to a Dinamo Zagreb win, 23% to a draw, and 22% to an NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win.