Dinamo Zagreb 3–1 NK Varazdin — pre-match prediction — HNL — August 22, 2026

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HNL · Regular Season - 4 August 22, 2026 21:00 Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb

#2 · 22 pts

3 – 1

Final score

NK Varazdin

#3 · 18 pts

D. Beljo 57'

N. Galesic (ast. D. Beljo) 68'

R. Mudrazija (ast. D. Beljo) 90'+3

28' (ast. I. Canjuga) M. Mladenovski

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dinamo Zagreb a 43% win probability (draw 28%, NK Varazdin 28%). The final result was Dinamo Zagreb 3–1 NK Varazdin. In 4 previous meetings, Dinamo Zagreb have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for NK Varazdin.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.40

Actual xG

0.35

Saves

62%

Possession

38%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

28'

ast. I. Canjuga · M. Mladenovski⚽

45'+1

N. Tepsic

M. Zajc

45'

↕ B. Goda / M. Perez Vinlof

56'

↕ P. Tabinas / M. Valincic

56'

⚽D. Beljo

57'

60'

M. Vuk / I. Mamut ↕

60'

T. Duvnjak / M. Marina ↕

⚽N. Galesic · ast. D. Beljo

68'

72'

F. Maglica

72'

D. Puclin / L. Mamic ↕

72'

E. Uchegbu / I. Tavares ↕

↕ A. Hoxha / M. Orsic

73'

↕ M. Zajc / R. Mudrazija

73'

80'

S. Juric / A. Latkovic ↕

↕ M. Lisica / F. Topic

81'

J. Misic

82'

⚽R. Mudrazija · ast. D. Beljo

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

43.41%

Dinamo ←

28.47%

28.12%

we assigned to the actual result (Dinamo Zagreb) 43.41% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Dinamo

3.86

0.40

-3.46

1.94

0.35

-1.6

xG dominance was balanced (0.40 – 0.35). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	HNK Hajduk Split	11	23
2	Dinamo Zagreb	10	22
3	NK Varazdin	11	18
4	NK Osijek	11	17
5	HNK Rijeka	10	17
6	Istra 1961	11	13
7	NK Slaven Belupo	11	13
8	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	11	11
9	Rudes	11	10
10	HNK Gorica	11	7

Lineups

Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3

I. Nevistić 45' G 6.30

B. Goda 45' D 6.50

S. Radeljić 45' D 6.90

N. Galešić 1 ⚽ 45' D 7.20

Paul Bismarck Tabinas 45' D 7.00

M. Zajc 45' M 6.20

J. Mišić 45' M 7.20

L. Kačavenda 45' M 7.30

A. Hoxha 45' F 6.60

D. Beljo 1 ⚽ 2 👟 45' F 6.50

M. Lisica 45' F 6.30

Bench

F. Topić F

I. Filipović G

K. Kravtsov M

M. Oršić F

M. Valinčić D

N. Nsoki M

Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf D

R. Mudražija 1 ⚽ M

Sergi Domínguez D

S. McKenna D

S. Prevljak F

Sven Šunta M

NK Varazdin 4-2-3-1

J. Silić 45' G 7.50

G. Sikošek 45' D 6.90

N. Tepšić 45' D 7.20

M. Mladenovski 1 ⚽ 45' D 7.90

F. Maglica 45' D 6.30

M. Marina 45' M 6.30

I. Canjuga 1 👟 45' M 6.90

Iuri Tavares 45' M 6.30

Luka Mamić 45' M 6.70

A. Latković 45' M 6.20

I. Mamut 45' F 6.50

Bench

D. Puclin M

E. Duraković D

E. Uchegbu F

I. Posavec M

L. Posinkovic D

L. Škaričić D

M. Vuk F

O. Zelenika G

P. Bočkaj D

S. Jurić F

Sven Lesjak D

T. Duvnjak M

Best on the pitch

M. Mladenovski

D · NK

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 12 pass

J. Silić

G · NK

7.50

· 17 pass

L. Kačavenda

M · Dinamo

7.30

· 24 pass

N. Galešić

D · Dinamo

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 49 pass

J. Mišić

M · Dinamo

7.20

1 shots · 52 pass

N. Tepšić

D · NK

7.20

· 16 pass

Dinamo Zagreb — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
I. Nevistić	G	45	6.30	—	—	—	18	17%	—	—	—
B. Goda	D	45	6.50	—	—	—	17	16%	1	—	—
S. Radeljić	D	45	6.90	—	—	1	52	48%	—	—	—
N. Galešić	D	45	7.20	1	—	1	49	47%	1	—	—
Paul Bismarck Tabinas	D	45	7.00	—	—	—	21	17%	4	—	—
M. Zajc	M	45	6.20	—	—	2	29	25%	—	1	—
J. Mišić	M	45	7.20	—	—	1	52	43%	1	—	—
L. Kačavenda	M	45	7.30	—	—	—	24	22%	3	—	—
A. Hoxha	F	45	6.60	—	—	—	10	8%	1	—	—
D. Beljo	F	45	6.50	1	2	2	7	6%	1	—	—
M. Lisica	F	45	6.30	—	—	—	13	12%	—	—	—

NK Varazdin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Silić	G	45	7.50	—	—	—	17	10%	—	—	—
G. Sikošek	D	45	6.90	—	—	—	21	18%	2	—	—
N. Tepšić	D	45	7.20	—	—	—	16	14%	4	1	—
M. Mladenovski	D	45	7.90	1	—	1	12	9%	1	—	—
F. Maglica	D	45	6.30	—	—	—	15	12%	—	—	—
M. Marina	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	19	16%	1	—	—
I. Canjuga	M	45	6.90	—	1	—	19	15%	—	—	—
Iuri Tavares	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	13	9%	2	—	—
Luka Mamić	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	20	16%	1	—	—
A. Latković	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	10	6%	1	—	—
I. Mamut	F	45	6.50	—	—	1	14	9%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin?

The final score was Dinamo Zagreb 3–1 NK Varazdin.

What did the model predict before Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin?

The model assigned 43% probability to a Dinamo Zagreb win, 28% to a draw, and 28% to an NK Varazdin win.