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Dinamo Zagreb - Sturm Graz

Europa League January 28, 2027 21:00
Dinamo Zagreb
#12 · 0 pts
vs
Sturm Graz
#32 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
65.68%
Win
Dinamo Zagreb
18.6%
Draw
15.72%
Win
Sturm Graz
2.25
Expected xG
0.87
Most likely outcome
Dinamo Zagreb
65.68%
Probability
50.0%
1X2 accuracy · 10 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–0 (10.95%)
1X2 Result
1 66%
X 19%
2 16%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 84%
X2 34%
12 81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 70%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Dinamo Zagreb a 65% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Sturm Graz. Expected goals are 2.2 for Dinamo Zagreb and 0.9 for Sturm Graz (total 3.1), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 10.95% probability.

Season Stats

Dinamo Zagreb
3W 2D 5L
Sturm Graz
2W 1D 5L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
0.6
2.2
Conceded
1.4
3.8
Shots OT
3.1
4.9
Corners
2.8
50%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
63%
80%
O 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
38%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 10 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Dinamo Zagreb
2W 0D 3L · at home
Sturm Graz
0W 0D 4L · away
1.8
gls/g
0.5
2.2
Conceded
2.2
40%
Win %
0%
40%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
75%
80%
O 3.5
0%
80%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
50%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Dinamo Zagreb Sturm Graz →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 9.9% 8.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% —
2 11.1% 9.7% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% —
3 8.3% 7.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% —
4 4.7% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
D Genk 3–3
L Genk 1–3
L FC Midtjylland 2–0
W FCSB 4–1
L Real Betis 1–3
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
W Brann 1–0
L Feyenoord 3–0
L FK Crvena Zvezda 0–1
L Panathinaikos 2–1
D Nottingham Forest 0–0

Playing profile

Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
Attack
48
Defence
57
Form
46
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Attack
41
Defence
62
Form
27
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs Sturm Graz?
The model gives Dinamo Zagreb a 65% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 15% for an Sturm Graz win.
How many goals are expected in Dinamo Zagreb vs Sturm Graz?
Expected goals: Dinamo Zagreb 2.2, Sturm Graz 0.9 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Dinamo Zagreb vs Sturm Graz?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.95%.