Skip to main content
← Europa League

Dinamo Zagreb - Sturm Graz

Europa League January 28, 2027 21:00
Dinamo Zagreb
#18 · 4 pts
vs
Sturm Graz
#19 · 4 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
65.68%
Win
Dinamo Zagreb
18.6%
Draw
15.72%
Win
Sturm Graz
2.25
Expected xG
0.87
Most likely outcome
Dinamo Zagreb
65.68%
Probability
65.4%
1X2 accuracy · 26 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–0 (10.95%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 66%
X 19%
2 16%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 84%
X2 34%
12 81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 70%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Dinamo Zagreb a 65% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Sturm Graz. Expected goals are 2.2 for Dinamo Zagreb and 0.9 for Sturm Graz (total 3.1), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 10.95% probability.

Season Stats

Dinamo Zagreb
4W 3D 6L
Sturm Graz
3W 2D 6L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
0.6
2.0
Conceded
1.3
4.0
Shots OT
3.2
4.8
Corners
2.9
49%
Poss.
42%
Percentages
85%
O 1.5
55%
69%
O 2.5
45%
62%
BTTS
27%
15%
Clean Sht
36%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
36%
O 3.5
56%
BTTS
Dinamo Zagreb
3W 0D 4L · at home
Sturm Graz
0W 0D 5L · away
1.7
gls/g
0.4
2.1
Conceded
2.4
43%
Win %
0%
43%
Win or Draw
0%
86%
O 1.5
100%
86%
O 2.5
80%
71%
O 3.5
0%
71%
BTTS
40%
14%
Clean Sht
0%
14%
Failed to Score
60%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Dinamo Zagreb Sturm Graz →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 9.9% 8.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% —
2 11.1% 9.7% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% —
3 8.3% 7.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% —
4 4.7% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
L NEC Nijmegen 2–4
W Anderlecht 1–0
D Hapoel Beer Sheva 0–0
D Genk 3–3
L Genk 1–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
W Marseille 1–0
L Bournemouth 3–0
D Rennes 0–0
W Brann 1–0
L Feyenoord 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
Attack
53
Defence
57
Form
43
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Attack
48
Defence
61
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs Sturm Graz?
The model gives Dinamo Zagreb a 65% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 15% for an Sturm Graz win.
How many goals are expected in Dinamo Zagreb vs Sturm Graz?
Expected goals: Dinamo Zagreb 2.2, Sturm Graz 0.9 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Dinamo Zagreb vs Sturm Graz?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.95%.