The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Doncaster a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Barnsley 32%). The final result was Doncaster 0–0 Barnsley. In 2 previous meetings, Doncaster have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Barnsley.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
1
1.36
Actual xG
0.34
1
Saves
3
41%
Possession
59%
4
Corners
3
19
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
J. Thomas
61'
J. Thomas
/ L. Ayinde
63'
68'
N. Town
/
M. Kirk
H. Adelakun
/ B. McCann
73'
G. Broadbent
/ I. Hutchinson
73'
75'
R. Cleary
/
A. Richards
83'
J. Earl
86'
C. Taylor
/
L. Alker
A. May
/ B. Hanlan
88'
Pre-match prediction
34.88%
Doncaster
32.32%
X ←
32.81%
Barnsley
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.32%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
1.36
+0.04
1.21
0.34
-0.87
Doncaster dominated by xG (1.36 vs 0.34).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Tommy Simkin
G
Tommy Simkin
G
23
J. Senior
D
J. Senior
D
6
J. McGrath
D
J. McGrath
D
12
N. Byrne
D
N. Byrne
D
2
J. Sterry
D
J. Sterry
D
22
R. Gotts
M
R. Gotts
M
47
H. Adelakun
73'
M
H. Adelakun
73'
M
8
G. Broadbent
73'
M
G. Broadbent
73'
M
4
O. Bailey
M
O. Bailey
M
19
J. Thomas
63'
M
J. Thomas
63'
M
10
A. May
88'
F
A. May
88'
F
Bench
25
Bayley McCann
18'
D
Bayley McCann
18'
D
9
B. Hanlan
3'
F
B. Hanlan
3'
F
20
D. Robinson
M
D. Robinson
M
21
I. Hutchinson
18'
M
I. Hutchinson
18'
M
42
J. Clarke
G
J. Clarke
G
11
L. Ayinde
28'
F
L. Ayinde
28'
F
27
S. Grehan
D
S. Grehan
D
25
Rogan Ravenhill
G
Rogan Ravenhill
G
2
A. Kay
D
A. Kay
D
32
J. Earl
D
J. Earl
D
4
S. Gale
D
S. Gale
D
11
T. Noslin
D
T. Noslin
D
48
L. Connell
M
L. Connell
M
8
C. McGeehan
M
C. McGeehan
M
17
Amani Richards
75'
M
Amani Richards
75'
M
22
Patrick Kelly
M
Patrick Kelly
M
36
L. Alker
86'
M
L. Alker
86'
M
9
M. Kirk
68'
F
M. Kirk
68'
F
Bench
7
C. O'Keeffe
D
C. O'Keeffe
D
13
C. Taylor
5'
F
C. Taylor
5'
F
30
Jonathan Bland
M
Jonathan Bland
M
5
J. Shepherd
D
J. Shepherd
D
51
Kieren Flavell
G
Kieren Flavell
G
34
N. Town
23'
D
N. Town
23'
D
19
R. Cleary
16'
F
R. Cleary
16'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Senior
D · Doncaster
7.70
· 19 pass
L. Connell
M · Barnsley
7.50
1 shots
· 47 pass
J. McGrath
D · Doncaster
7.30
· 29 pass
N. Byrne
D · Doncaster
7.30
· 29 pass
R. Gotts
M · Doncaster
7.20
· 21 pass
A. May
F · Doncaster
7.20
1 shots
· 11 pass
Doncaster — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Simkin | G | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Senior | D | 91 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | 7 | — | — |
| J. McGrath | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Byrne | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Sterry | D | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Gotts | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Adelakun | M | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 4% | — | — | — |
| G. Broadbent | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Bailey | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Thomas | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. May | F | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Bayley McCann | D | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| B. Hanlan | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Hutchinson | M | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| L. Ayinde | F | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Barnsley — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rogan Ravenhill | G | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | — | — |
| A. Kay | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Earl | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Gale | D | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Noslin | D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Connell | M | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| C. McGeehan | M | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Amani Richards | M | 75 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Patrick Kelly | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | — | — | — |
| L. Alker | M | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Kirk | F | 68 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Taylor | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| N. Town | D | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Cleary | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Doncaster vs Barnsley?
The final score was Doncaster 0–0 Barnsley.
What did the model predict before Doncaster vs Barnsley?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Doncaster win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Barnsley win.