Doncaster - Middlesbrough
EFL Cup
August 25, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.85%
Win
Doncaster
30.16%
Draw
29.99%
Win
Middlesbrough
1.6
0.95
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(11.82%)
1X2 Result
1
40%
X
30%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
60%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
50%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Doncaster a 39% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Middlesbrough. Expected goals are 1.6 for Doncaster and 0.9 for Middlesbrough (total 2.5), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.82% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Doncaster have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Middlesbrough.
Season Stats
2W
1D
1L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
0.5
1.0
Conceded
2.0
3.3
Shots OT
4.0
6.5
Corners
7.0
44%
Poss.
56%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
50%
25%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Doncaster
Middlesbrough →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | — |
| 1 | 12.5% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Doncaster
Attack
38
Defence
71
Form
56
Middlesbrough
Attack
36
Defence
58
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
12 Aug 2025
4–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Doncaster vs Middlesbrough?
The model gives Doncaster a 39% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 29% for an Middlesbrough win.
How many goals are expected in Doncaster vs Middlesbrough?
Expected goals: Doncaster 1.6, Middlesbrough 0.9 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Doncaster vs Middlesbrough?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.82%.