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Doncaster - Oxford United

League One December 15, 2026 20:45 Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster
Doncaster
#20 · 12 pts
vs
Oxford United
#3 · 26 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.52%
Win
Doncaster
29.82%
Draw
36.66%
Win
Oxford United
1.6
Expected xG
1.85

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.96%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 30%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 67%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Oxford United a 36% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Doncaster. Expected goals are 1.6 for Doncaster and 1.8 for Oxford United (total 3.4), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.96% probability.

Season Stats

Doncaster
4W 4D 7L
Oxford United
7W 5D 1L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.7
1.6
Conceded
0.8
4.0
Shots OT
4.8
4.8
Corners
5.2
47%
Poss.
56%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
85%
47%
O 2.5
54%
60%
BTTS
62%
27%
Clean Sht
38%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in League One. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
22%
O 3.5
57%
BTTS
Doncaster
3W 3D 4L · at home
Oxford United
3W 2D 1L · away
0.8
gls/g
1.8
1.1
Conceded
1.2
30%
Win %
50%
60%
Win or Draw
83%
70%
O 1.5
100%
10%
O 2.5
67%
10%
O 3.5
33%
30%
BTTS
83%
40%
Clean Sht
17%
40%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Doncaster Oxford United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2% 5.9% 5.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.6%
1 5.1% 9.4% 8.7% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.5% 7.0% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.2% 4.0% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

Doncaster Doncaster
L Milton Keynes Dons 6–1
L Luton 3–1
W Sheffield Wednesday 2–0
L Stockport County 0–2
L Leicester 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Oxford United Oxford United
W Reading 2–0
D Barnsley 1–1
W Stockport County 1–0
D Bradford 0–0
W Wigan 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Doncaster Doncaster
Attack
31
Defence
52
Form
41
Oxford United Oxford United
Attack
47
Defence
70
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Huddersfield Huddersfield 14 29
2 Stockport County Stockport County 14 26
3 Oxford United Oxford United 13 26
4 Luton Luton 14 24
5 Plymouth Plymouth 14 23
6 Reading Reading 14 22
7 Bradford Bradford 13 22
8 Cambridge United Cambridge United 14 21
9 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 13 20
10 Leicester Leicester 13 19
11 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 13 19
12 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 13 18
13 Wycombe Wycombe 13 18
14 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 13 17
15 Burton Albion Burton Albion 14 17
16 Stevenage Stevenage 12 16
17 Notts County Notts County 12 14
18 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 13 13
19 Blackpool Blackpool 12 12
20 Doncaster Doncaster 13 12
21 Wigan Wigan 14 11
22 Peterborough Peterborough 13 10
23 Barnsley Barnsley 12 9
24 Bromley Bromley 13 9
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Doncaster vs Oxford United?
The model gives Doncaster a 33% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 36% for an Oxford United win.
How many goals are expected in Doncaster vs Oxford United?
Expected goals: Doncaster 1.6, Oxford United 1.8 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Doncaster vs Oxford United?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.96%.