Owen Bailey
6'
Owen Bailey
(ast. Isaac Hutchinson)
16'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sheffield Wednesday a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Doncaster 28%). The final result was Doncaster 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
13
6
Shots on target
8
1.30
Actual xG
1.24
8
Saves
4
35%
Possession
65%
9
Corners
4
11
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Owen Bailey
6'
14'
Ali Al-Hamadi
⚽Owen Bailey
· ast. Isaac Hutchinson
16'
45'
Mason Burstow
/
Jaden Heskey
Will Keane
/ Alfie May
68'
Isaac Hutchinson
/ Brandon Hanlan
68'
Jamie Sterry
/ George Broadbent
68'
Hakeeb Adelakun
/ Tommi Dylan O'Reilly
69'
Robbie Gotts
73'
80'
William Grainger
/
Ali Al-Hamadi
Leon Ayinde
/ Bayley McCann
81'
86'
Billy Mitchell
88'
Sean Fusire
/
Liam Palmer
Pre-match prediction
28.64%
Doncaster ←
29.22%
X
42.14%
Sheffield
we assigned to the actual result (Doncaster)
28.64%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.69
1.30
+0.61
1.25
1.24
-0.01
xG dominance was balanced (1.30 – 1.24).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Tommy Simkin
G
Tommy Simkin
G
23
J. Senior
D
J. Senior
D
12
N. Byrne
D
N. Byrne
D
27
S. Grehan
D
S. Grehan
D
2
J. Sterry
68'
D
J. Sterry
68'
D
4
O. Bailey
2 ⚽
M
O. Bailey
2 ⚽
M
22
R. Gotts
M
R. Gotts
M
47
H. Adelakun
69'
M
H. Adelakun
69'
M
21
I. Hutchinson
1 👟
68'
M
I. Hutchinson
1 👟
68'
M
11
L. Ayinde
81'
M
L. Ayinde
81'
M
18
W. Keane
68'
F
W. Keane
68'
F
Bench
10
A. May
22'
F
A. May
22'
F
9
B. Hanlan
22'
F
B. Hanlan
22'
F
25
B. McCann
9'
D
B. McCann
9'
D
8
G. Broadbent
22'
M
G. Broadbent
22'
M
6
J. McGrath
D
J. McGrath
D
7
T. O'Reilly
21'
M
T. O'Reilly
21'
M
13
A. Maynard-Brewer
G
A. Maynard-Brewer
G
3
M. Lowe
D
M. Lowe
D
6
L. Cooper
D
L. Cooper
D
2
L. Palmer
88'
D
L. Palmer
88'
D
7
Y. Valery
D
Y. Valery
D
18
Jaden Heskey
45'
M
Jaden Heskey
45'
M
10
B. Bannan
M
B. Bannan
M
16
B. Mitchell
M
B. Mitchell
M
20
K. Morrison
M
K. Morrison
M
50
D. Keillor-Dunn
M
D. Keillor-Dunn
M
12
Ali Al Hamadi
80'
F
Ali Al Hamadi
80'
F
Bench
27
C. Trueman
G
C. Trueman
G
30
Ernie Weaver
D
Ernie Weaver
D
48
Mason Paul James Burstow
45'
F
Mason Paul James Burstow
45'
F
33
R. James
D
R. James
D
14
S. Fusire
2'
M
S. Fusire
2'
M
26
S. Swinkels
D
S. Swinkels
D
19
W. Grainger
10'
F
W. Grainger
10'
F
Best on the pitch
O. Bailey
M · Doncaster
9.16
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 14 pass
Tommy Simkin
G · Doncaster
8.20
· 28 pass
I. Hutchinson
M · Doncaster
7.70
1 👟
4 shots
· 7 pass
B. McCann
D · Doncaster
7.29
· 2 pass
T. O'Reilly
M · Doncaster
7.19
1 shots
· 4 pass
J. Sterry
D · Doncaster
6.98
· 18 pass
Doncaster — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Simkin | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Senior | D | 90 | 6.88 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Byrne | D | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Grehan | D | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Sterry | D | 68 | 6.98 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Bailey | M | 90 | 9.16 | 2 | — | 4 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Gotts | M | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Adelakun | M | 69 | 6.47 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Hutchinson | M | 68 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Ayinde | M | 81 | 6.67 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Keane | F | 68 | 6.15 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| A. May | F | 22 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Hanlan | F | 22 | 6.42 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| B. McCann | D | 9 | 7.29 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Broadbent | M | 22 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| T. O'Reilly | M | 21 | 7.19 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
Sheffield Wednesday — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Maynard-Brewer | G | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Lowe | D | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| L. Cooper | D | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 57 | 46% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Palmer | D | 88 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 56 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| Y. Valery | D | 90 | 5.98 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Jaden Heskey | M | 45 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Bannan | M | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Mitchell | M | 90 | 5.76 | — | — | 0 | 71 | 58% | 2 | 1 | — |
| K. Morrison | M | 90 | 5.52 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Keillor-Dunn | M | 90 | 6.23 | — | — | 4 | 44 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| Ali Al Hamadi | F | 80 | 6.40 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Mason Paul James Burstow | F | 45 | 6.74 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Fusire | M | 2 | 5.98 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Grainger | F | 10 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday?
The final score was Doncaster 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday.
What did the model predict before Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Doncaster win, 29% to a draw, and 42% to an Sheffield Wednesday win.