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← Eerste Divisie

Dordrecht - Almere City FC

#4 · 0 pts
vs
#2 · 16 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 19.6°C 💨 10 km/h · Dordrecht
⚡ Pre-match analysis
23.22%
Win
Dordrecht
22.15%
Draw
54.63%
Win
Almere City FC
1.27
Expected xG
4.01

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (7.5%)
1X2 Result
1 23%
X 22%
2 55%
Double Chance
1X 45%
X2 77%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 61%
✓ 74.6% hit rate (59 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Almere City FC a 54% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Dordrecht. Expected goals are 1.3 for Dordrecht and 4.0 for Almere City FC (total 5.3), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 7.5% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Dordrecht have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Almere City FC.

Season Stats

Dordrecht
2W 3D 10L
Almere City FC
9W 2D 4L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
2.1
2.5
Conceded
1.1
3.5
Shots OT
8.0
6.0
Corners
5.0
46%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
80%
80%
O 2.5
67%
73%
BTTS
53%
7%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Eerste Divisie. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Dordrecht
3W 2D 5L · at home
Almere City FC
5W 2D 3L · away
1.1
gls/g
2.1
1.7
Conceded
1.3
30%
Win %
50%
50%
Win or Draw
70%
60%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
70%
20%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
30%
30%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Dordrecht Almere City FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.5% 2.0% 4.1% 5.5% 5.5% 4.4%
1 0.6% 2.6% 5.2% 6.9% 7.0% 5.6%
2 0.4% 1.6% 3.3% 4.4% 4.4% 3.6%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 1.9% 1.9% 1.5%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
5 — 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

L FC OSS 3–0
L FC Eindhoven 2–1
L Jong AZ 3–6
L FC Volendam 6–1
L Roda 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
W Heracles 1–0
W MVV 0–4
L Jong Ajax 0–1
W De Graafschap 1–4
W Vitesse 0–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Dordrecht Dordrecht
Attack
29
Defence
37
Form
33
Almere City FC Almere City FC
Attack
50
Defence
77
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

# Team G Pts
1 De Graafschap De Graafschap 0 0
2 VVV Venlo VVV Venlo 0 0
3 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0 0
4 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0 0
5 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0 0
6 Emmen Emmen 0 0
7 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 0 0
8 MVV MVV 0 0
9 Almere City FC Almere City FC 0 0
10 FC OSS FC OSS 0 0
11 FC Volendam FC Volendam 0 0
12 Waalwijk Waalwijk 0 0
13 NAC Breda NAC Breda 0 0
14 Roda Roda 0 0
15 Vitesse Vitesse 0 0
16 Heracles Heracles 0 0
17 Jong PSV U21 Jong PSV U21 0 0
18 Jong Ajax Jong Ajax 0 0
19 Jong AZ Jong AZ 0 0
20 Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht 0 0

What's at stake · Eerste Divisie: Period 3

Top 2 advance to the next round

Dordrecht Almere City FC
Current #4 #1
→ Dordrecht #1 #9
→ Draw #1 #2
→ Almere City FC #5 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Dordrecht vs Almere City FC?
The model gives Dordrecht a 23% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 54% for an Almere City FC win.
How many goals are expected in Dordrecht vs Almere City FC?
Expected goals: Dordrecht 1.3, Almere City FC 4.0 (total 5.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Dordrecht vs Almere City FC?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.5%.