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Dover - Folkestone Invicta

FA Cup September 19, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.3%
Win
Dover
20.02%
Draw
50.68%
Win
Folkestone Invicta
1.65
Expected xG
2.33

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (8.49%)
1X2 Result
1 29%
X 20%
2 51%
Double Chance
1X 49%
X2 71%
12 80%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 93%
Over 2.5 78%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Folkestone Invicta a 50% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Dover. Expected goals are 1.6 for Dover and 2.3 for Folkestone Invicta (total 4.0), with a 92% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.49% probability.

Season Stats

Dover
0W 0D 1L
Folkestone Invicta
3W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.2
4.0
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
75%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
Based on the last 4 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Dover Folkestone Invicta →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9% 4.4% 5.1% 4.0% 2.3% 1.1%
1 3.1% 7.2% 8.4% 6.5% 3.8% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.9% 6.9% 5.4% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.4% 3.2% 3.8% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.3% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

L Farnborough 4–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 17%
L Southend 4–1
W Horsham 2–3
W Maidstone Utd 2–0
W Sevenoaks Town 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Dover Dover
Attack
40
Defence
50
Form
48
Folkestone Invicta Folkestone Invicta
Attack
46
Defence
77
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Dover vs Folkestone Invicta?
The model gives Dover a 29% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 50% for an Folkestone Invicta win.
How many goals are expected in Dover vs Folkestone Invicta?
Expected goals: Dover 1.6, Folkestone Invicta 2.3 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 92%.
What is the most likely score in Dover vs Folkestone Invicta?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.49%.