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Dover - Wealdstone

FA Cup November 07, 2026 16:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.18%
Win
Dover
27.26%
Draw
24.56%
Win
Wealdstone
1.3
Expected xG
0.84

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.9%)
1X2 Result
1 48%
X 27%
2 25%
Double Chance
1X 75%
X2 52%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 61%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Dover a 48% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Wealdstone. Expected goals are 1.3 for Dover and 0.8 for Wealdstone (total 2.1), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.9% probability.

Season Stats

Dover
3W 0D 1L
Wealdstone
3W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
2.2
2.2
Conceded
1.2
7.0
Shots OT
—
2.0
Corners
—
33%
Poss.
—
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
75%
100%
O 2.5
75%
100%
BTTS
25%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
100%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Dover
2W 0D 0L · at home
Wealdstone
0W 0D 1L · away
3.5
gls/g
0.0
2.0
Conceded
4.0
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
O 3.5
100%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
100%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Dover Wealdstone →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7% 9.9% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% —
1 15.3% 12.8% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.9% 8.4% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% —
3 4.3% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% — —
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

W Dorking Wanderers 3–2
W Hanwell Town 1–2
W Folkestone Invicta 4–2
L Farnborough 4–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 18%
W Worthing 3–0
L Grimsby 4–0
W Southend 1–0
W Whitstable Town 5–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Dover Dover
Attack
42
Defence
71
Form
64
Wealdstone Wealdstone
Attack
41
Defence
62
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Dover vs Wealdstone?
The model gives Dover a 48% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 24% for an Wealdstone win.
How many goals are expected in Dover vs Wealdstone?
Expected goals: Dover 1.3, Wealdstone 0.8 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Dover vs Wealdstone?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.9%.