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Drita - Tre Fiori

Conference League August 13, 2026 19:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.3%
Win
Drita
31.75%
Draw
29.95%
Win
Tre Fiori
1.47
Expected xG
0.62

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.16%)
1X2 Result ✓ 76.9% hit rate (13 picks)
1 38%
X 32%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 62%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Drita a 38% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Tre Fiori. Expected goals are 1.5 for Drita and 0.6 for Tre Fiori (total 2.1), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.16% probability.

Season Stats

Drita
5W 3D 4L
Tre Fiori
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
0.5
1.4
Conceded
2.5
3.5
Shots OT
3.6
Corners
40%
Poss.
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
50%
58%
BTTS
0%
25%
Clean Sht
50%
Based on the last 12 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
59%
O 3.5
34%
BTTS
Drita
3W 1D 2L · at home
Tre Fiori
0W 0D 1L · away
1.3
gls/g
0.0
1.5
Conceded
5.0
50%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
0%
83%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
17%
O 3.5
100%
67%
BTTS
0%
17%
Clean Sht
0%
17%
Failed to Score
100%
last 6
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Drita Tre Fiori →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5% 7.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 18.2% 11.3% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 13.4% 8.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.5% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3%
4 2.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

W Floriana 2–1
D Floriana 1–1
L Celje 3–2
L Celje 2–3
L Rayo Vallecano 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 39%
L Pyunik Yerevan 5–0
W Pyunik Yerevan 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Drita Drita
Attack
31
Defence
51
Form
46
Tre Fiori Tre Fiori
Attack
18
Defence
51
Form
33
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Drita vs Tre Fiori?
The model gives Drita a 38% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 29% for an Tre Fiori win.
How many goals are expected in Drita vs Tre Fiori?
Expected goals: Drita 1.5, Tre Fiori 0.6 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Drita vs Tre Fiori?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.16%.