Premier Division
· Regular Season - 16
May 08, 2026 20:45
R. Brennan
55'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Derry City a 37% win probability (draw 28%, Drogheda United 33%). The final result was Drogheda United 1–0 Derry City. In 2 previous meetings, Drogheda United have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Derry City.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
4
4
Saves
1
31%
Possession
69%
2
Corners
9
23
Tackles
25
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
R. Brennan
36'
42'
B. Fleming
45'
D. Markey
⚽R. Brennan
(pen.)
55'
M. Doyle
/ J. Bucknor
68'
70'
B. Cotter
/
D. Markey
71'
D. Akinyemi
/
M. Duffy
71'
H. Rylah
/
K. Santos
R. Brennan
/ J. Godden
72'
S. Farrell
73'
85'
C. Dummigan
/
C. Barr
B. Kavanagh
/ A. Quinn
89'
90'+2
J. Thomas
/
A. O'Reilly
Pre-match prediction
33.86%
Drogheda ←
28.76%
X
37.38%
Derry
we assigned to the actual result (Drogheda United)
33.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.35
—
—
1.41
—
—
Lineups
44
G
3
C. Kane
D
C. Kane
D
18
James Bolger
D
James Bolger
D
22
C. Keeley
D
C. Keeley
D
2
E. Agbaje
D
E. Agbaje
D
19
R. Brennan
1 ⚽
72'
M
R. Brennan
1 ⚽
72'
M
17
S. Farrell
M
S. Farrell
M
11
T. Oluwa
M
T. Oluwa
M
10
B. Kavanagh
89'
M
B. Kavanagh
89'
M
24
W. Davis
M
W. Davis
M
14
M. Doyle
68'
F
M. Doyle
68'
F
Bench
4
A. Quinn
7'
D
A. Quinn
7'
D
15
Dare Kareem
F
Dare Kareem
F
6
Jago Godden
24'
F
Jago Godden
24'
F
31
K. Cruise
D
K. Cruise
D
13
E. Beach
G
E. Beach
G
19
B. Fleming
D
B. Fleming
D
3
Patrick McClean
D
Patrick McClean
D
4
J. Stott
D
J. Stott
D
22
C. Barr
85'
D
C. Barr
85'
D
20
Carl Winchester
M
8
A. O'Reilly
M
A. O'Reilly
M
7
M. Duffy
71'
M
M. Duffy
71'
M
10
D. Markey
70'
M
D. Markey
70'
M
21
Kévin Santos
71'
M
Kévin Santos
71'
M
15
J. Clarke
F
J. Clarke
F
Bench
9
Afolabi Akinyemi
25'
F
Afolabi Akinyemi
25'
F
2
B. Cotter
26'
D
14
B. Doherty
D
23
C. Dummigan
11'
D
C. Dummigan
11'
D
28
J. Olayinka
M
J. Olayinka
M
17
Joshua Thomas
4'
F
Joshua Thomas
4'
F
Best on the pitch
Patrick McClean
D · Derry
7.90
1 shots
· 92 pass
C. Kane
D · Drogheda
7.30
· 16 pass
James Bolger
D · Drogheda
7.30
· 23 pass
R. Brennan
M · Drogheda
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
E. Agbaje
D · Drogheda
7.20
· 20 pass
S. Farrell
M · Drogheda
7.20
1 shots
· 17 pass
Drogheda United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| C. Kane | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| James Bolger | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Keeley | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 16% | — | — | — |
| E. Agbaje | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Brennan | M | 72 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Farrell | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| T. Oluwa | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Kavanagh | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Davis | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Doyle | F | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Quinn | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jago Godden | F | 24 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
Derry City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Beach | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | — | — | — |
| B. Fleming | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 30% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Patrick McClean | D | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 92 | 73% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Stott | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 74 | 66% | — | — | — |
| C. Barr | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| Carl Winchester | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| A. O'Reilly | M | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 39% | — | — | — |
| M. Duffy | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D. Markey | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Kévin Santos | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Clarke | F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Afolabi Akinyemi | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| B. Cotter | D | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Dummigan | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Joshua Thomas | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Derry City?
The final score was Drogheda United 1–0 Derry City.
What did the model predict before Drogheda United vs Derry City?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Drogheda United win, 28% to a draw, and 37% to an Derry City win.