Brandon Kavanagh
7'
Mark Doyle
83'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Derry City a 42% win probability (draw 27%, Drogheda United 30%). The final result was Drogheda United 2–0 Derry City. In 3 previous meetings, Drogheda United have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Derry City.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
30
2
Shots on target
5
0.92
Actual xG
1.35
5
Saves
0
21%
Possession
79%
4
Corners
11
23
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Brandon Kavanagh
7'
23'
nick twisk
Edwin Agbaje
62'
Thomas Oluwa
62'
63'
Darragh Burns
/
Kévin Santos
63'
James Clarke
/
Tyler·Smith
Thomas Oluwa
/ Mark Doyle
69'
Brandon Kavanagh
/ Alfie Bates
69'
75'
Gavin Whyte
/
Conor Barry
Shane Farrell
/ Jago Godden
77'
79'
Jamie Stott
⚽Mark Doyle
83'
Warren Davis
/ Keegan Ancelin
87'
Jago Godden
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
30.31%
Drogheda ←
27.2%
X
42.49%
Derry
we assigned to the actual result (Drogheda United)
30.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
0.92
-0.26
1.52
1.35
-0.17
Derry City dominated by xG (1.35 vs 0.92).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
44
Fynn Michael Cordell Talley
G
Fynn Michael Cordell Talley
G
5
Leo Burney
D
Leo Burney
D
22
C. Keeley
D
C. Keeley
D
4
A. Quinn
D
A. Quinn
D
3
C. Kane
M
C. Kane
M
17
S. Farrell
77'
M
S. Farrell
77'
M
8
Ethan O'Brien
M
Ethan O'Brien
M
2
E. Agbaje
M
E. Agbaje
M
24
W. Davis
87'
M
W. Davis
87'
M
10
B. Kavanagh
1 ⚽
69'
M
B. Kavanagh
1 ⚽
69'
M
11
T. Oluwa
69'
F
T. Oluwa
69'
F
Bench
15
A. Bates
21'
M
A. Bates
21'
M
32
D. Mare
D
D. Mare
D
18
J. Bolger
D
J. Bolger
D
6
J. Godden
13'
M
J. Godden
13'
M
9
K. Ancelin
3'
F
K. Ancelin
3'
F
31
K. Cruise
D
K. Cruise
D
14
M. Doyle
1 ⚽
21'
F
M. Doyle
1 ⚽
21'
F
25
R. Markey
F
R. Markey
F
13
Tom Norcott
G
Tom Norcott
G
19
B. Fleming
D
B. Fleming
D
3
Patrick McClean
D
Patrick McClean
D
4
J. Stott
D
J. Stott
D
23
C. Dummigan
D
C. Dummigan
D
14
E. Chapman
M
E. Chapman
M
17
N. Twisk
M
N. Twisk
M
22
C. Barr
75'
M
C. Barr
75'
M
7
M. Duffy
F
M. Duffy
F
29
T. Smith
63'
F
T. Smith
63'
F
21
Kévin Santos
63'
F
Kévin Santos
63'
F
Bench
1
B. Maher
G
B. Maher
G
24
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
D
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
D
25
Christy Grogan
D
Christy Grogan
D
34
C. O'Donnell
M
C. O'Donnell
M
12
D. Burns
27'
M
D. Burns
27'
M
10
D. Markey
M
D. Markey
M
11
G. Whyte
15'
M
G. Whyte
15'
M
15
J. Clarke
27'
M
J. Clarke
27'
M
32
T. Doherty
F
T. Doherty
F
Best on the pitch
B. Kavanagh
M · Drogheda
8.15
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 6 pass
Fynn Michael Cordell Talley
G · Drogheda
7.62
· 30 pass
M. Doyle
F · Drogheda
7.48
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Patrick McClean
D · Derry
7.35
2 shots
· 95 pass
C. Keeley
D · Drogheda
7.34
· 19 pass
C. Barr
M · Derry
7.18
4 shots
· 64 pass
Drogheda United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fynn Michael Cordell Talley | G | 90 | 7.62 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Leo Burney | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Keeley | D | 90 | 7.34 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Quinn | D | 90 | 7.15 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Kane | M | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 3% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Farrell | M | 77 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Ethan O'Brien | M | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Agbaje | M | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 9% | 4 | 1 | — |
| W. Davis | M | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 3% | 6 | — | — |
| B. Kavanagh | M | 69 | 8.15 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Oluwa | F | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Bates | M | 21 | 6.85 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Godden | M | 13 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | 1 | — |
| K. Ancelin | F | 3 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Doyle | F | 21 | 7.48 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Derry City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Norcott | G | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Fleming | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Patrick McClean | D | 90 | 7.35 | — | — | 2 | 95 | 76% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Stott | D | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 49% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Dummigan | D | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Chapman | M | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 4 | 62 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Twisk | M | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 70 | 61% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Barr | M | 75 | 7.18 | — | — | 4 | 64 | 56% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Duffy | F | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 8 | 46 | 40% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Smith | F | 63 | 6.44 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Kévin Santos | F | 63 | 6.68 | — | — | 4 | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Burns | M | 27 | 5.92 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Whyte | M | 15 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Clarke | M | 27 | 6.06 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Derry City?
The final score was Drogheda United 2–0 Derry City.
What did the model predict before Drogheda United vs Derry City?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Drogheda United win, 27% to a draw, and 42% to an Derry City win.