Premier Division
· Regular Season - 29
August 28, 2026 21:00
K. Ancelin
(ast. E. Agbaje)
32'
B. Kavanagh
35'
25'
(ast. D. Horgan)
C. Dillon
67'
(ast. T. Grivosti)
R. Teahan
89'
D. Horgan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundalk a 39% win probability (draw 32%, Drogheda United 27%). The final result was Drogheda United 2–3 Dundalk. In 3 previous meetings, Drogheda United have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Dundalk.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
4
1.76
Actual xG
3.04
1
Saves
1
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
3
10
Tackles
5
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
8'
B. Burns
25'
ast. D. Horgan ·
C. Dillon⚽
⚽K. Ancelin
· ast. E. Agbaje
32'
⚽B. Kavanagh
35'
46'
R. Teahan
/
T. Clarke
50'
E. Vassenin
55'
T. Grivosti
56'
S. Tracey
/
H. Groome
S. Farrell
56'
57'
A. Dervin
/
K. Buckley
64'
D. McDaid
/
L. Gaxha
67'
ast. T. Grivosti ·
R. Teahan⚽
A. Bates
/ E. O'Brien
70'
S. Farrell
/ R. Brennan
70'
M. Doyle
/ W. Davis
73'
K. Ancelin
/ T. Oluwa
77'
A. Quinn
/ J. Bucknor
77'
E. O'Brien
88'
89'
D. Horgan⚽
90'+1
R. Cornwall
/
B. Burns
Pre-match prediction
27.3%
Drogheda
32.85%
X
39.86%
Dundalk ←
we assigned to the actual result (Dundalk)
39.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.94
1.76
+0.82
1.25
3.04
+1.79
Dundalk dominated by xG (3.04 vs 1.76).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
L. Dennison
G
L. Dennison
G
18
J. Bolger
D
J. Bolger
D
22
C. Keeley
D
C. Keeley
D
4
A. Quinn
77'
D
A. Quinn
77'
D
3
C. Kane
M
C. Kane
M
15
A. Bates
70'
M
A. Bates
70'
M
10
B. Kavanagh
1 ⚽
M
B. Kavanagh
1 ⚽
M
17
S. Farrell
70'
M
S. Farrell
70'
M
2
E. Agbaje
1 👟
M
E. Agbaje
1 👟
M
14
M. Doyle
73'
F
M. Doyle
73'
F
9
K. Ancelin
1 ⚽
77'
F
K. Ancelin
1 ⚽
77'
F
Bench
8
Ethan O'Brien
24'
M
Ethan O'Brien
24'
M
44
Fynn Talley
G
Fynn Talley
G
7
Jason Bucknor
17'
D
Jason Bucknor
17'
D
6
J. Godden
M
J. Godden
M
31
K. Cruise
D
K. Cruise
D
5
Leo Burney
D
Leo Burney
D
19
R. Brennan
24'
M
R. Brennan
24'
M
11
T. Oluwa
17'
F
T. Oluwa
17'
F
24
W. Davis
21'
F
W. Davis
21'
F
1
E. Minogue
G
E. Minogue
G
3
B. Burns
D
B. Burns
D
16
E. Vassenin
D
E. Vassenin
D
4
M. Animasahun
D
M. Animasahun
D
44
T. Grivosti
1 👟
D
T. Grivosti
1 👟
D
8
H. Groome
56'
M
H. Groome
56'
M
18
K. Buckley
57'
M
K. Buckley
57'
M
7
D. Horgan
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
D. Horgan
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
10
Leonardo Gaxha
64'
M
Leonardo Gaxha
64'
M
15
T. Clarke
45'
M
T. Clarke
45'
M
9
C. Dillon
1 ⚽
F
C. Dillon
1 ⚽
F
Bench
6
A. Dervin
37'
M
A. Dervin
37'
M
23
A. M. Keogh
M
A. M. Keogh
M
27
D. McDaid
30'
M
D. McDaid
30'
M
12
L. Mulligan
D
L. Mulligan
D
13
P. Cherrie
G
P. Cherrie
G
24
R. Cornwall
4'
D
R. Cornwall
4'
D
20
Samuel Safaei
G
Samuel Safaei
G
17
S. Tracey
38'
M
S. Tracey
38'
M
11
Y. Acheampong
1 ⚽
49'
M
Best on the pitch
B. Kavanagh
M · Drogheda
9.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
D. Horgan
M · Dundalk
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 24 pass
K. Ancelin
F · Drogheda
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
E. Agbaje
M · Drogheda
7.20
1 👟
· 22 pass
Y. Acheampong
M · Dundalk
7.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
M. Animasahun
D · Dundalk
7.00
2 shots
· 27 pass
Drogheda United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Dennison | G | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Bolger | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Keeley | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Quinn | D | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Kane | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bates | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Kavanagh | M | 94 | 9.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Farrell | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Agbaje | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Doyle | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Ancelin | F | 77 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Ethan O'Brien | M | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Jason Bucknor | D | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Brennan | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| T. Oluwa | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| W. Davis | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Dundalk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Minogue | G | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 9% | — | — | — |
| B. Burns | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Vassenin | D | 94 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Animasahun | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| T. Grivosti | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 39 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Groome | M | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| K. Buckley | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D. Horgan | M | 94 | 8.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Gaxha | M | 64 | 5.50 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| T. Clarke | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Dillon | F | 94 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Dervin | M | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. McDaid | M | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| R. Cornwall | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Tracey | M | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Y. Acheampong | M | 49 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
The final score was Drogheda United 2–3 Dundalk.
What did the model predict before Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Drogheda United win, 32% to a draw, and 39% to an Dundalk win.