Premier Division
· Regular Season - 26
July 31, 2026 21:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Shamrock Rovers, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shamrock Rovers a 56% win probability (draw 20%, Drogheda United 22%). The final result was Drogheda United 0–0 Shamrock Rovers. In 3 previous meetings, Drogheda United have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Shamrock Rovers.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
2
1.01
Actual xG
0.76
2
Saves
4
28%
Possession
72%
2
Corners
7
25
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
S. Farrell
32'
M. Doyle
32'
46'
J. Afolabi
/
A. Greene
A. Bates
/ J. Godden
59'
M. Doyle
/ K. Ancelin
63'
68'
A. Brennan
/
L. O'Regan
68'
J. Byrne
/
J. O'Sullivan
C. Keeley
75'
J. Bucknor
/ W. Davis
79'
R. Brennan
/ B. Kavanagh
79'
81'
T. Sobowale
83'
B. Mahon
/
M. Noonan
83'
L. Grace
/
E. Stevens
90'+5
R. Lopes
Pre-match prediction
22.53%
Drogheda
20.62%
X ←
56.85%
Shamrock
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.62%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.07
1.01
-0.06
2.13
0.76
-1.37
xG dominance was balanced (1.01 – 0.76).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
L. Dennison
G
L. Dennison
G
18
J. Bolger
D
J. Bolger
D
22
C. Keeley
D
C. Keeley
D
2
E. Agbaje
D
E. Agbaje
D
3
C. Kane
M
C. Kane
M
15
A. Bates
59'
M
A. Bates
59'
M
19
R. Brennan
79'
M
R. Brennan
79'
M
17
S. Farrell
M
S. Farrell
M
7
Jason Bucknor
79'
M
Jason Bucknor
79'
M
11
T. Oluwa
F
T. Oluwa
F
14
M. Doyle
63'
F
M. Doyle
63'
F
Bench
10
B. Kavanagh
19'
M
B. Kavanagh
19'
M
32
D. Mare
D
D. Mare
D
44
Fynn Talley
G
Fynn Talley
G
29
J. Brennan
D
J. Brennan
D
6
J. Godden
39'
M
J. Godden
39'
M
9
K. Ancelin
35'
F
K. Ancelin
35'
F
5
Leo Burney
D
Leo Burney
D
25
R. Markey
F
R. Markey
F
24
W. Davis
19'
F
W. Davis
19'
F
1
E. McGinty
G
E. McGinty
G
3
E. Stevens
83'
D
E. Stevens
83'
D
4
Pico
D
Pico
D
22
T. Sobowale
D
T. Sobowale
D
24
W. Fitzgerald
M
W. Fitzgerald
M
26
John O'Sullivan
68'
M
John O'Sullivan
68'
M
8
M. Healy
M
M. Healy
M
28
N. Razi
M
N. Razi
M
17
Luke O'Regan
68'
M
Luke O'Regan
68'
M
9
A. Greene
45'
F
A. Greene
45'
F
31
M. Noonan
83'
F
M. Noonan
83'
F
Bench
19
Adam Brennan
30'
M
Adam Brennan
30'
M
41
Alex Noonan
G
Alex Noonan
G
34
B. Mahon
15'
F
B. Mahon
15'
F
33
Cian Barrett
M
Cian Barrett
M
27
C. O'Sullivan
D
C. O'Sullivan
D
18
J. Afolabi
53'
F
J. Afolabi
53'
F
29
J. Byrne
30'
M
5
L. Grace
15'
D
L. Grace
15'
D
38
Max Kovaleskis
F
Max Kovaleskis
F
Best on the pitch
Pico
D · Shamrock
7.90
2 shots
· 99 pass
E. Agbaje
D · Drogheda
7.70
· 22 pass
M. Healy
M · Shamrock
7.70
1 shots
· 92 pass
S. Farrell
M · Drogheda
7.50
1 shots
· 19 pass
E. Stevens
D · Shamrock
7.50
· 55 pass
E. McGinty
G · Shamrock
7.50
· 24 pass
Drogheda United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Dennison | G | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Bolger | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Keeley | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 11% | 4 | 1 | — |
| E. Agbaje | D | 98 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Kane | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Bates | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Brennan | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Farrell | M | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jason Bucknor | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Oluwa | F | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Doyle | F | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Kavanagh | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Godden | M | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| K. Ancelin | F | 35 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Davis | F | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 3 | — | — |
Shamrock Rovers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. McGinty | G | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| E. Stevens | D | 83 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Pico | D | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 99 | 88% | — | — | 1 |
| T. Sobowale | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 68 | 55% | 2 | 1 | — |
| W. Fitzgerald | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| John O'Sullivan | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Healy | M | 98 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 92 | 82% | — | — | — |
| N. Razi | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Luke O'Regan | M | 68 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| A. Greene | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Noonan | F | 83 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Adam Brennan | M | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| B. Mahon | F | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Afolabi | F | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Byrne | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| L. Grace | D | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?
The final score was Drogheda United 0–0 Shamrock Rovers.
What did the model predict before Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Drogheda United win, 20% to a draw, and 56% to an Shamrock Rovers win.