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Drogheda United - UCD

#9 · 40 pts
vs
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 9.4°C 💨 7 km/h · Drogheda
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.06%
Win
Drogheda United
32.06%
Draw
31.88%
Win
UCD
1.47
Expected xG
1.23

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.61%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Drogheda United a 36% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for UCD. Expected goals are 1.5 for Drogheda United and 1.2 for UCD (total 2.7), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.61% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Drogheda United have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for UCD.

Score Matrix

↕ Drogheda United UCD →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8% 8.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
1 9.9% 12.2% 7.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.9% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.6% 4.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

W Galway United 2–0
L Waterford 3–1
W Derry City 2–0
L Shamrock Rovers 3–1
L Bohemians 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 47%
UCD UCD
No data available

Playing profile

Drogheda United Drogheda United
Attack
36
Defence
55
Form
51
UCD UCD
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Drogheda United
1
Draw
0
UCD
20 Jan 2026 Friendlies Clubs 1–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Drogheda United vs UCD?
The model gives Drogheda United a 36% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an UCD win.
How many goals are expected in Drogheda United vs UCD?
Expected goals: Drogheda United 1.5, UCD 1.2 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Drogheda United vs UCD?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.61%.