Premier Division
· Regular Season - 19
May 29, 2026 20:45
M. Doyle
(ast. B. Kavanagh)
27'
S. Farrell
58'
R. Brennan
69'
1'
T. Lonergan
21'
(ast. C. Noonan)
K. Long
86'
B. Couto
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Drogheda United a 45% win probability (draw 26%, Waterford 28%). The final result was Drogheda United 3–3 Waterford. In 2 previous meetings, Drogheda United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Waterford.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
5
0.90
Actual xG
1.85
2
Saves
1
55%
Possession
45%
2
Corners
6
16
Tackles
12
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
1'
T. Lonergan⚽
21'
ast. C. Noonan ·
K. Long⚽
⚽M. Doyle
· ast. B. Kavanagh
27'
50'
B. Couto
⚽S. Farrell
58'
T. Oluwa
/ J. Godden
67'
⚽R. Brennan
69'
J. Godden
76'
M. Doyle
77'
83'
J. Mahon
L. Burney
83'
83'
T. Coyle
/
C. Noonan
E. O'Brien
/ D. Kareem
83'
84'
C. Barrett
/
S. Glenfield
86'
B. Couto⚽
89'
W. Johnson
S. Farrell
90'+2
R. Brennan
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
45.22%
Drogheda
26.17%
X ←
28.61%
Waterford
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
0.90
-0.64
1.30
1.85
+0.55
Waterford dominated by xG (1.85 vs 0.90).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
44
Fynn Talley
G
Fynn Talley
G
3
Conor Kane
D
Conor Kane
D
4
Andrew Quinn
D
Andrew Quinn
D
5
Leo Burney
D
Leo Burney
D
2
Edwin Agbaje
D
Edwin Agbaje
D
19
R. Brennan
1 ⚽
M
R. Brennan
1 ⚽
M
8
Ethan O'Brien
83'
M
Ethan O'Brien
83'
M
14
M. Doyle
1 ⚽
M
M. Doyle
1 ⚽
M
10
B. Kavanagh
1 👟
M
B. Kavanagh
1 👟
M
17
S. Farrell
1 ⚽
M
S. Farrell
1 ⚽
M
11
Thomas Oluwa
67'
F
Thomas Oluwa
67'
F
Bench
34
Calum Donnelly
D
Calum Donnelly
D
30
Cian O'Connor
M
Cian O'Connor
M
32
Daniel Mare
F
Daniel Mare
F
15
Dare Kareem
11'
F
Dare Kareem
11'
F
6
Jago Godden
27'
F
Jago Godden
27'
F
29
Jamie Brennan
M
Jamie Brennan
M
7
Jason Bucknor
D
Jason Bucknor
D
1
Luke Dennison
G
Luke Dennison
G
33
Sean McGrath
M
Sean McGrath
M
1
Stephen McMullan
G
Stephen McMullan
G
3
Benny Couto
1 ⚽
D
Benny Couto
1 ⚽
D
13
Kevin Long
1 ⚽
D
Kevin Long
1 ⚽
D
5
J. Mahon
D
J. Mahon
D
16
Hayden Cann
D
Hayden Cann
D
4
Will Johnson
D
Will Johnson
D
10
Conan Noonan
1 👟
83'
M
Conan Noonan
1 👟
83'
M
27
Dean McMenamy
M
Dean McMenamy
M
19
Samuel Glenfield
84'
M
Samuel Glenfield
84'
M
9
P. Amond
F
P. Amond
F
18
T. Lonergan
1 ⚽
F
T. Lonergan
1 ⚽
F
Bench
21
Arlo Doherty
G
Arlo Doherty
G
6
Cian Barrett
10'
D
Cian Barrett
10'
D
7
Conor Carty
F
Conor Carty
F
25
Jason Healy
G
Jason Healy
G
17
Jordan Faria
M
Jordan Faria
M
20
J. Voilås
F
J. Voilås
F
42
Orion Cala
M
Orion Cala
M
22
Ronan Mansfield
F
Ronan Mansfield
F
11
Trae Coyle
11'
F
Trae Coyle
11'
F
Best on the pitch
S. Farrell
M · Drogheda
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
R. Brennan
M · Drogheda
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
Conan Noonan
M · Waterford
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
B. Kavanagh
M · Drogheda
7.60
1 👟
2 shots
· 39 pass
Fynn Talley
G · Drogheda
7.20
· 36 pass
J. Mahon
D · Waterford
7.20
· 19 pass
Drogheda United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fynn Talley | G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Conor Kane | D | 94 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrew Quinn | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Leo Burney | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Edwin Agbaje | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| R. Brennan | M | 94 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Ethan O'Brien | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Doyle | M | 94 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Kavanagh | M | 94 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Farrell | M | 94 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Thomas Oluwa | F | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Dare Kareem | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jago Godden | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
Waterford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen McMullan | G | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Benny Couto | D | 94 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kevin Long | D | 94 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mahon | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Hayden Cann | D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Will Johnson | D | 94 | 5.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Conan Noonan | M | 83 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Dean McMenamy | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Samuel Glenfield | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Amond | F | 94 | 5.30 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 9% | — | — | — |
| T. Lonergan | F | 94 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 23 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Cian Barrett | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Trae Coyle | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Waterford?
The final score was Drogheda United 3–3 Waterford.
What did the model predict before Drogheda United vs Waterford?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Drogheda United win, 26% to a draw, and 28% to an Waterford win.