Premier Division
· Regular Season - 19
May 29, 2026 20:45
M. Doyle
(ast. B. Kavanagh)
27'
S. Farrell
58'
R. Brennan
69'
1'
T. Lonergan
21'
(ast. C. Noonan)
K. Long
86'
B. Couto
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Drogheda United a 45% win probability (draw 26%, Waterford 28%). The final result was Drogheda United 3–3 Waterford. In 3 previous meetings, Drogheda United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Waterford.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
5
0.90
Actual xG
1.85
2
Saves
1
55%
Possession
45%
2
Corners
6
16
Tackles
12
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
1'
T. Lonergan⚽
21'
ast. C. Noonan ·
K. Long⚽
⚽M. Doyle
· ast. B. Kavanagh
27'
50'
B. Couto
⚽S. Farrell
58'
T. Oluwa
/ J. Godden
67'
⚽R. Brennan
69'
J. Godden
76'
M. Doyle
77'
83'
J. Mahon
L. Burney
83'
83'
T. Coyle
/
C. Noonan
E. O'Brien
/ D. Kareem
83'
84'
C. Barrett
/
S. Glenfield
86'
B. Couto⚽
89'
W. Johnson
S. Farrell
90'+2
R. Brennan
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
45.22%
Drogheda
26.17%
X ←
28.61%
Waterford
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
0.90
-0.64
1.30
1.85
+0.55
Waterford dominated by xG (1.85 vs 0.90).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
44
Fynn Talley
G
Fynn Talley
G
3
C. Kane
D
C. Kane
D
4
A. Quinn
D
A. Quinn
D
5
Leo Burney
D
Leo Burney
D
2
E. Agbaje
D
E. Agbaje
D
19
R. Brennan
1 ⚽
M
R. Brennan
1 ⚽
M
8
Ethan O'Brien
83'
M
Ethan O'Brien
83'
M
14
M. Doyle
1 ⚽
M
M. Doyle
1 ⚽
M
10
B. Kavanagh
1 👟
M
B. Kavanagh
1 👟
M
17
S. Farrell
1 ⚽
M
S. Farrell
1 ⚽
M
11
T. Oluwa
67'
F
T. Oluwa
67'
F
Bench
34
Calum Donnelly
D
Calum Donnelly
D
30
Cian O'Connor
M
Cian O'Connor
M
15
Dare Kareem
11'
F
Dare Kareem
11'
F
32
D. Mare
F
D. Mare
F
7
Jason Bucknor
D
Jason Bucknor
D
29
J. Brennan
M
J. Brennan
M
6
J. Godden
27'
F
J. Godden
27'
F
1
L. Dennison
G
L. Dennison
G
33
S. McGrath
M
S. McGrath
M
1
S. McMullan
G
S. McMullan
G
3
Benny Couto
1 ⚽
D
Benny Couto
1 ⚽
D
13
K. Long
1 ⚽
D
K. Long
1 ⚽
D
5
J. Mahon
D
J. Mahon
D
16
H. Cann
D
H. Cann
D
4
Will Johnson
D
Will Johnson
D
10
C. Noonan
1 👟
83'
M
C. Noonan
1 👟
83'
M
27
D. McMenamy
M
D. McMenamy
M
19
S. Glenfield
84'
M
S. Glenfield
84'
M
9
P. Amond
F
P. Amond
F
18
T. Lonergan
1 ⚽
F
T. Lonergan
1 ⚽
F
Bench
21
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
6
Cian Barrett
10'
D
Cian Barrett
10'
D
7
Conor Carty
F
Conor Carty
F
25
Jason Healy
G
Jason Healy
G
17
J. Faria
M
J. Faria
M
20
J. Voilås
F
J. Voilås
F
42
Orion Cala
M
Orion Cala
M
22
Ronan Mansfield
F
Ronan Mansfield
F
11
T. Coyle
11'
F
T. Coyle
11'
F
Best on the pitch
S. Farrell
M · Drogheda
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
R. Brennan
M · Drogheda
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
C. Noonan
M · Waterford
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
B. Kavanagh
M · Drogheda
7.60
1 👟
2 shots
· 39 pass
Fynn Talley
G · Drogheda
7.20
· 36 pass
J. Mahon
D · Waterford
7.20
· 19 pass
Drogheda United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fynn Talley | G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 16% | — | — | — |
| C. Kane | D | 94 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Quinn | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Leo Burney | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Agbaje | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| R. Brennan | M | 94 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Ethan O'Brien | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Doyle | M | 94 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Kavanagh | M | 94 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Farrell | M | 94 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Oluwa | F | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Dare Kareem | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Godden | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
Waterford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. McMullan | G | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Benny Couto | D | 94 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Long | D | 94 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mahon | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| H. Cann | D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Will Johnson | D | 94 | 5.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Noonan | M | 83 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. McMenamy | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Glenfield | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Amond | F | 94 | 5.30 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 9% | — | — | — |
| T. Lonergan | F | 94 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 23 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Cian Barrett | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Coyle | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Waterford?
The final score was Drogheda United 3–3 Waterford.
What did the model predict before Drogheda United vs Waterford?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Drogheda United win, 26% to a draw, and 28% to an Waterford win.