Czech Liga
· Relegation Group - 2
May 09, 2026 14:00
55'
(ast. A. Ouanda)
P. Juroska
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dukla Praha a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Slovácko 30%). The final result was Dukla Praha 0–1 Slovácko. In 2 previous meetings, Dukla Praha have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Slovácko.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
13
0
Shots on target
4
0.56
Actual xG
1.97
3
Saves
0
51%
Possession
49%
2
Corners
2
16
Tackles
7
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Cernak
/ B. Unusic
11'
27'
D. Tetour
P. Gaszczyk
/ D. Gilbert
46'
52'
V. Danicek
55'
ast. A. Ouanda ·
P. Juroska⚽
R. Mikus
/ D. Velasquez
62'
B. Unusic
/ D. Kozma
62'
65'
A. Stojcevski
/
V. Danicek
D. Kozma
69'
74'
T. Kostadinov
/
D. Tetour
74'
A. Marinelli
/
P. Juroska
74'
R. Horak
/
G. Ndefe
Z. Sehovic
/ D. Kreiker
78'
D. Hasek
/ C. Emeka
78'
87'
J. Suchan
/
M. Havlik
Pre-match prediction
38.75%
Dukla
30.46%
X
30.78%
Slovácko ←
we assigned to the actual result (Slovácko)
30.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.22
0.56
-0.66
1.07
1.97
+0.9
Slovácko dominated by xG (1.97 vs 0.56).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
59
Hugo Jan Bačkovský
G
Hugo Jan Bačkovský
G
22
D
4
E. Hunál
D
E. Hunál
D
18
Dominik Hašek
78'
D
Dominik Hašek
78'
D
3
Z. Šehović
77'
M
Z. Šehović
77'
M
25
Marek Hanousek
M
Marek Hanousek
M
8
Pavel Gaszczyk
45'
M
Pavel Gaszczyk
45'
M
95
M. Cernak
11'
M
19
M. Čermák
F
M. Čermák
F
10
Rajmund Mikuš
62'
F
Rajmund Mikuš
62'
F
11
Kevin-Prince Milla
F
Kevin-Prince Milla
F
Bench
30
Boubou Diallo
F
Boubou Diallo
F
47
Dario Kreiker
13'
M
Dario Kreiker
13'
M
15
D. Gilbert
45'
M
D. Gilbert
45'
M
5
Diego Velasquez
28'
M
Diego Velasquez
28'
M
39
D. Kozma
28'
M
D. Kozma
28'
M
37
M. Pourzitídis
D
14
Samson Tijani
M
17
Tomáš Pekhart
F
Tomáš Pekhart
F
29
G
3
M. Rundić
D
M. Rundić
D
28
Vlastimil Daníček
65'
D
Vlastimil Daníček
65'
D
22
T. Huk
D
T. Huk
D
2
Gigli Ndefe
74'
M
Gigli Ndefe
74'
M
8
Daniel Tetour
74'
M
Daniel Tetour
74'
M
10
M. Trávník
M
M. Trávník
M
7
M. Koscelník
M
M. Koscelník
M
27
Adonija Ouanda
1 👟
F
Adonija Ouanda
1 👟
F
24
P. Juroška
1 ⚽
74'
F
P. Juroška
1 ⚽
74'
F
20
M. Havlík
87'
F
M. Havlík
87'
F
Bench
17
J. Suchan
3'
M
J. Suchan
3'
M
6
M. Šviderský
M
M. Šviderský
M
25
Paul Ndubuisi
M
Paul Ndubuisi
M
72
Roman Horák
16'
M
Roman Horák
16'
M
26
T. Kostadinov
16'
M
T. Kostadinov
16'
M
Best on the pitch
M. Čermák
F · Dukla
7.50
1 shots
· 33 pass
Hugo Jan Bačkovský
G · Dukla
7.30
· 53 pass
E. Hunál
D · Dukla
7.30
· 63 pass
M. Trávník
M · Slovácko
7.20
· 42 pass
P. Juroška
F · Slovácko
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
M. Havlík
F · Slovácko
7.20
3 shots
· 35 pass
Dukla Praha — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Jan Bačkovský | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 34% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 2 | — | — | |
| E. Hunál | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 63 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Dominik Hašek | D | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Z. Šehović | M | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 5 | — | — |
| Marek Hanousek | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Pavel Gaszczyk | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Cernak | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Čermák | F | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Rajmund Mikuš | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin-Prince Milla | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Dario Kreiker | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| D. Gilbert | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Diego Velasquez | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Kozma | M | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
Slovácko — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| M. Rundić | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Vlastimil Daníček | D | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Huk | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Gigli Ndefe | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Tetour | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Trávník | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Koscelník | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Adonija Ouanda | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Juroška | F | 74 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| M. Havlík | F | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Suchan | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Roman Horák | M | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| T. Kostadinov | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dukla Praha vs Slovácko?
The final score was Dukla Praha 0–1 Slovácko.
What did the model predict before Dukla Praha vs Slovácko?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Dukla Praha win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an Slovácko win.