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Dumbarton - Johnstone Burgh

Scottish Cup November 28, 2026 16:00
Dumbarton
vs
Johnstone Burgh
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.34%
Win
Dumbarton
32.22%
Draw
33.44%
Win
Johnstone Burgh
1.38
Expected xG
1.24

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.69%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 32%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 66%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Dumbarton a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Johnstone Burgh. Expected goals are 1.4 for Dumbarton and 1.2 for Johnstone Burgh (total 2.6), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.69% probability.

Season Stats

Dumbarton
2W 0D 1L
Johnstone Burgh
3W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.0
1.3
Conceded
0.5
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
50%
33%
O 2.5
50%
0%
BTTS
25%
67%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Scottish Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Dumbarton
2W 0D 1L · at home
Johnstone Burgh
1W 0D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.5
1.3
Conceded
1.0
67%
Win %
50%
67%
Win or Draw
50%
67%
O 1.5
50%
33%
O 2.5
50%
33%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
50%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
50%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Dumbarton Johnstone Burgh →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3% 9.1% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.1% 12.5% 7.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.9% 8.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Dumbarton Dumbarton
W Keith 1–0
L Auchinleck Talbot 0–4
W Tayport 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Johnstone Burgh Johnstone Burgh
W Formartine United 1–0
W Newton Stewart 1–3
L Camelon Juniors 1–0
W Threave Rovers 4–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Dumbarton Dumbarton
Attack
37
Defence
73
Form
62
Johnstone Burgh Johnstone Burgh
Attack
45
Defence
65
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Dumbarton vs Johnstone Burgh?
The model gives Dumbarton a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Johnstone Burgh win.
How many goals are expected in Dumbarton vs Johnstone Burgh?
Expected goals: Dumbarton 1.4, Johnstone Burgh 1.2 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Dumbarton vs Johnstone Burgh?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.69%.