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Dumbrăviţa - CSM Satu Mare

Liga II August 05, 2026 17:00
#16 · 0 pts
vs
#13 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.54%
Win
Dumbrăviţa
32.09%
Draw
31.37%
Win
CSM Satu Mare
0.53
Expected xG
0.93

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.39%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 32%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
✓ 85.7% hit rate (28 picks)
Over 2.5 52%
✓ 61.1% hit rate (18 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Dumbrăviţa a 36% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for CSM Satu Mare. Expected goals are 0.5 for Dumbrăviţa and 0.9 for CSM Satu Mare (total 1.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.39% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Dumbrăviţa have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for CSM Satu Mare.

Season Stats

Dumbrăviţa
6W 2D 7L
CSM Satu Mare
7W 3D 5L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
1.7
1.0
Conceded
1.4
Percentages
47%
O 1.5
87%
33%
O 2.5
53%
40%
BTTS
60%
40%
Clean Sht
20%
Based on the last 15 matches in Liga II. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Dumbrăviţa
5W 4D 1L · at home
CSM Satu Mare
3W 1D 6L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.2
0.5
Conceded
1.9
50%
Win %
30%
90%
Win or Draw
40%
50%
O 1.5
80%
20%
O 2.5
60%
0%
O 3.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
60%
Clean Sht
10%
20%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Dumbrăviţa CSM Satu Mare →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 23.3% 21.6% 10.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.3% 11.4% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1%
5

Recent form

W CS Afumati 1–0
L FC Bacau 1–0
W CSM Reşiţa 2–0
L Tunari 2–1
D Viitorul Şelimbăr 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 51%
D Concordia 2–2
D Tunari 1–1
W CS Afumati 1–3
W Viitorul Şelimbăr 4–0
W FC Bacau 1–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Dumbrăviţa Dumbrăviţa
Attack
11
Defence
37
Form
25
CSM Satu Mare CSM Satu Mare
Attack
29
Defence
34
Form
30
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Dumbrăviţa
0
Draw
1
CSM Satu Mare
4 Apr 2026 Liga II 2–3
4 Oct 2025 Liga II 4–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Satu Mare?
The model gives Dumbrăviţa a 36% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an CSM Satu Mare win.
How many goals are expected in Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Satu Mare?
Expected goals: Dumbrăviţa 0.5, CSM Satu Mare 0.9 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Satu Mare?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.39%.