✗Model wrong — prediction Dundalk, result Bohemians wins
A. Dervin
(ast. G. Arubi)
34'
50'
(ast. D. James-Taylor)
R. Tierney
(pen.)
68'
D. James-Taylor
90'+3
(ast. D. Devoy)
Z. Myers
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundalk a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Bohemians 21%). The final result was Dundalk 1–3 Bohemians. In 3 previous meetings, Dundalk have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Bohemians.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
5
2
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
2
Corners
1
12
Tackles
7
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
6'
S. Todd
⚽A. Dervin
· ast. G. Arubi
34'
36'
P. Hickey
D. Horgan
/ H. Groome
46'
46'
S. Diallo
/
A. McDonnell
46'
D. James-Taylor
/
H. Vaughan
46'
D. Power
/
N. Morahan
50'
ast. D. James-Taylor ·
R. Tierney⚽
57'
L. Kavanagh
/
S. Todd
R. Cornwall
59'
K. Buckley
61'
E. Kenny
63'
R. Cornwall
67'
68'
(pen.)
D. James-Taylor⚽
K. Buckley
/ H. Warren
69'
R. Teahan
/ D. McDaid
69'
71'
D. James-Taylor
78'
Z. Myers
/
C. Whelan
J. Wilson
/ L. Gaxha
83'
G. Arubi
83'
90'+3
ast. D. Devoy ·
Z. Myers⚽
Pre-match prediction
55.51%
Dundalk
22.93%
X
21.57%
Bohemians ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bohemians)
21.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.19
—
—
1.19
—
—
Lineups
1
G
3
B. Burns
D
B. Burns
D
24
R. Cornwall
67'
D
R. Cornwall
67'
D
31
T. Wilson
83'
D
T. Wilson
83'
D
22
T. Wilson
D
T. Wilson
D
18
K. Buckley
69'
M
K. Buckley
69'
M
6
A. Dervin
1 ⚽
M
A. Dervin
1 ⚽
M
7
D. Horgan
45'
M
D. Horgan
45'
M
11
Y. Acheampong
69'
M
16
E. Kenny
M
E. Kenny
M
9
G. Arubi
1 👟
F
G. Arubi
1 👟
F
Bench
27
D. McDaid
21'
M
D. McDaid
21'
M
8
H. Groome
45'
M
H. Groome
45'
M
5
H. Warren
21'
D
H. Warren
21'
D
19
Sean Spaight
D
Sean Spaight
D
17
S. Tracey
M
S. Tracey
M
1
G
22
S. Todd
57'
D
S. Todd
57'
D
24
D
12
P. Hickey
D
P. Hickey
D
4
N. Morahan
45'
D
N. Morahan
45'
D
10
D. Devoy
1 👟
M
D. Devoy
1 👟
M
17
A. McDonnell
45'
M
A. McDonnell
45'
M
8
H. Vaughan
45'
M
H. Vaughan
45'
M
26
R. Tierney
1 ⚽
M
R. Tierney
1 ⚽
M
11
D. Rooney
M
D. Rooney
M
9
C. Whelan
78'
F
C. Whelan
78'
F
Bench
7
C. Parsons
F
C. Parsons
F
18
D. James-Taylor
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
F
D. James-Taylor
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
F
16
D. Power
45'
D
D. Power
45'
D
5
S. Diallo
45'
M
S. Diallo
45'
M
23
Zane Myers
1 ⚽
12'
D
Zane Myers
1 ⚽
12'
D
Best on the pitch
R. Tierney
M · Bohemians
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 33 pass
Zane Myers
D · Bohemians
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
D. Devoy
M · Bohemians
7.60
1 👟
1 shots
· 50 pass
A. Dervin
M · Dundalk
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 44 pass
G · Bohemians
7.20
· 44 pass
D. James-Taylor
F · Bohemians
7.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 11 pass
Dundalk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| B. Burns | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Cornwall | D | 67 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 20% | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| T. Wilson | D | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 47 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Wilson | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 34% | — | — | — |
| K. Buckley | M | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Dervin | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 44 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Horgan | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Y. Acheampong | M | 69 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Kenny | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Arubi | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 23 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| D. McDaid | M | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| H. Groome | M | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| H. Warren | D | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
Bohemians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| S. Todd | D | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| P. Hickey | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Morahan | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 21% | — | — | — |
| D. Devoy | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 50 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| A. McDonnell | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| H. Vaughan | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Tierney | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| D. Rooney | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Whelan | F | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D. James-Taylor | F | 45 | 7.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Power | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| S. Diallo | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Zane Myers | D | 12 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Bohemians?
The final score was Dundalk 1–3 Bohemians.
What did the model predict before Dundalk vs Bohemians?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Dundalk win, 22% to a draw, and 21% to an Bohemians win.