Dundalk 1–2 Bohemians — pre-match prediction — Premier Division — October 02, 2026

← Premier Division

Premier Division · Regular Season - 33 October 02, 2026 20:45 Oriel Park, Dundalk

Dundalk

#7 · 42 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Bohemians

#2 · 62 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Bohemians

Daryl Horgan 88' (pen.)

(pen.) 26' Colm Whelan

67' (ast. Patrick Hickey) Ross Tierney

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bohemians a 65% win probability (draw 17%, Dundalk 16%). The final result was Dundalk 1–2 Bohemians. In 3 previous meetings, Dundalk have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Bohemians.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

48%

Possession

52%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

26'

(pen.) Colm Whelan⚽

28'

Connor Parsons

Harvey Warren

49'

↕ Harvey Warren / Egor Vassenin

54'

Senan Mullen

62'

Z. Myers / Harry Patrick Vaughan ↕

62'

Sadou Diallo / Senan Mullen ↕

62'

James Taylor / Colm Whelan ↕

67'

ast. Patrick Hickey · Ross Tierney⚽

↕ leonardo gaxha / Declan McDaid

72'

↕ Aodh Dervin / Norman Garbett

72'

↕ Trevor Clarke / Cian dillon

72'

77'

Dayle Rooney / Connor Parsons ↕

81'

Niall Morahan / Darragh Power ↕

↕ ronan teahan / Harry Groome

83'

⚽Daryl Horgan (pen.)

88'

89'

cian byrne

Pre-match prediction

16.96%

Dundalk

17.26%

65.78%

Bohemians ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bohemians) 65.78% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Dundalk

1.20

—

Bohemians

2.94

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	35	68
2	Bohemians	35	62
3	St Patrick's Athl.	35	60
4	Shelbourne	35	49
5	Derry City	35	47
6	Galway United	35	42
7	Dundalk	35	42
8	Waterford	35	40
9	Drogheda United	35	37
10	Sligo Rovers	35	24

Lineups

Dundalk 4-2-3-1

E. Minogue G 5.75

B. Burns D 6.59

T. Grivosti D 5.87

M. Animasahun D 5.85

H. Warren 54' D 6.08

A. Dervin 72' M 6.17

K. Buckley M 6.45

D. Horgan 1 ⚽ M 5.89

R. Teahan 83' M 5.63

T. Clarke 73' M 6.40

Leonardo Gaxha 72' F 6.47

Bench

A. M. Keogh M 0.00

C. Dillon 17' F 6.30

D. McDaid 18' M 5.67

E. Vassenin 36' D 6.04

H. Groome 7' M 6.07

L. Mulligan D 0.00

Norman Garbett 18' M 6.00

P. Cherrie G 0.00

R. Cornwall D 0.00

Bohemians 4-2-3-1

P. Walters G 7.22

S. Mullen 62' D 5.89

C. Byrne 89' D 5.93

P. Hickey 1 👟 D 6.73

D. Power 81' D 6.32

J. Flores M 6.45

D. Devoy M 6.40

C. Parsons 78' M 6.12

H. Vaughan 62' M 6.16

R. Tierney 1 ⚽ M 7.63

C. Whelan 1 ⚽ 62' F 7.02

Bench

A. McDonnell M 0.00

D. James-Taylor 28' F 6.53

D. Rooney 12' F 6.90

K. Chorążka G 0.00

N. Morahan 9' M 6.22

P. Madden F 0.00

R. Burke D 0.00

S. Diallo 28' M 6.26

Zane Myers 28' D 6.04

Best on the pitch

R. Tierney

M · Bohemians

7.63

1 ⚽

2 shots · 27 pass

P. Walters

G · Bohemians

7.22

· 28 pass

C. Whelan

F · Bohemians

7.02

1 ⚽

2 shots · 14 pass

D. Rooney

F · Bohemians

6.90

· 3 pass

P. Hickey

D · Bohemians

6.73

1 👟

2 shots · 40 pass

B. Burns

D · Dundalk

6.59

4 shots · 45 pass

Dundalk — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. Minogue	G	90	5.75	—	—	0	42	18%	0	—	—
B. Burns	D	90	6.59	—	—	4	45	33%	4	—	—
T. Grivosti	D	90	5.87	—	—	0	36	29%	4	—	—
M. Animasahun	D	90	5.85	—	—	0	45	29%	2	—	—
H. Warren	D	54	6.08	—	—	2	14	7%	2	1	—
A. Dervin	M	72	6.17	—	—	0	31	22%	1	—	—
K. Buckley	M	90	6.45	—	—	0	56	47%	4	—	—
D. Horgan	M	90	5.89	1	—	1	35	23%	0	—	—
R. Teahan	M	83	5.63	—	—	0	27	18%	2	—	—
T. Clarke	M	73	6.40	—	—	2	10	6%	1	—	—
Leonardo Gaxha	F	72	6.47	—	—	1	6	6%	2	—	—
C. Dillon	F	17	6.30	—	—	0	1	1%	0	—	—
D. McDaid	M	18	5.67	—	—	0	2	2%	1	—	—
E. Vassenin	D	36	6.04	—	—	0	17	11%	3	—	—
H. Groome	M	7	6.07	—	—	1	2	2%	0	—	—
Norman Garbett	M	18	6.00	—	—	0	3	2%	0	—	—

Bohemians — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
P. Walters	G	90	7.22	—	—	0	28	21%	0	—	—
S. Mullen	D	62	5.89	—	—	1	31	25%	1	1	—
C. Byrne	D	89	5.93	—	—	1	42	30%	2	—	1
P. Hickey	D	90	6.73	—	1	2	40	29%	0	—	—
D. Power	D	81	6.32	—	—	0	35	27%	2	—	—
J. Flores	M	90	6.45	—	—	2	53	39%	0	—	—
D. Devoy	M	90	6.40	—	—	0	60	49%	1	—	—
C. Parsons	M	78	6.12	—	—	2	28	22%	0	1	—
H. Vaughan	M	62	6.16	—	—	0	22	18%	0	—	—
R. Tierney	M	90	7.63	1	—	2	27	20%	2	—	—
C. Whelan	F	62	7.02	1	—	2	14	10%	1	—	—
D. James-Taylor	F	28	6.53	—	—	0	9	7%	0	—	—
D. Rooney	F	12	6.90	—	—	0	3	2%	0	—	—
N. Morahan	M	9	6.22	—	—	0	3	2%	0	—	—
S. Diallo	M	28	6.26	—	—	0	10	8%	0	—	—
Zane Myers	D	28	6.04	—	—	0	8	6%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Bohemians?

The final score was Dundalk 1–2 Bohemians.

What did the model predict before Dundalk vs Bohemians?

The model assigned 16% probability to a Dundalk win, 17% to a draw, and 65% to an Bohemians win.