T. Clarke
85'
9'
(ast. S. Walsh)
E. McCarthy
55'
(ast. A. O'Connor)
K. Twardek
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundalk a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Galway United 20%). The final result was Dundalk 1–2 Galway United. In 3 previous meetings, Dundalk have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Galway United.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
3
2
Shots on target
3
1.59
Actual xG
0.79
1
Saves
2
74%
Possession
26%
10
Corners
0
5
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
9'
ast. S. Walsh ·
E. McCarthy⚽
32'
L. Kavanagh
M. Animasahun
37'
55'
ast. A. O'Connor ·
K. Twardek⚽
T. Grivosti
/ H. Groome
59'
C. Dillon
/ L. Gaxha
59'
A. Dervin
/ D. McDaid
59'
62'
M. Wolfe
/
L. Kavanagh
H. Groome
69'
R. Teahan
/ E. Vassenin
71'
R. Cornwall
/ S. Tracey
71'
74'
F. Lomboto
/
S. Walsh
74'
F. Pierrot
/
K. Twardek
K. Buckley
80'
82'
F. Lomboto
⚽T. Clarke
85'
90'+5
J. Thiam
/
M. Wolfe
90'+5
A. Kazeem
/
F. Lomboto
Pre-match prediction
54.82%
Dundalk
24.93%
X
20.26%
Galway ←
we assigned to the actual result (Galway United)
20.26%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.83
1.59
-0.24
1.03
0.79
-0.24
Dundalk dominated by xG (1.59 vs 0.79).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
E. Minogue
84'
G
E. Minogue
84'
G
44
T. Grivosti
59'
D
T. Grivosti
59'
D
24
R. Cornwall
71'
D
R. Cornwall
71'
D
4
M. Animasahun
84'
D
M. Animasahun
84'
D
6
A. Dervin
59'
D
A. Dervin
59'
D
3
B. Burns
84'
M
B. Burns
84'
M
18
K. Buckley
84'
M
K. Buckley
84'
M
15
Trevor Clarke
1 ⚽
84'
M
Trevor Clarke
1 ⚽
84'
M
7
D. Horgan
84'
M
D. Horgan
84'
M
11
Ronan Teahan
71'
M
Ronan Teahan
71'
M
9
C. Dillon
59'
F
C. Dillon
59'
F
Bench
23
A. M. Keogh
M
A. M. Keogh
M
27
D. McDaid
25'
M
D. McDaid
25'
M
16
E. Vassenin
13'
D
E. Vassenin
13'
D
8
H. Groome
25'
M
H. Groome
25'
M
10
Leonardo Gaxha
25'
F
Leonardo Gaxha
25'
F
12
L. Mulligan
D
L. Mulligan
D
13
Peter Cherrie
G
Peter Cherrie
G
35
Samuel Safaei
G
Samuel Safaei
G
17
S. Tracey
13'
M
S. Tracey
13'
M
16
Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha
84'
G
Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha
84'
G
12
Gianfranco Facchineri
84'
D
Gianfranco Facchineri
84'
D
2
A. O'Connor
1 👟
84'
D
A. O'Connor
1 👟
84'
D
15
O. Williams
84'
D
O. Williams
84'
D
24
E. McCarthy
1 ⚽
84'
M
E. McCarthy
1 ⚽
84'
M
20
M. Zaidan
84'
M
10
D. Hurley
84'
M
D. Hurley
84'
M
19
Leigh Kavanagh
62'
M
Leigh Kavanagh
62'
M
4
J. Keohane
84'
M
J. Keohane
84'
M
7
S. Walsh
1 👟
74'
F
S. Walsh
1 👟
74'
F
11
K. Twardek
1 ⚽
74'
F
K. Twardek
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
30
A. Kazeem
D
A. Kazeem
D
3
Connor Barratt
D
Connor Barratt
D
21
D. Connolly
F
D. Connolly
F
9
F. Lomboto
10'
F
F. Lomboto
10'
F
23
F. Pierrot
10'
F
F. Pierrot
10'
F
17
Junior Thiam
M
Junior Thiam
M
14
Matthew Wolfe
22'
M
Matthew Wolfe
22'
M
37
Mitchell Bates
M
Mitchell Bates
M
32
Vincent Angelini
G
Vincent Angelini
G
Best on the pitch
E. McCarthy
M · Galway
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
D. Horgan
M · Dundalk
8.20
2 shots
· 43 pass
O. Williams
D · Galway
7.90
· 20 pass
A. O'Connor
D · Galway
7.70
1 👟
· 11 pass
Gianfranco Facchineri
D · Galway
7.30
· 14 pass
K. Buckley
M · Dundalk
7.20
· 58 pass
Dundalk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Minogue | G | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 8% | — | — | — |
| T. Grivosti | D | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 37% | — | — | — |
| R. Cornwall | D | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| M. Animasahun | D | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Dervin | D | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 43% | — | — | — |
| B. Burns | M | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Buckley | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 58 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Trevor Clarke | M | 84 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 5 | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Horgan | M | 84 | 8.20 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Ronan Teahan | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Dillon | F | 59 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. McDaid | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| E. Vassenin | D | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| H. Groome | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Leonardo Gaxha | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| S. Tracey | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
Galway United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha | G | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Gianfranco Facchineri | D | 84 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| A. O'Connor | D | 84 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| O. Williams | D | 84 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 7% | 6 | — | — |
| E. McCarthy | M | 84 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Zaidan | M | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 2% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Hurley | M | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Leigh Kavanagh | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Keohane | M | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | — | — | — |
| S. Walsh | F | 74 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| K. Twardek | F | 74 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Lomboto | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| F. Pierrot | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Wolfe | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Galway United?
The final score was Dundalk 1–2 Galway United.
What did the model predict before Dundalk vs Galway United?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Dundalk win, 24% to a draw, and 20% to an Galway United win.