Daryl Horgan
(ast. Keith Buckley)
57'
Cian dillon
65'
Cian dillon
(ast. ronan teahan)
68'
(og)
23'
Robert Cornwall
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shamrock Rovers a 57% win probability (draw 20%, Dundalk 21%). The final result was Dundalk 3–1 Shamrock Rovers. In 3 previous meetings, Dundalk have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Shamrock Rovers.
Match statistics
28
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
1
2.72
Actual xG
0.83
1
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
6
16
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
23'
(og)
Robert Cornwall⚽
26'
Graham Burke
Peter Cherrie
/ Enda Minogue
33'
Aodh Dervin
37'
41'
Matthew Healy
45'
Jonathan Afolabi
/
Graham Burke
45'
Lee Steacy
/
Edward McGinty
45'
Luke O'Regan
/
Roberto Lopes
Trevor Clarke
/ leonardo gaxha
49'
Aodh Dervin
/ Keith Buckley
49'
⚽Daryl Horgan
· ast. Keith Buckley
57'
62'
Gary O'Neill
/
Matthew Healy
62'
Michael Noonan
/
John McGovern
⚽Cian dillon
65'
⚽Cian dillon
· ast. ronan teahan
68'
Tyreke Wilson
/ Luke Mulligan
77'
shane tracey
/ Harry Groome
77'
Ciaran Kilduff
82'
Pre-match prediction
21.52%
Dundalk ←
20.67%
X
57.82%
Shamrock
we assigned to the actual result (Dundalk)
21.52%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
2.72
+1.4
2.43
0.83
-1.6
Dundalk dominated by xG (2.72 vs 0.83).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
P. Cherrie
33'
G
P. Cherrie
33'
G
22
T. Wilson
77'
D
T. Wilson
77'
D
44
T. Grivosti
D
T. Grivosti
D
24
R. Cornwall
1 ⚽
D
R. Cornwall
1 ⚽
D
3
B. Burns
D
B. Burns
D
6
A. Dervin
49'
M
A. Dervin
49'
M
17
S. Tracey
77'
M
S. Tracey
77'
M
7
D. Horgan
1 ⚽
M
D. Horgan
1 ⚽
M
11
R. Teahan
1 👟
M
R. Teahan
1 👟
M
15
T. Clarke
49'
M
T. Clarke
49'
M
9
C. Dillon
2 ⚽
F
C. Dillon
2 ⚽
F
Bench
27
D. McDaid
M
D. McDaid
M
1
E. Minogue
57'
G
E. Minogue
57'
G
8
H. Groome
13'
M
H. Groome
13'
M
5
H. Warren
D
H. Warren
D
18
K. Buckley
1 👟
41'
M
K. Buckley
1 👟
41'
M
10
Leonardo Gaxha
41'
F
Leonardo Gaxha
41'
F
12
L. Mulligan
13'
D
L. Mulligan
13'
D
14
Norman Garbett
M
Norman Garbett
M
20
S. Safaei
G
S. Safaei
G
1
E. McGinty
45'
G
E. McGinty
45'
G
5
L. Grace
D
L. Grace
D
4
Pico
45'
D
Pico
45'
D
6
D. Cleary
D
D. Cleary
D
8
M. Healy
62'
M
M. Healy
62'
M
24
W. Fitzgerald
M
W. Fitzgerald
M
19
A. Brennan
M
A. Brennan
M
7
D. Watts
M
D. Watts
M
22
T. Sobowale
M
T. Sobowale
M
10
G. Burke
45'
F
G. Burke
45'
F
88
J. McGovern
62'
F
J. McGovern
62'
F
Bench
9
A. Greene
F
A. Greene
F
27
C. O'Sullivan
D
C. O'Sullivan
D
3
E. Stevens
D
E. Stevens
D
16
G. O'Neill
28'
M
G. O'Neill
28'
M
18
J. Afolabi
45'
F
J. Afolabi
45'
F
26
John O'Sullivan
M
John O'Sullivan
M
17
L. O'Regan
45'
M
L. O'Regan
45'
M
25
L. Steacy
45'
G
L. Steacy
45'
G
31
M. Noonan
28'
F
M. Noonan
28'
F
Best on the pitch
C. Dillon
F · Dundalk
9.32
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 16 pass
D. Horgan
M · Dundalk
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 42 pass
R. Teahan
M · Dundalk
7.35
1 👟
4 shots
· 28 pass
T. Grivosti
D · Dundalk
7.24
1 shots
· 49 pass
K. Buckley
M · Dundalk
7.21
1 👟
2 shots
· 27 pass
Leonardo Gaxha
F · Dundalk
7.07
7 shots
· 15 pass
Dundalk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Cherrie | G | 33 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Wilson | D | 77 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Grivosti | D | 90 | 7.24 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 45% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Cornwall | D | 90 | 5.56 | 1 | — | 0 | 53 | 45% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Burns | D | 90 | 6.76 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Dervin | M | 49 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Tracey | M | 77 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 37% | 6 | — | — |
| D. Horgan | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 42 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Teahan | M | 90 | 7.35 | — | 1 | 4 | 28 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Clarke | M | 49 | 6.86 | — | — | 4 | 12 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Dillon | F | 90 | 9.32 | 2 | — | 4 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Minogue | G | 57 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Groome | M | 13 | 6.47 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Buckley | M | 41 | 7.21 | — | 1 | 2 | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonardo Gaxha | F | 41 | 7.07 | — | — | 7 | 15 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Mulligan | D | 13 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Shamrock Rovers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. McGinty | G | 45 | 4.97 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Grace | D | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Pico | D | 45 | 5.42 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Cleary | D | 90 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 40% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Healy | M | 62 | 6.02 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| W. Fitzgerald | M | 90 | 5.72 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Brennan | M | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Watts | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Sobowale | M | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Burke | F | 45 | 6.88 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. McGovern | F | 62 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| G. O'Neill | M | 28 | 5.80 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Afolabi | F | 45 | 6.74 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| L. O'Regan | M | 45 | 5.59 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Steacy | G | 45 | 4.67 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Noonan | F | 28 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
The final score was Dundalk 3–1 Shamrock Rovers.
What did the model predict before Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Dundalk win, 20% to a draw, and 57% to an Shamrock Rovers win.