✗Model wrong — prediction Dundalk, result Shelbourne wins
D. Horgan
89'
(pen.)
11'
(ast. K. McInroy)
D. Kelly
52'
K. McInroy
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundalk a 61% win probability (draw 20%, Shelbourne 18%). The final result was Dundalk 1–2 Shelbourne. In 2 previous meetings, Dundalk have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Shelbourne.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
3
66%
Possession
34%
4
Corners
5
16
Tackles
29
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
11'
ast. K. McInroy ·
D. Kelly⚽
20'
P. Barrett
D. Horgan
20'
42'
J. Lunney
45'
S. Gannon
E. Kenny
/ D. McDaid
46'
H. Warren
/ R. Cornwall
46'
K. Buckley
/ B. Burns
46'
B. Burns
51'
52'
K. McInroy⚽
55'
H. Wood
69'
A. Coote
/
H. Wood
R. Teahan
/ H. Groome
73'
81'
E. Caffrey
/
J. Henry-Francis
81'
R. Freitas
/
S. Boyd
87'
D. Kelly
⚽D. Horgan
(pen.)
89'
T. Wilson
90'+1
90'+5
E. Chapman
/
D. Kelly
D. McDaid
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
61.66%
Dundalk
20.13%
X
18.21%
Shelbourne ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Shelbourne)
18.21%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.89
—
—
1.11
—
—
Lineups
1
G
22
Tyreke Wilson
D
Tyreke Wilson
D
4
M. Animasahun
D
5
Harvey Warren
45'
D
Harvey Warren
45'
D
31
T. Wilson
D
T. Wilson
D
18
Keith Buckley
45'
M
Keith Buckley
45'
M
6
A. Dervin
M
A. Dervin
M
7
D. Horgan
1 ⚽
M
D. Horgan
1 ⚽
M
11
Ronan Teahan
73'
M
Ronan Teahan
73'
M
16
E. Kenny
45'
M
E. Kenny
45'
M
9
G. Arubi
F
G. Arubi
F
Bench
3
B. Burns
51'
D
B. Burns
51'
D
27
D. McDaid
51'
M
D. McDaid
51'
M
8
Harry Groome
23'
M
Harry Groome
23'
M
24
R. Cornwall
51'
D
R. Cornwall
51'
D
19
Sean Spaight
D
Sean Spaight
D
17
Shane Tracey
M
Shane Tracey
M
1
G
4
Kameron Ledwidge
D
29
Paddy Barrett
D
15
Sam Bone
D
17
D. Kelly
1 ⚽
M
D. Kelly
1 ⚽
M
23
Kerr McInroy
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Kerr McInroy
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
6
J. Lunney
M
J. Lunney
M
21
Jack Henry-Francis
81'
M
2
S. Gannon
M
S. Gannon
M
9
Sean Boyd
81'
F
Sean Boyd
81'
F
7
H. Wood
69'
F
H. Wood
69'
F
Bench
14
Ali Coote
27'
M
27
Evan Caffrey
15'
M
10
J. Martin
F
J. Martin
F
28
Maill Lundgren
M
Maill Lundgren
M
20
Rodrigo Freitas
15'
F
Rodrigo Freitas
15'
F
36
Will Jarvis
F
Best on the pitch
Kerr McInroy
M · Shelbourne
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 27 pass
D. Kelly
M · Shelbourne
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 18 pass
A. Dervin
M · Dundalk
7.50
· 61 pass
D. Horgan
M · Dundalk
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
M. Animasahun
D · Dundalk
7.20
· 63 pass
Tyreke Wilson
D · Dundalk
7.00
· 65 pass
Dundalk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| Tyreke Wilson | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 65 | 47% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Animasahun | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Harvey Warren | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| T. Wilson | D | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 48 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Keith Buckley | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Dervin | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 61 | 48% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Horgan | M | 96 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ronan Teahan | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Kenny | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Arubi | F | 96 | 5.60 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Burns | D | 51 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| D. McDaid | M | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Harry Groome | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| R. Cornwall | D | 51 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 28% | — | — | — |
Shelbourne — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 5% | — | — | — | |
| Kameron Ledwidge | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Paddy Barrett | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Sam Bone | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Kelly | M | 95 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 14% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Kerr McInroy | M | 96 | 9.20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Lunney | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jack Henry-Francis | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | 6 | — | — |
| S. Gannon | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 9% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Sean Boyd | F | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| H. Wood | F | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Ali Coote | M | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Evan Caffrey | M | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Freitas | F | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Shelbourne?
The final score was Dundalk 1–2 Shelbourne.
What did the model predict before Dundalk vs Shelbourne?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Dundalk win, 20% to a draw, and 18% to an Shelbourne win.