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Premier Division · Regular Season - 14 May 01, 2026 20:45 Oriel Park, Dundalk
Dundalk
#4 · 41 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Shelbourne
#7 · 36 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Dundalk, result Shelbourne wins
D. Horgan 89' (pen.)
11' (ast. K. McInroy) D. Kelly
52' K. McInroy
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundalk a 61% win probability (draw 20%, Shelbourne 18%). The final result was Dundalk 1–2 Shelbourne. In 3 previous meetings, Dundalk have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Shelbourne.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
3
66%
Possession
34%
4
Corners
5
16
Tackles
29
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
11'
ast. K. McInroy · D. Kelly⚽
20'
P. Barrett
D. Horgan
20'
42'
J. Lunney
45'
S. Gannon
↕ E. Kenny / D. McDaid
46'
↕ H. Warren / R. Cornwall
46'
↕ K. Buckley / B. Burns
46'
B. Burns
51'
52'
K. McInroy⚽
55'
H. Wood
69'
A. Coote / H. Wood ↕
↕ R. Teahan / H. Groome
73'
81'
E. Caffrey / J. Henry-Francis ↕
81'
R. Freitas / S. Boyd ↕
87'
D. Kelly
⚽D. Horgan (pen.)
89'
T. Wilson
90'+1
90'+5
E. Chapman / D. Kelly ↕
D. McDaid
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
61.66%
Dundalk
20.13%
X
18.21%
Shelbourne ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Shelbourne) 18.21% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Dundalk
2.89
—
—
Shelbourne
1.11
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 31 56
2 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 30 56
3 Bohemians Bohemians 30 53
4 Dundalk Dundalk 31 41
5 Derry City Derry City 31 38
6 Galway United Galway United 30 37
7 Shelbourne Shelbourne 30 36
8 Waterford Waterford 31 34
9 Drogheda United Drogheda United 31 34
10 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 31 23
Lineups
Dundalk Dundalk 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.30
22 Tyreke Wilson Tyreke Wilson D 7.00
4 M. Animasahun M. Animasahun D 7.20
5 H. Warren H. Warren 45' D 6.20
31 T. Wilson T. Wilson D 6.00
18 K. Buckley K. Buckley 45' M 6.90
6 A. Dervin A. Dervin M 7.50
7 D. Horgan D. Horgan 1 ⚽ M 7.50
11 Ronan Teahan Ronan Teahan 73' M 6.20
16 E. Kenny E. Kenny 45' M 6.50
9 G. Arubi G. Arubi F 5.60
Bench
3 B. Burns B. Burns 51' D 5.90
27 D. McDaid D. McDaid 51' M 6.90
8 H. Groome H. Groome 23' M 6.30
24 R. Cornwall R. Cornwall 51' D 6.70
19 Sean Spaight Sean Spaight D
17 S. Tracey S. Tracey M
Shelbourne Shelbourne 3-5-2
1
G 6.50
4 K. Ledwidge K. Ledwidge D 6.90
29 Paddy Barrett Paddy Barrett D 6.90
15 Sam Bone Sam Bone D 6.70
17 D. Kelly D. Kelly 1 ⚽ M 7.50
23 Kerr McInroy Kerr McInroy 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.20
6 J. Lunney J. Lunney M 6.70
21 Jack Henry-Francis Jack Henry-Francis 81' M 6.70
2 S. Gannon S. Gannon M 6.50
9 Sean Boyd Sean Boyd 81' F 6.50
7 H. Wood H. Wood 69' F 6.50
Bench
14 A. Coote A. Coote 27' M 6.30
27 E. Caffrey E. Caffrey 15' M 6.50
10 J. Martin J. Martin F
28 Maill Lundgren Maill Lundgren M
20 R. Freitas R. Freitas 15' F 6.20
36 W. Jarvis W. Jarvis F
Best on the pitch
Kerr McInroy
Kerr McInroy
M · Shelbourne
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 27 pass
D. Kelly
D. Kelly
M · Shelbourne
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
A. Dervin
A. Dervin
M · Dundalk
7.50
· 61 pass
D. Horgan
D. Horgan
M · Dundalk
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 38 pass
M. Animasahun
M. Animasahun
D · Dundalk
7.20
· 63 pass
Tyreke Wilson
Tyreke Wilson
D · Dundalk
7.00
· 65 pass
Dundalk Dundalk — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.30 — — — 31 15% — — —
Tyreke Wilson D 96 7.00 — — — 65 47% — 1 —
M. Animasahun D 96 7.20 — — — 63 45% 2 — —
H. Warren D 45 6.20 — — — 29 25% — — —
T. Wilson D 96 6.00 — — — 48 36% 2 — —
K. Buckley M 45 6.90 — — — 29 19% 1 — —
A. Dervin M 96 7.50 — — — 61 48% 5 — —
D. Horgan M 96 7.50 1 — 2 38 27% 1 1 —
Ronan Teahan M 73 6.20 — — — 21 18% 2 — —
E. Kenny M 45 6.50 — — 2 7 5% 1 — —
G. Arubi F 96 5.60 — — 3 13 7% 1 — —
B. Burns D 51 5.90 — — 1 24 16% — 1 —
D. McDaid M 51 6.90 — — — 18 14% 1 — —
H. Groome M 23 6.30 — — — 9 8% — — —
R. Cornwall D 51 6.70 — — — 28 28% — — —
Shelbourne Shelbourne — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.50 — — — 27 5% — — —
K. Ledwidge D 96 6.90 — — 1 28 11% 4 — —
Paddy Barrett D 96 6.90 — — — 22 13% — 1 —
Sam Bone D 96 6.70 — — 1 29 6% 3 — —
D. Kelly M 95 7.50 1 — 3 18 14% 5 1 —
Kerr McInroy M 96 9.20 1 1 3 27 23% 2 — —
J. Lunney M 96 6.70 — — — 20 17% 2 1 —
Jack Henry-Francis M 81 6.70 — — — 25 17% 6 — —
S. Gannon M 96 6.50 — — 1 21 9% 3 1 —
Sean Boyd F 81 6.50 — — — 16 11% 4 — —
H. Wood F 69 6.50 — — — 17 12% — 1 —
A. Coote M 27 6.30 — — — 9 5% — — —
E. Caffrey M 15 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —
R. Freitas F 15 6.20 — — 1 — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Shelbourne?
The final score was Dundalk 1–2 Shelbourne.
What did the model predict before Dundalk vs Shelbourne?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Dundalk win, 20% to a draw, and 18% to an Shelbourne win.