✗Model wrong — prediction Dundalk, result Shelbourne wins
D. Horgan
89'
(pen.)
11'
(ast. K. McInroy)
D. Kelly
52'
K. McInroy
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundalk a 61% win probability (draw 20%, Shelbourne 18%). The final result was Dundalk 1–2 Shelbourne. In 4 previous meetings, Dundalk have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Shelbourne.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
3
66%
Possession
34%
4
Corners
5
16
Tackles
29
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
11'
ast. K. McInroy ·
D. Kelly⚽
20'
P. Barrett
D. Horgan
20'
42'
J. Lunney
45'
S. Gannon
E. Kenny
/ D. McDaid
46'
H. Warren
/ R. Cornwall
46'
K. Buckley
/ B. Burns
46'
B. Burns
51'
52'
K. McInroy⚽
55'
H. Wood
69'
A. Coote
/
H. Wood
R. Teahan
/ H. Groome
73'
81'
E. Caffrey
/
J. Henry-Francis
81'
R. Freitas
/
S. Boyd
87'
D. Kelly
⚽D. Horgan
(pen.)
89'
T. Wilson
90'+1
90'+5
E. Chapman
/
D. Kelly
D. McDaid
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
61.66%
Dundalk
20.13%
X
18.21%
Shelbourne ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Shelbourne)
18.21%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.89
—
—
1.11
—
—
Lineups
1
G
22
T. Wilson
D
T. Wilson
D
4
M. Animasahun
D
M. Animasahun
D
5
H. Warren
45'
D
H. Warren
45'
D
31
T. Wilson
D
T. Wilson
D
18
K. Buckley
45'
M
K. Buckley
45'
M
6
A. Dervin
M
A. Dervin
M
7
D. Horgan
1 ⚽
M
D. Horgan
1 ⚽
M
11
Y. Acheampong
73'
M
16
E. Kenny
45'
M
E. Kenny
45'
M
9
G. Arubi
F
G. Arubi
F
Bench
3
B. Burns
51'
D
B. Burns
51'
D
27
D. McDaid
51'
M
D. McDaid
51'
M
8
H. Groome
23'
M
H. Groome
23'
M
24
R. Cornwall
51'
D
R. Cornwall
51'
D
19
Sean Spaight
D
Sean Spaight
D
17
S. Tracey
M
S. Tracey
M
1
G
4
K. Ledwidge
D
K. Ledwidge
D
29
Paddy Barrett
D
Paddy Barrett
D
15
S. Bone
D
S. Bone
D
17
D. Kelly
1 ⚽
M
D. Kelly
1 ⚽
M
23
Kerr McInroy
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Kerr McInroy
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
6
J. Lunney
M
J. Lunney
M
21
Jack Henry-Francis
81'
M
Jack Henry-Francis
81'
M
2
S. Gannon
M
S. Gannon
M
9
Sean Boyd
81'
F
Sean Boyd
81'
F
7
H. Wood
69'
F
H. Wood
69'
F
Bench
14
A. Coote
27'
M
A. Coote
27'
M
27
E. Caffrey
15'
M
E. Caffrey
15'
M
28
I. Lundgren
M
I. Lundgren
M
10
J. Martin
F
J. Martin
F
20
R. Freitas
15'
F
R. Freitas
15'
F
36
W. Jarvis
F
W. Jarvis
F
Best on the pitch
Kerr McInroy
M · Shelbourne
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 27 pass
D. Kelly
M · Shelbourne
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 18 pass
A. Dervin
M · Dundalk
7.50
· 61 pass
D. Horgan
M · Dundalk
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
M. Animasahun
D · Dundalk
7.20
· 63 pass
T. Wilson
D · Dundalk
7.00
· 65 pass
Dundalk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| T. Wilson | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 65 | 47% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Animasahun | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Warren | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| T. Wilson | D | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 48 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Buckley | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Dervin | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 61 | 48% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Horgan | M | 96 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. Acheampong | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Kenny | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Arubi | F | 96 | 5.60 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Burns | D | 51 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| D. McDaid | M | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Groome | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| R. Cornwall | D | 51 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 28% | — | — | — |
Shelbourne — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 5% | — | — | — | |
| K. Ledwidge | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Paddy Barrett | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Bone | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Kelly | M | 95 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 14% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Kerr McInroy | M | 96 | 9.20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Lunney | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jack Henry-Francis | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | 6 | — | — |
| S. Gannon | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 9% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Sean Boyd | F | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| H. Wood | F | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Coote | M | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| E. Caffrey | M | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| R. Freitas | F | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Shelbourne?
The final score was Dundalk 1–2 Shelbourne.
What did the model predict before Dundalk vs Shelbourne?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Dundalk win, 20% to a draw, and 18% to an Shelbourne win.