Premier Division · Regular Season - 22 June 26, 2026 20:45 Oriel Park, Dundalk

Dundalk

#7 · 42 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Waterford

#8 · 40 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Dundalk, result Waterford wins

E. Kenny (ast. D. Horgan) 10'

H. Groome (ast. D. Horgan) 29'

45'+1 (ast. B. Couto) T. Lonergan

(pen.) 63' T. Lonergan

85' J. Mahon

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundalk a 60% win probability (draw 19%, Waterford 19%). The final result was Dundalk 2–3 Waterford. In 3 previous meetings, Dundalk have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Waterford.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽E. Kenny · ast. D. Horgan

10'

⚽H. Groome · ast. D. Horgan

29'

45'+1

ast. B. Couto · T. Lonergan⚽

49'

L. Heeney

56'

J. Voilas / D. McMenamy ↕

56'

S. Glenfield / L. Heeney ↕

B. Burns

62'

63'

(pen.) T. Lonergan⚽

↕ H. Groome / S. Tracey

68'

↕ A. Dervin / M. Animasahun

74'

80'

T. Coyle / J. Houston ↕

81'

W. Johnson

85'

J. Mahon⚽

Pre-match prediction

60.55%

Dundalk

19.77%

X

19.68%

Waterford ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Waterford) 19.68% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Dundalk

2.19

—

—

Waterford

1.22

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	35	68
2	Bohemians	35	62
3	St Patrick's Athl.	35	60
4	Shelbourne	35	49
5	Derry City	35	47
6	Galway United	35	42
7	Dundalk	35	42
8	Waterford	35	40
9	Drogheda United	35	37
10	Sligo Rovers	35	24