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Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 10 October 24, 2026 16:00 Tannadice Park, Dundee
Dundee Utd
#4 · 15 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Aberdeen
#9 · 11 pts
Zidane Iqbal (ast. Dylan Tait) 14'
Dylan Tait (ast. Kevin Ciubotaru) 27'
Zachary Sapsford (ast. Dylan Tait) 72'
25' (ast. Kevin Nisbet) Nesta Guinness-Walker
56' (ast. Lewis Smith) Connor Patrick Ronan
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundee Utd a 41% win probability (draw 32%, Aberdeen 25%). The final result was Dundee Utd 3–2 Aberdeen. In 4 previous meetings, Dundee Utd have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Aberdeen.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
20
6
Shots on target
3
1.43
Actual xG
1.58
1
Saves
2
44%
Possession
56%
3
Corners
8
17
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Zidane Iqbal · ast. Dylan Tait
14'
17'
Brad Lyons
25'
ast. Kevin Nisbet · Nesta Guinness-Walker⚽
⚽Dylan Tait · ast. Kevin Ciubotaru
27'
45'
Lewis Smith / Afeez Aremu Olalekan ↕
56'
ast. Lewis Smith · Connor Patrick Ronan⚽
62'
↕ Daniel Bennie / Neil Farrugia
65'
65'
Toyosi Olusanya / Ayoub Mouloua ↕
⚽Zachary Sapsford · ast. Dylan Tait
72'
↕ Zachary Sapsford / Lachlan Rose
74'
↕ Lyall Cameron / abdoulaye yoro
74'
76'
Hicham Mahou / Stuart Armstrong ↕
Pre-match prediction
41.32%
Dundee ←
32.88%
X
25.8%
Aberdeen
we assigned to the actual result (Dundee Utd) 41.32% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Dundee
0.92
1.43
+0.51
Aberdeen
0.52
1.58
+1.06
xG dominance was balanced (1.43 – 1.58). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Celtic Celtic 10 27
2 Rangers Rangers 10 23
3 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 10 19
4 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 10 15
5 Dundee Dundee 10 14
6 ST Mirren ST Mirren 10 13
7 Falkirk Falkirk 10 12
8 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 10 12
9 Aberdeen Aberdeen 10 11
10 Motherwell Motherwell 10 8
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 10 8
12 Hibernian Hibernian 10 7
Lineups
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 4-3-3
1 J. Walton J. Walton G 6.26
19 K. Ciubotaru K. Ciubotaru 1 👟 D 6.40
18 M. Forbes M. Forbes D 6.09
3 B. Esselink B. Esselink D 6.74
23 J. Rawlins J. Rawlins D 6.21
14 Zidane Iqbal Zidane Iqbal 1 ⚽ M 7.95
10 D. Tait D. Tait 1 ⚽ 2 👟 M 8.80
16 L. Cameron L. Cameron 74' M 6.90
77 D. Bennie D. Bennie 65' F 6.25
9 Z. Sapsford Z. Sapsford 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.74
21 J. Randall J. Randall F 6.30
Bench
26 Abdoulaye Yoro Abdoulaye Yoro 16' M 6.00
22 D. Naamo D. Naamo D 0.00
4 I. Iovu I. Iovu D 0.00
93 I. Metsoko I. Metsoko F 0.00
30 J. Amissah J. Amissah G 0.00
15 L. Rose L. Rose 16' F 6.54
20 N. Farrugia N. Farrugia 25' F 6.85
8 Panutche Camará Panutche Camará M 0.00
6 R. Graham R. Graham D 0.00
Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-4-2
27 M. Müller M. Müller G 5.92
24 N. Guinness-Walker N. Guinness-Walker 1 ⚽ D 7.30
21 G. Molloy G. Molloy D 6.68
22 J. Milne J. Milne D 6.24
28 C. Cadden C. Cadden D 6.17
25 C. Ronan C. Ronan 1 ⚽ M 7.41
32 A. Aremu A. Aremu 45' M 6.00
17 S. Armstrong S. Armstrong 76' M 6.77
8 B. Lyons B. Lyons M 6.36
15 K. Nisbet K. Nisbet 1 👟 F 6.52
9 A. Mouloua A. Mouloua 65' F 6.38
Bench
10 A. Briedl A. Briedl M 0.00
53 A. Fasanya A. Fasanya F 0.00
30 D. Klein D. Klein G 0.00
77 E. Gyamfi E. Gyamfi D 0.00
14 H. Mahou H. Mahou 14' M 5.94
11 Lewis Smith Lewis Smith 1 👟 45' F 6.27
31 M. Ntelo M. Ntelo F 0.00
2 N. Devlin N. Devlin D 0.00
20 T. Olusanya T. Olusanya 25' F 6.29
Best on the pitch
D. Tait
D. Tait
M · Dundee
8.80
1 ⚽ 2 👟
1 shots · 67 pass
Zidane Iqbal
Zidane Iqbal
M · Dundee
7.95
1 ⚽
1 shots · 54 pass
Z. Sapsford
Z. Sapsford
F · Dundee
7.74
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
C. Ronan
C. Ronan
M · Aberdeen
7.41
1 ⚽
3 shots · 62 pass
N. Guinness-Walker
N. Guinness-Walker
D · Aberdeen
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 35 pass
L. Cameron
L. Cameron
M · Dundee
6.90
2 shots · 40 pass
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Walton G 90 6.26 — — 0 21 12% 0 — —
K. Ciubotaru D 90 6.40 — 1 2 33 22% 1 — —
M. Forbes D 90 6.09 — — 2 35 23% 0 — —
B. Esselink D 90 6.74 — — 0 41 35% 1 — —
J. Rawlins D 90 6.21 — — 0 32 23% 0 — —
Zidane Iqbal M 90 7.95 1 — 1 54 44% 7 — —
D. Tait M 90 8.80 1 2 1 67 51% 5 — —
L. Cameron M 74 6.90 — — 2 40 30% 1 — —
D. Bennie F 65 6.25 — — 2 21 11% 0 — —
Z. Sapsford F 74 7.74 1 — 1 13 7% 0 — —
J. Randall F 90 6.30 — — 1 24 20% 2 — —
Abdoulaye Yoro M 16 6.00 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
L. Rose F 16 6.54 — — 2 6 5% 0 — —
N. Farrugia F 25 6.85 — — 0 13 12% 0 — —
Aberdeen Aberdeen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Müller G 90 5.92 — — 0 39 20% 0 — —
N. Guinness-Walker D 90 7.30 1 — 3 35 30% 1 — —
G. Molloy D 90 6.68 — — 1 67 62% 1 — —
J. Milne D 90 6.24 — — 0 60 52% 0 — —
C. Cadden D 90 6.17 — — 0 31 26% 3 — —
C. Ronan M 90 7.41 1 — 3 62 48% 1 — —
A. Aremu M 45 6.00 — — 1 28 21% 0 — —
S. Armstrong M 76 6.77 — — 0 52 40% 0 — —
B. Lyons M 90 6.36 — — 6 34 26% 2 1 —
K. Nisbet F 90 6.52 — 1 3 29 17% 0 — —
A. Mouloua F 65 6.38 — — 1 15 10% 1 — —
H. Mahou M 14 5.94 — — 0 15 9% 0 — —
Lewis Smith F 45 6.27 — 1 1 20 16% 1 — —
T. Olusanya F 25 6.29 — — 1 3 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen?
The final score was Dundee Utd 3–2 Aberdeen.
What did the model predict before Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Dundee Utd win, 32% to a draw, and 25% to an Aberdeen win.