✗Model wrong — prediction Dundee Utd, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundee Utd a 63% win probability (draw 17%, Livingston 18%). The final result was Dundee Utd 0–0 Livingston. In 3 previous meetings, Dundee Utd have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Livingston.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
3
1.39
Actual xG
0.84
2
Saves
5
47%
Possession
53%
7
Corners
7
8
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
20'
C. Kerr
60'
E. Danso
P. Camara
62'
Z. Sapsford
/ O. Stirton
62'
P. Camara
/ C. Sibbald
62'
N. Farrugia
/ I. Dolcek
62'
J. Russell
/ J. Eskesen
68'
70'
B. McKay
/
S. Pittman
74'
B. Kabongolo
76'
J. Zimmerman
/
E. Danso
76'
A. Denholm
/
R. Muirhead
76'
B. Fati
/
C. Montano
R. Strain
/ S. Constable
83'
86'
J. Zimmerman
87'
S. Culbert
/
L. Smith
S. Constable
89'
Pre-match prediction
63.76%
Dundee
17.89%
X ←
18.35%
Livingston
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
17.89%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.42
1.39
-1.03
1.14
0.84
-0.3
Dundee Utd dominated by xG (1.39 vs 0.84).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
Dave Richards
G
Dave Richards
G
6
Ross Graham
D
Ross Graham
D
3
Bert Esselink
D
Bert Esselink
D
37
Sam Cleall-Harding
D
Sam Cleall-Harding
D
11
W. Ferry
M
W. Ferry
M
8
Panutche Camará
62'
M
Panutche Camará
62'
M
5
V. Ševelj
M
V. Ševelj
M
2
Ryan Strain
83'
M
Ryan Strain
83'
M
9
Z. Sapsford
62'
F
Z. Sapsford
62'
F
20
Neil Farrugia
62'
F
Neil Farrugia
62'
F
77
Johnny Russell
68'
F
Johnny Russell
68'
F
Bench
14
Craig Sibbald
29'
M
Craig Sibbald
29'
M
4
I. Iovu
D
I. Iovu
D
19
Ivan Dolček
29'
F
Ivan Dolček
29'
F
10
Julius Eskesen
23'
M
Julius Eskesen
23'
M
23
Krisztián Keresztes
D
Krisztián Keresztes
D
36
Max Watters
F
Max Watters
F
34
Owen Stirton
29'
D
Owen Stirton
29'
D
31
R. Adams
G
R. Adams
G
39
Scott Constable
8'
M
Scott Constable
8'
M
28
Jérôme Prior
G
Jérôme Prior
G
26
Cristian Montaño
76'
D
Cristian Montaño
76'
D
19
D. Finlayson
D
D. Finlayson
D
23
Brooklyn Kabongolo
D
Brooklyn Kabongolo
D
2
Cammy Kerr
D
Cammy Kerr
D
25
M. Tait
M
M. Tait
M
20
Emmanuel Danso
76'
M
Emmanuel Danso
76'
M
17
Stevie May
M
Stevie May
M
8
Scott Pittman
70'
M
Scott Pittman
70'
M
15
Lewis Smith
87'
M
Lewis Smith
87'
M
9
Robbie Muirhead
76'
F
Robbie Muirhead
76'
F
Bench
6
Aidan Denholm
15'
M
Aidan Denholm
15'
M
3
Babacar Fati
15'
D
Babacar Fati
15'
D
10
Barrie McKay
21'
M
Barrie McKay
21'
M
27
Danny Wilson
D
Danny Wilson
D
14
Jack Hamilton
G
Jack Hamilton
G
29
Joshua Zimmerman
15'
F
Joshua Zimmerman
15'
F
24
Mohamad Sylla
M
Mohamad Sylla
M
40
Samson Lawal
M
Samson Lawal
M
36
S. Culbert
4'
F
S. Culbert
4'
F
Best on the pitch
W. Ferry
M · Dundee
7.70
· 27 pass
Ross Graham
D · Dundee
7.60
· 38 pass
Ryan Strain
M · Dundee
7.50
1 shots
· 24 pass
D. Finlayson
D · Livingston
7.30
· 34 pass
Bert Esselink
D · Dundee
7.20
1 shots
· 49 pass
V. Ševelj
M · Dundee
7.20
· 55 pass
Dundee Utd — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave Richards | G | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Ross Graham | D | 91 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Bert Esselink | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Sam Cleall-Harding | D | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| W. Ferry | M | 91 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Panutche Camará | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| V. Ševelj | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Strain | M | 83 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Sapsford | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Neil Farrugia | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Johnny Russell | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Craig Sibbald | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Ivan Dolček | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Julius Eskesen | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Owen Stirton | D | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Scott Constable | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
Livingston — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jérôme Prior | G | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Montaño | D | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Finlayson | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Brooklyn Kabongolo | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cammy Kerr | D | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Tait | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Danso | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Stevie May | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Scott Pittman | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Lewis Smith | M | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Robbie Muirhead | F | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Aidan Denholm | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Babacar Fati | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Barrie McKay | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Joshua Zimmerman | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Culbert | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundee Utd vs Livingston?
The final score was Dundee Utd 0–0 Livingston.
What did the model predict before Dundee Utd vs Livingston?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Dundee Utd win, 17% to a draw, and 18% to an Livingston win.