✗Model wrong — prediction Dundee Utd, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundee Utd a 63% win probability (draw 17%, Livingston 18%). The final result was Dundee Utd 0–0 Livingston. In 3 previous meetings, Dundee Utd have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Livingston.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
3
1.39
Actual xG
0.84
2
Saves
5
47%
Possession
53%
7
Corners
7
8
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
20'
C. Kerr
60'
E. Danso
P. Camara
62'
Z. Sapsford
/ O. Stirton
62'
P. Camara
/ C. Sibbald
62'
N. Farrugia
/ I. Dolcek
62'
J. Russell
/ J. Eskesen
68'
70'
B. McKay
/
S. Pittman
74'
B. Kabongolo
76'
J. Zimmerman
/
E. Danso
76'
A. Denholm
/
R. Muirhead
76'
B. Fati
/
C. Montano
R. Strain
/ S. Constable
83'
86'
J. Zimmerman
87'
S. Culbert
/
L. Smith
S. Constable
89'
Pre-match prediction
63.76%
Dundee
17.89%
X ←
18.35%
Livingston
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
17.89%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.42
1.39
-1.03
1.14
0.84
-0.3
Dundee Utd dominated by xG (1.39 vs 0.84).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
Dave Richards
G
Dave Richards
G
6
R. Graham
D
R. Graham
D
3
B. Esselink
D
B. Esselink
D
37
Sam Cleall-Harding
D
Sam Cleall-Harding
D
11
W. Ferry
M
W. Ferry
M
8
Panutche Camará
62'
M
Panutche Camará
62'
M
5
V. Ševelj
M
V. Ševelj
M
2
R. Strain
83'
M
R. Strain
83'
M
9
Z. Sapsford
62'
F
Z. Sapsford
62'
F
20
N. Farrugia
62'
F
N. Farrugia
62'
F
77
Johnny Russell
68'
F
Johnny Russell
68'
F
Bench
14
Craig Sibbald
29'
M
Craig Sibbald
29'
M
19
I. Dolček
29'
F
I. Dolček
29'
F
4
I. Iovu
D
I. Iovu
D
10
J. Eskesen
23'
M
J. Eskesen
23'
M
23
K. Keresztes
D
K. Keresztes
D
36
Max Watters
F
Max Watters
F
34
O. Stirton
29'
D
31
R. Adams
G
R. Adams
G
39
S. Constable
8'
M
28
J. Prior
G
26
Cristian Montaño
76'
D
Cristian Montaño
76'
D
19
D. Finlayson
D
D. Finlayson
D
23
Brooklyn Kabongolo
D
2
Cammy Kerr
D
Cammy Kerr
D
25
M. Tait
M
M. Tait
M
20
E. Danso
76'
M
17
S. May
M
8
Scott Pittman
70'
M
Scott Pittman
70'
M
15
L. Smith
87'
M
L. Smith
87'
M
9
R. Muirhead
76'
F
Bench
6
Aidan Denholm
15'
M
Aidan Denholm
15'
M
3
Babacar Fati
15'
D
Babacar Fati
15'
D
10
Barrie McKay
21'
M
Barrie McKay
21'
M
27
Danny Wilson
D
Danny Wilson
D
14
J. Hamilton
G
29
Joshua Zimmerman
15'
F
Joshua Zimmerman
15'
F
24
Mohamad Sylla
M
Mohamad Sylla
M
36
S. Culbert
4'
F
40
S. Lawal
M
S. Lawal
M
Best on the pitch
W. Ferry
M · Dundee
7.70
· 27 pass
R. Graham
D · Dundee
7.60
· 38 pass
R. Strain
M · Dundee
7.50
1 shots
· 24 pass
D. Finlayson
D · Livingston
7.30
· 34 pass
B. Esselink
D · Dundee
7.20
1 shots
· 49 pass
V. Ševelj
M · Dundee
7.20
· 55 pass
Dundee Utd — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave Richards | G | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 14% | — | — | — |
| R. Graham | D | 91 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Esselink | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Sam Cleall-Harding | D | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| W. Ferry | M | 91 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Panutche Camará | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| V. Ševelj | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | — | — | — |
| R. Strain | M | 83 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Sapsford | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| N. Farrugia | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Johnny Russell | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Craig Sibbald | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Dolček | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Eskesen | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| O. Stirton | D | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Constable | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
Livingston — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Prior | G | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Montaño | D | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Finlayson | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Brooklyn Kabongolo | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cammy Kerr | D | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Tait | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | — | — | — |
| E. Danso | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. May | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Scott Pittman | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Smith | M | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Muirhead | F | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Aidan Denholm | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Babacar Fati | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Barrie McKay | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Joshua Zimmerman | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Culbert | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundee Utd vs Livingston?
The final score was Dundee Utd 0–0 Livingston.
What did the model predict before Dundee Utd vs Livingston?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Dundee Utd win, 17% to a draw, and 18% to an Livingston win.