Scottish Premiership
· Relegation Group - 38
May 17, 2026 15:00
D. Wright
(ast. C. Reilly)
10'
J. Westley
61'
R. Astley
90'
23'
(ast. L. Cameron)
L. Morrison
45'+6
T. Olusanya
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundee a 40% win probability (draw 24%, Aberdeen 34%). The final result was Dundee 3–2 Aberdeen. In 4 previous meetings, Dundee have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Aberdeen.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
2
1.78
Actual xG
1.29
0
Saves
3
56%
Possession
44%
7
Corners
2
10
Tackles
24
Match Events
⚽D. Wright
· ast. C. Reilly
10'
14'
N. Devlin
/
M. Knoester
23'
ast. L. Cameron ·
L. Morrison⚽
45'+6
T. Olusanya⚽
⚽J. Westley
61'
C. Reilly
/ J. Bevan
68'
69'
N. Milanovic
/
T. Keskinen
69'
K. Bilalovic
/
L. Cameron
69'
G. Shinnie
/
D. Geiger
76'
A. Afeez
/
K. Kjartansson
C. Congreve
/ T. Yogane
76'
E. Hamilton
/ J. Cotterill
77'
J. Westley
/ S. Murray
77'
I. Samuels
/ L. Graham
87'
⚽R. Astley
90'
Pre-match prediction
40.95%
Dundee ←
24.22%
X
34.83%
Aberdeen
we assigned to the actual result (Dundee)
40.95%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.46
1.78
+0.32
1.37
1.29
-0.08
Dundee dominated by xG (1.78 vs 1.29).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
13
K. O'Hara
G
K. O'Hara
G
12
I. Samuels
87'
D
I. Samuels
87'
D
5
Billy Dawson Koumetio
D
Billy Dawson Koumetio
D
4
R. Astley
1 ⚽
D
R. Astley
1 ⚽
D
7
D. Wright
1 ⚽
D
D. Wright
1 ⚽
D
48
E. Hamilton
77'
M
E. Hamilton
77'
M
28
C. Jones
M
C. Jones
M
18
C. Reilly
1 👟
68'
M
C. Reilly
1 👟
68'
M
10
F. Robertson
M
F. Robertson
M
20
Cameron Congreve
77'
M
Cameron Congreve
77'
M
19
J. Westley
1 ⚽
77'
F
J. Westley
1 ⚽
77'
F
Bench
11
A. Hay
F
A. Hay
F
16
B. Halliday
D
B. Halliday
D
3
Clark Robertson
D
Clark Robertson
D
30
H. Sharp
G
H. Sharp
G
27
J. Bevan
24'
F
J. Bevan
24'
F
24
J. Cotterill
15'
M
J. Cotterill
15'
M
22
L. Graham
5'
D
L. Graham
5'
D
15
Simon Murray
15'
F
Simon Murray
15'
F
17
Tony Yogane
15'
M
Tony Yogane
15'
M
13
N. Suman
G
N. Suman
G
21
G. Molloy
D
G. Molloy
D
5
M. Knoester
14'
D
M. Knoester
14'
D
23
L. Morrison
1 ⚽
D
L. Morrison
1 ⚽
D
22
J. Milne
D
J. Milne
D
25
L. Cameron
1 👟
69'
M
L. Cameron
1 👟
69'
M
29
K. Kjartansson
76'
M
K. Kjartansson
76'
M
81
T. Keskinen
69'
M
T. Keskinen
69'
M
8
D. Geiger
69'
M
D. Geiger
69'
M
20
T. Olusanya
1 ⚽
F
T. Olusanya
1 ⚽
F
15
K. Nisbet
F
K. Nisbet
F
Bench
32
A. Aremu
16'
M
A. Aremu
16'
M
38
Dylan Lobban
M
Dylan Lobban
M
4
G. Shinnie
23'
M
46
Jamie Mercer
D
Jamie Mercer
D
14
Kenan Bilalovic
23'
M
Kenan Bilalovic
23'
M
3
M. Frame
D
M. Frame
D
2
N. Devlin
78'
D
N. Devlin
78'
D
11
Nicolas Milanović
23'
F
Nicolas Milanović
23'
F
99
Per Kristian Bråtveit
G
Per Kristian Bråtveit
G
Best on the pitch
L. Cameron
M · Aberdeen
7.50
1 👟
· 23 pass
L. Morrison
D · Aberdeen
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
T. Olusanya
F · Aberdeen
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
Billy Dawson Koumetio
D · Dundee
7.20
· 47 pass
K. Kjartansson
M · Aberdeen
6.90
1 shots
· 20 pass
D. Wright
D · Dundee
6.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 49 pass
Dundee — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. O'Hara | G | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | — | — | — |
| I. Samuels | D | 87 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Billy Dawson Koumetio | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Astley | D | 92 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 51 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Wright | D | 92 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 49 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Hamilton | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Jones | M | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Reilly | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| F. Robertson | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Cameron Congreve | M | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Westley | F | 77 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bevan | F | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Cotterill | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Graham | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simon Murray | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Tony Yogane | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Aberdeen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Suman | G | 92 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 6% | — | — | — |
| G. Molloy | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Knoester | D | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Morrison | D | 92 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Milne | D | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Cameron | M | 69 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Kjartansson | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Keskinen | M | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Geiger | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Olusanya | F | 92 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| K. Nisbet | F | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Aremu | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Shinnie | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Kenan Bilalovic | M | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| N. Devlin | D | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Milanović | F | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundee vs Aberdeen?
The final score was Dundee 3–2 Aberdeen.
What did the model predict before Dundee vs Aberdeen?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Dundee win, 24% to a draw, and 34% to an Aberdeen win.