Dundee - Aberdeen
Scottish Premiership
August 08, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.95%
Win
Dundee
32.13%
Draw
33.92%
Win
Aberdeen
1.68
1.64
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.16%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
32%
2
34%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
66%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Dundee a 33% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Aberdeen. Expected goals are 1.7 for Dundee and 1.6 for Aberdeen (total 3.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.16% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Dundee have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Aberdeen.
Season Stats
5W
4D
6L
4W
3D
8L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.1
1.7
Conceded
1.5
3.9
Shots OT
2.4
4.9
Corners
4.1
47%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
80%
73%
O 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
47%
13%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Scottish Premiership. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
5W
3D
2L
· at home
0W
2D
8L
· away
1.9
gls/g
0.5
1.4
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
0%
80%
Win or Draw
20%
80%
O 1.5
70%
80%
O 2.5
40%
40%
O 3.5
30%
70%
BTTS
30%
20%
Clean Sht
10%
10%
Failed to Score
70%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Dundee
Aberdeen →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Dundee
Attack
18
Defence
27
Form
26
Aberdeen
Attack
17
Defence
39
Form
26
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ST Mirren
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
ST Johnstone
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Motherwell
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Aberdeen
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Celtic
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Dundee Utd
|
1 | 1 |
| 7 |
Rangers
|
1 | 1 |
| 8 |
Kilmarnock
|
1 | 0 |
| 9 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
1 | 0 |
| 10 |
Hibernian
|
1 | 0 |
| 11 |
Dundee
|
1 | 0 |
| 12 |
Falkirk
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Dundee vs Aberdeen?
The model gives Dundee a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Aberdeen win.
How many goals are expected in Dundee vs Aberdeen?
Expected goals: Dundee 1.7, Aberdeen 1.6 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Dundee vs Aberdeen?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.16%.