Scottish Premiership
· Relegation Group - 35
May 02, 2026 16:00
J. Westley
12'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundee a 43% win probability (draw 30%, ST Mirren 26%). The final result was Dundee 1–0 ST Mirren. In 3 previous meetings, Dundee have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for ST Mirren.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
6
0.54
Actual xG
0.60
3
Saves
4
39%
Possession
61%
4
Corners
6
20
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Westley
12'
15'
J. Devaney
28'
M. Mandron
B. Halliday
34'
J. McCracken
/ K. O'Hara
66'
J. Westley
/ F. Robertson
75'
S. Murray
/ A. Hay
76'
79'
C. McMenamin
/
M. O'Hara
84'
J. Young
/
R. Idowu
84'
M. Fraser
/
S. Tanser
D. Wright
/ B. Koumetio
87'
T. Yogane
/ I. Samuels
88'
Pre-match prediction
43.64%
Dundee ←
30.2%
X
26.16%
ST
we assigned to the actual result (Dundee)
43.64%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
0.54
-0.7
0.87
0.60
-0.27
xG dominance was balanced (0.54 – 0.60).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Jon McCracken
66'
G
Jon McCracken
66'
G
7
Drey Wright
88'
D
Drey Wright
88'
D
22
D
4
Ryan Astley
D
Ryan Astley
D
16
Brad Halliday
D
Brad Halliday
D
48
Ethan Hamilton
M
Ethan Hamilton
M
21
Y. Dhanda
M
17
Tony Yogane
88'
M
Tony Yogane
88'
M
19
J. Westley
1 ⚽
75'
M
J. Westley
1 ⚽
75'
M
20
C. Congreve
M
C. Congreve
M
15
Simon Murray
76'
F
Simon Murray
76'
F
Bench
5
Billy Koumetio
8'
D
Billy Koumetio
8'
D
27
G
3
Scott Tanser
84'
D
Scott Tanser
84'
D
21
Miguel Freckleton
D
Miguel Freckleton
D
5
Richard King
D
Richard King
D
2
D
16
Allan Campbell
M
8
Jacob Devaney
M
6
80'
M
88
K. Phillips
M
K. Phillips
M
9
M. Mandron
F
M. Mandron
F
7
R. Idowu
84'
F
R. Idowu
84'
F
Bench
10
Conor McMenamin
16'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Westley
M · Dundee
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 5 pass
Allan Campbell
M · ST
7.50
· 53 pass
D · Dundee
7.30
1 shots
· 25 pass
Y. Dhanda
M · Dundee
7.30
2 shots
· 38 pass
G · ST
7.30
· 20 pass
R. Idowu
F · ST
7.30
2 shots
· 34 pass
Dundee — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon McCracken | G | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Drey Wright | D | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Ryan Astley | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Brad Halliday | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 24% | 7 | 1 | — |
| Ethan Hamilton | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Dhanda | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Tony Yogane | M | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| J. Westley | M | 75 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Congreve | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Murray | F | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Billy Koumetio | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
ST Mirren — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Scott Tanser | D | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| Miguel Freckleton | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 85 | 73% | — | — | — |
| Richard King | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 72 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 38% | 2 | — | — | |
| Allan Campbell | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 5 | — | — |
| Jacob Devaney | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 54% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 2 | — | — | |
| K. Phillips | M | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Mandron | F | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Idowu | F | 84 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Conor McMenamin | F | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundee vs ST Mirren?
The final score was Dundee 1–0 ST Mirren.
What did the model predict before Dundee vs ST Mirren?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Dundee win, 30% to a draw, and 26% to an ST Mirren win.