Scottish Premiership
· Relegation Group - 35
May 02, 2026 16:00
J. Westley
12'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundee a 43% win probability (draw 30%, ST Mirren 26%). The final result was Dundee 1–0 ST Mirren. In 3 previous meetings, Dundee have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for ST Mirren.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
6
0.54
Actual xG
0.60
3
Saves
4
39%
Possession
61%
4
Corners
6
20
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Westley
12'
15'
J. Devaney
28'
M. Mandron
B. Halliday
34'
J. McCracken
/ K. O'Hara
66'
J. Westley
/ F. Robertson
75'
S. Murray
/ A. Hay
76'
79'
C. McMenamin
/
M. O'Hara
84'
J. Young
/
R. Idowu
84'
M. Fraser
/
S. Tanser
D. Wright
/ B. Koumetio
87'
T. Yogane
/ I. Samuels
88'
Pre-match prediction
43.64%
Dundee ←
30.2%
X
26.16%
ST
we assigned to the actual result (Dundee)
43.64%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
0.54
-0.7
0.87
0.60
-0.27
xG dominance was balanced (0.54 – 0.60).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. McCracken
66'
G
J. McCracken
66'
G
7
D. Wright
88'
D
D. Wright
88'
D
22
D
4
R. Astley
D
R. Astley
D
16
B. Halliday
D
B. Halliday
D
48
E. Hamilton
M
E. Hamilton
M
21
Y. Dhanda
M
Y. Dhanda
M
17
Tony Yogane
88'
M
Tony Yogane
88'
M
19
J. Westley
1 ⚽
75'
M
J. Westley
1 ⚽
75'
M
20
C. Congreve
M
C. Congreve
M
15
Simon Murray
76'
F
Simon Murray
76'
F
Bench
5
Billy Koumetio
8'
D
Billy Koumetio
8'
D
27
G
3
S. Tanser
84'
D
S. Tanser
84'
D
21
M. Freckleton
D
M. Freckleton
D
5
R. King
D
R. King
D
2
D
16
Allan Campbell
M
8
J. Devaney
M
J. Devaney
M
6
80'
M
88
K. Phillips
M
K. Phillips
M
9
M. Mandron
F
M. Mandron
F
7
R. Idowu
84'
F
R. Idowu
84'
F
Bench
10
C. McMenamin
16'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Westley
M · Dundee
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 5 pass
Allan Campbell
M · ST
7.50
· 53 pass
D · Dundee
7.30
1 shots
· 25 pass
Y. Dhanda
M · Dundee
7.30
2 shots
· 38 pass
G · ST
7.30
· 20 pass
R. Idowu
F · ST
7.30
2 shots
· 34 pass
Dundee — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McCracken | G | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D. Wright | D | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| R. Astley | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Halliday | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 24% | 7 | 1 | — |
| E. Hamilton | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Dhanda | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Tony Yogane | M | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| J. Westley | M | 75 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Congreve | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Murray | F | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Billy Koumetio | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
ST Mirren — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| S. Tanser | D | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Freckleton | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 85 | 73% | — | — | — |
| R. King | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 72 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 38% | 2 | — | — | |
| Allan Campbell | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Devaney | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 54% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 2 | — | — | |
| K. Phillips | M | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Mandron | F | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Idowu | F | 84 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McMenamin | F | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundee vs ST Mirren?
The final score was Dundee 1–0 ST Mirren.
What did the model predict before Dundee vs ST Mirren?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Dundee win, 30% to a draw, and 26% to an ST Mirren win.