Scottish Premiership
· Quarter-finals
May 05, 2026 20:45
C. Kane
(ast. A. Tod)
7'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dunfermline a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Arbroath 32%). The final result was Dunfermline 1–0 Arbroath. In 5 previous meetings, Dunfermline have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 2 wins for Arbroath.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
0
50%
Possession
50%
6
Corners
0
Match Events
⚽C. Kane
· ast. A. Tod
7'
63'
R. Flynn
66'
R. Dow
A. Amade
67'
71'
T. O'Brien
72'
S. Robinson
/
R. Dow
R. Fraser
80'
C. Morrison
/ J. Cooper
81'
A. Amade
/ J. Tod
82'
C. Kane
/ T. Oakley-Boothe
88'
Pre-match prediction
34.63%
Dunfermline ←
32.6%
X
32.77%
Arbroath
we assigned to the actual result (Dunfermline)
34.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
—
—
0.96
—
—
Lineups
13
Aston Oxborough
G
3
Kieran Ngwenya
D
Kieran Ngwenya
D
18
Nurudeen Abdulai
D
2
Jeremiah Mullen
D
47
Robbie Fraser
M
14
Alfons Amade
M
8
M
10
Matty Todd
M
26
Andy Tod
1 👟
F
20
Chris Kane
1 ⚽
F
38
Callumn Morrison
F
Bench
5
Chris Hamilton
M
31
John Tod
D
33
Josh Cooper
M
22
Keith Bray
M
4
Kyle Benedictus
D
34
Lucas Fyfe
F
35
Tashan Oakley-Boothe
M
1
A. McAdams
G
4
J. Wilkie
D
5
D
16
C. Watson
D
12
D
8
R. Flynn
M
R. Flynn
M
25
M
11
M
17
M
15
J. MacIntyre
M
10
G. Reilly
F
Bench
6
A. Muirhead
D
62
D. Mebude
F
28
S. Robinson
M
26
T. Beadling
D
27
V. Enem
D
Dunfermline — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Oxborough | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kieran Ngwenya | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nurudeen Abdulai | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremiah Mullen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robbie Fraser | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfons Amade | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Matty Todd | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andy Tod | F | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Kane | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Callumn Morrison | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Arbroath — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McAdams | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Wilkie | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| C. Watson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| R. Flynn | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| J. MacIntyre | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Reilly | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dunfermline vs Arbroath?
The final score was Dunfermline 1–0 Arbroath.
What did the model predict before Dunfermline vs Arbroath?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Dunfermline win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Arbroath win.