Dunfermline - Ayr Utd
Scottish Championship
August 08, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.83%
Win
Dunfermline
32.59%
Draw
31.59%
Win
Ayr Utd
1.31
0.34
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.95%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
33%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
64%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Dunfermline a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Ayr Utd. Expected goals are 1.3 for Dunfermline and 0.3 for Ayr Utd (total 1.6), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.95% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Dunfermline have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Ayr Utd.
Season Stats
6W
5D
4L
3W
4D
8L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
0.8
1.1
Conceded
1.4
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
73%
53%
O 2.5
47%
33%
BTTS
53%
47%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Scottish Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
4W
2D
4L
· at home
2W
3D
5L
· away
1.5
gls/g
1.1
1.2
Conceded
1.7
40%
Win %
20%
60%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
90%
60%
O 2.5
60%
30%
O 3.5
20%
40%
BTTS
80%
40%
Clean Sht
10%
30%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Dunfermline
Ayr Utd →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19.2% | 6.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 25.1% | 8.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 2 | 16.4% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 3 | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Dunfermline
Attack
23
Defence
41
Form
31
Ayr Utd
Attack
10
Defence
34
Form
20
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Livingston
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Ayr Utd
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Partick
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Raith Rovers
|
1 | 1 |
| 5 |
Stenhousemuir
|
1 | 1 |
| 6 |
Inverness CT
|
1 | 1 |
| 7 |
Dunfermline
|
1 | 1 |
| 8 |
Morton
|
1 | 0 |
| 9 |
Queen's Park
|
1 | 0 |
| 10 |
Arbroath
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd?
The model gives Dunfermline a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an Ayr Utd win.
How many goals are expected in Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd?
Expected goals: Dunfermline 1.3, Ayr Utd 0.3 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.95%.