Premiership · Quarter-finals May 06, 2026 20:45

Dungannon Swifts

#6 · 46 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Carrick Rangers

#1 · 53 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Carrick Rangers, result Dungannon Swifts vince

L. Alves 21'

C. Marron 49'

K. Dillon 70'

38' L. McCullough

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Carrick Rangers a 75% win probability (draw 12%, Dungannon Swifts 12%). The final result was Dungannon Swifts 3–1 Carrick Rangers. In 3 previous meetings, Dungannon Swifts have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Carrick Rangers.

Match statistics

Match Events

↕ D. Wallace / P. Maguire

10'

⚽L. Alves

21'

32'

N. Gartside

34'

L. Donnelly / A. Steele ↕

38'

L. McCullough⚽

⚽C. Marron

49'

58'

M. Olosunde / B. Burns ↕

⚽K. Dillon

70'

78'

K. Cherry / M. Olosunde ↕

↕ A. Mitchell / S. Gordon

78'

↕ L. Alves / K. Moore

78'

84'

M. Place

↕ S. McAllister / S. Anderson

84'

↕ K. Dillon / J. Knowles

84'

89'

A. Lecky

Pre-match prediction

12.54%

Dungannon ←

12.4%

X

75.06%

Carrick

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Dungannon Swifts) 12.54% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Dungannon

0.69

—

—

Carrick

3.14

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Larne	38	83
1	Larne	33	73
1	Carrick Rangers	38	53
2	Coleraine FC	38	80
2	Glentoran	33	69
2	Portadown	38	44
3	Ballymena United	38	39
3	Coleraine FC	33	65
3	Glentoran	38	77
4	Linfield	38	66
4	Bangor	38	39
4	Linfield	33	62
5	Cliftonville FC	33	47
5	Crusaders FC	38	36
5	Cliftonville FC	38	53
6	Dungannon Swifts	33	46
6	Glenavon FC	38	28
6	Dungannon Swifts	38	46
7	Carrick Rangers	33	43
8	Bangor	33	36
9	Portadown	33	36
10	Ballymena United	33	34
11	Crusaders FC	33	26
12	Glenavon FC	33	25