Premiership · Quarter-finals May 06, 2026 20:45 Stangmore Park, Dungannon

Dungannon Swifts

#7 · 0 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Carrick Rangers

#12 · 0 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Carrick Rangers, result Dungannon Swifts wins

L. Alves 21'

C. Marron 49'

K. Dillon 70'

38' L. McCullough

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Carrick Rangers a 75% win probability (draw 12%, Dungannon Swifts 12%). The final result was Dungannon Swifts 3–1 Carrick Rangers. In 3 previous meetings, Dungannon Swifts have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Carrick Rangers.

Match statistics

Match Events

↕ D. Wallace / P. Maguire

10'

⚽L. Alves

21'

32'

N. Gartside

34'

L. Donnelly / A. Steele ↕

38'

L. McCullough⚽

⚽C. Marron

49'

58'

M. Olosunde / B. Burns ↕

⚽K. Dillon

70'

78'

K. Cherry / M. Olosunde ↕

↕ A. Mitchell / S. Gordon

78'

↕ L. Alves / K. Moore

78'

84'

M. Place

↕ S. McAllister / S. Anderson

84'

↕ K. Dillon / J. Knowles

84'

89'

A. Lecky

Pre-match prediction

12.54%

Dungannon ←

12.4%

X

75.06%

Carrick

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Dungannon Swifts) 12.54% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Dungannon

0.69

—

—

Carrick

3.14

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Glentoran	0	0
2	Cliftonville FC	0	0
3	Ballymena United	0	0
4	Bangor	0	0
5	Coleraine FC	0	0
6	Crusaders FC	0	0
7	Dungannon Swifts	0	0
8	Linfield	0	0
9	Larne	0	0
10	Limavady United	0	0
11	Portadown	0	0
12	Carrick Rangers	0	0